Wallet analysis

2026-06-12T14:38:23+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

E8
0xe8e8…da01
crypto · 1552 markets active 1h ago
0.0score
−$178 -3%
TOTAL PnL · realized −$178 · open +$0
avoidriskycopy
✗ TRAP crypto specialist⚠ High turnover
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Net worth$0
Realized−$178
Unrealized+$0
Win rate (resolved)49%
Wins / losses760 / 792
Open positions0
Markets (closed)1552 / 1552
History coverage89d
Avg bet$4
Trades / day29.4
Drawdown100%
Kalshi-fit99%
Chart Positions 0 History 1552 Categories Trades Net edge Slippage
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days+$137
7 days+$100
14 days+$81
30 days+$18
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.
Open positions — marked to current price, like Polymarket
Marketoutcome entrynow investedvalue unrealized PnL
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 1:15AM-1:30AM ET Down 76¢ 0¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
Solana Up or Down - June 11, 6AM ET Down 3¢ 0¢ $0 $0 −$0 (-100%)
Ethereum Up or Down - June 9, 7:00PM-7:15PM ET Up 12¢ 0¢ $3 $0 −$3 (-100%)
Solana Up or Down - June 12, 1:45AM-2:00AM ET Up 30¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Solana Up or Down - June 6, 8:30PM-8:45PM ET Down 22¢ 0¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
Solana Up or Down - June 9, 1:15AM-1:30AM ET Down 31¢ 0¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
XRP Up or Down - June 10, 3:30PM-3:45PM ET Down 47¢ 0¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
Solana Up or Down - June 10, 8:15AM-8:30AM ET Up 19¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
XRP Up or Down - June 4, 9:45PM-10:00PM ET Up 51¢ 0¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
Solana Up or Down - June 11, 1AM ET Up 17¢ 0¢ $3 $0 −$3 (-100%)
Solana Up or Down - June 5, 2AM ET Up 3¢ 0¢ $4 $0 −$4 (-100%)
Ethereum Up or Down - June 9, 8:00AM-8:15AM ET Down 6¢ 0¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 6:45AM-7:00AM ET Up 59¢ 0¢ $3 $0 −$3 (-100%)
Ethereum Up or Down - June 9, 12AM ET Down 9¢ 0¢ $0 $0 −$0 (-100%)
Solana Up or Down - June 8, 11:30AM-11:45AM ET Up 20¢ 0¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
Solana Up or Down - June 5, 2:00AM-2:15AM ET Up 20¢ 0¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 6, 8:15PM-8:30PM ET Down 68¢ 0¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
Solana Up or Down - June 9, 5:45PM-6:00PM ET Up 17¢ 0¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
Solana Up or Down - June 6, 5:30PM-5:45PM ET Up 16¢ 0¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
Solana Up or Down - June 12, 3:30AM-3:45AM ET Up 55¢ 0¢ $3 $0 −$3 (-100%)
Ethereum Up or Down - June 8, 9:45PM-10:00PM ET Up 54¢ 0¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
Solana Up or Down - June 12, 5:00AM-5:15AM ET Down 14¢ 0¢ $3 $0 −$3 (-100%)
Solana Up or Down - June 11, 6:30PM-6:45PM ET Up 19¢ 0¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
Solana Up or Down - June 12, 6:00AM-6:15AM ET Up 30¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Solana Up or Down - June 9, 6:15AM-6:30AM ET Up 9¢ 0¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
Top-25 open positions by current value. Prices in cents = market-implied probability (50¢ = 50%).
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 9:00AM-9:15AM ET Jun 12 $3 +$3 +101%
Solana Up or Down - June 12, 7:30AM-7:45AM ET Jun 12 $1 $0 -10%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 6:45AM-7:00AM ET Jun 12 $3 −$3 -97%
Solana Up or Down - June 12, 6:00AM-6:15AM ET Jun 12 $2 −$2 -95%
Solana Up or Down - June 12, 5:00AM-5:15AM ET Jun 12 $3 −$3 -94%
Solana Up or Down - June 12, 3:30AM-3:45AM ET Jun 12 $3 −$3 -97%
Solana Up or Down - June 12, 1:45AM-2:00AM ET Jun 12 $2 −$2 -95%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 9:45PM-10:00PM ET Jun 12 $3 +$2 +62%
XRP Up or Down - June 11, 8PM ET Jun 12 $4 +$4 +100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 7PM ET Jun 11 $5 −$1 -18%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 6:45PM-7:00PM ET Jun 11 $5 −$2 -46%
Solana Up or Down - June 11, 6:30PM-6:45PM ET Jun 11 $5 −$5 -95%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 5PM ET Jun 11 $5 +$2 +38%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 5:30PM-5:45PM ET Jun 11 $5 −$2 -34%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 11, 5PM ET Jun 11 $5 +$2 +43%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 11, 4:45PM-5:00PM ET Jun 11 $5 +$1 +28%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 4:15PM-4:30PM ET Jun 11 $5 +$1 +14%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 11, 4PM ET Jun 11 $5 $0 +8%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 11, 4:15PM-4:30PM ET Jun 11 $4 +$1 +16%
XRP Up or Down - June 11, 3PM ET Jun 11 $2 −$1 -30%
XRP Up or Down - June 11, 1:30PM-1:45PM ET Jun 11 $0 $0 -61%
Solana Up or Down - June 11, 1:30PM-1:45PM ET Jun 11 $5 −$5 -86%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 11:30AM-11:45AM ET Jun 11 $5 +$6 +107%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 11:00AM-11:15AM ET Jun 11 $5 +$12 +240%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 9AM ET Jun 11 $5 $0 +8%
XRP Up or Down - June 11, 8:30AM-8:45AM ET Jun 11 $5 +$2 +35%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 8AM ET Jun 11 $4 −$2 -42%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 7:45AM-8:00AM ET Jun 11 $5 −$2 -32%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 7AM ET Jun 11 $5 −$1 -18%
Solana Up or Down - June 11, 7:30AM-7:45AM ET Jun 11 $5 −$2 -35%
Solana Up or Down - June 11, 6AM ET Jun 11 $0 $0 -94%
Solana Up or Down - June 11, 6:30AM-6:45AM ET Jun 11 $5 −$3 -58%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 5:45AM-6:00AM ET Jun 11 $5 −$3 -66%
XRP Up or Down - June 11, 5:30AM-5:45AM ET Jun 11 $5 +$7 +136%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 11, 4:30AM-4:45AM ET Jun 11 $5 +$2 +38%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 3:00AM-3:15AM ET Jun 11 $5 +$3 +62%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 2:30AM-2:45AM ET Jun 11 $5 +$3 +50%
Solana Up or Down - June 11, 1AM ET Jun 11 $3 −$3 -94%
Solana Up or Down - June 11, 1:30AM-1:45AM ET Jun 11 $5 −$1 -28%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 1:30AM-1:45AM ET Jun 11 $5 −$3 -56%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 1:15AM-1:30AM ET Jun 11 $5 −$5 -98%
Solana Up or Down - June 11, 12:45AM-1:00AM ET Jun 11 $5 −$3 -57%
Solana Up or Down - June 11, 12:30AM-12:45AM ET Jun 11 $4 −$3 -95%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 12:30AM-12:45AM ET Jun 11 $5 −$2 -38%
Solana Up or Down - June 11, 12:15AM-12:30AM ET Jun 11 $3 −$3 -96%
Solana Up or Down - June 10, 11PM ET Jun 11 $6 −$5 -86%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 11PM ET Jun 11 $5 −$2 -34%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 10, 10PM ET Jun 11 $5 +$158 +3296%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 10:30PM-10:45PM ET Jun 11 $5 +$2 +36%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 9PM ET Jun 11 $4 $0 +7%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
crypto 99% −$172
other 1% −$6
politics 0% $0
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 9:00AM-9:15AM ET BUY Up 48¢ $3 1h
Solana Up or Down - June 12, 7:30AM-7:45AM ET SELL Down 24¢ $1 2h
Solana Up or Down - June 12, 7:30AM-7:45AM ET BUY Down 24¢ $1 2h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 6:45AM-7:00AM ET BUY Up 59¢ $3 3h
Solana Up or Down - June 12, 6:00AM-6:15AM ET BUY Up 30¢ $2 4h
Solana Up or Down - June 12, 5:00AM-5:15AM ET BUY Down 15¢ $3 5h
Solana Up or Down - June 12, 3:30AM-3:45AM ET BUY Up 55¢ $3 6h
Solana Up or Down - June 12, 1:45AM-2:00AM ET BUY Up 30¢ $2 8h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 9:45PM-10:00PM ET BUY Up 60¢ $3 12h
XRP Up or Down - June 11, 8PM ET BUY Down 48¢ $4 13h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 7PM ET SELL Down 65¢ $4 15h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 7PM ET BUY Down 76¢ $5 15h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 6:45PM-7:00PM ET SELL Up 38¢ $3 15h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 6:45PM-7:00PM ET BUY Up 66¢ $5 15h
Solana Up or Down - June 11, 6:30PM-6:45PM ET BUY Up 19¢ $5 15h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 5PM ET SELL Up 94¢ $7 16h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 5:30PM-5:45PM ET SELL Up 48¢ $3 17h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 5:30PM-5:45PM ET BUY Up 68¢ $5 17h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 11, 5PM ET SELL Up 89¢ $7 17h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 5PM ET BUY Up 66¢ $5 17h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 11, 5PM ET BUY Up 60¢ $5 17h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 11, 4:45PM-5:00PM ET SELL Up 98¢ $7 17h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 11, 4:45PM-5:00PM ET BUY Up 75¢ $5 17h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 4:15PM-4:30PM ET SELL Down 88¢ $6 18h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 11, 4PM ET SELL Down 75¢ $5 18h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 11, 4:15PM-4:30PM ET SELL Down 88¢ $4 18h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 4:15PM-4:30PM ET BUY Down 75¢ $5 18h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 11, 4:15PM-4:30PM ET BUY Down 74¢ $4 18h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 11, 4PM ET BUY Down 67¢ $5 18h
XRP Up or Down - June 11, 3PM ET SELL Down 4¢ $1 19h
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
negative after costs — do not copy
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +45%
net ROI/market (all)-12.7%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 158 +2.5% -7.3% 37% 32% -4.1%
≤30d 757 -1.9% -11.2% 52% 50% -11.0%
≤90d 1552 -3.5% -12.7% 49% 45% -12.7%
all 1552 -3.5% -12.7% 49% 45% -12.7%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.
turnover29.4 tr/day
realistic slip~13%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal -12.7% 45% -12.7%
10% ← realistic here -21.0% 41% -21.1%
15% -28.7% 36% -28.7%
20% -35.7% 30% -35.7%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.
✓ Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $0.00 · official $0.00 (match) · 3500 history records