Wallet analysis

2026-06-29T02:35:29+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

0.0
score
E8 0xe8eb…cbc0 other 3 markets active 2h ago coverage 2d
RISKYcopy with care ⚠ High turnover⚠ Small sample
✗ too few resolved markets (<12) to judge✗ only 2d of captured history — unreliable✗ negative after realistic slippage! high turnover
Total PnL +$0 (+0%) realized +$0 · open +$0
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Gross ROI / mkt -2% what the leader earns
→−copy tax
Net edge / mkt -18% what you keep after slip
Net edge-18%after slip
Net WR0%break-even
Win rate0%0W / 3L
Drawdown100%max
Avg bet$90per market
Trades / day10.3pace
Kalshi-fit33%portable
Net worth$0now

Equity curve

realized PnL
Not enough resolved history to chart — analysis covers only 2d (hyperactive wallet — we see only the tail of its trades). A “Total PnL” curve will appear once daily tracking accumulates.

Categories

share · PnL
other 96% −$5
crypto 4% $0
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.

The copy-tax — evidence

gross is the leader · net is you

Net edge · by timeframe

gross → net
insufficient sample — too few resolved markets to judge
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +0%
net ROI/market (all)-11.5%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 3 -2.2% -11.5% 0% 0% -11.4%
≤30d 3 -2.2% -11.5% 0% 0% -11.4%
≤90d 3 -2.2% -11.5% 0% 0% -11.4%
all 3 -2.2% -11.5% 0% 0% -11.4%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.

Slippage survival

net ROI/WR at slip
turnover10.3 tr/day
realistic slip~9%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal ← realistic here -11.5% 0% -11.4%
10% -20.0% 0% -19.9%
15% -27.7% 0% -27.6%
20% -34.8% 0% -34.7%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.

Edge quality

honest signals — luck vs skill
Profit concentration
top —% · top 2 —% thin sample
Edge freshness (90d)
90d ROI -2% too few recent
Fragile wins
—% wins margin < slip thin sample
Flat-copyable
equal-wt -2% · $-wt -2% works when copied flat
Big bets
big-bet WR —% no data
Persistence
early —% → late —% no data
Add-ons / DCA
3.0 add-ons/market adds to positions
Win / loss size
— vs −$2 no data
Profit factor
×0.0 loses more than it wins
Copy size
≥ $50 mirror leader trades ≥ this size to copy only main ideas

Supporting detail

2d coverage
Net worth$0
Realized+$0
Unrealized+$0
Win rate (resolved)0%
Wins / losses0 / 3
Open positions0
Markets (closed)3 / 3
History coverage2d
Avg bet$90
Trades / day10.3
Drawdown100%
Kalshi-fit33%

Ledger

positions · history · trades
Positions 0 History 3 Trades
no open positions
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Will Elon Musk buy Ryanair? Jun 29 $251 −$5 -2%
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $54,000 on June 29? Jun 27 $10 $0 -2%
Will Elon Musk buy OnlyFans? Jun 27 $10 $0 -2%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Will Elon Musk buy Ryanair? SELL No 100¢ $39 1h
Will Elon Musk buy Ryanair? BUY No 100¢ $40 1h
Will Elon Musk buy Ryanair? SELL No 100¢ $49 1h
Will Elon Musk buy Ryanair? BUY No 100¢ $50 1h
Will Elon Musk buy Ryanair? SELL No 100¢ $39 1h
Will Elon Musk buy Ryanair? BUY No 100¢ $40 1h
Will Elon Musk buy Ryanair? SELL No 100¢ $10 1h
Will Elon Musk buy Ryanair? BUY No 100¢ $10 1h
Will Elon Musk buy Ryanair? SELL No 100¢ $49 1h
Will Elon Musk buy Ryanair? BUY No 100¢ $50 1h
Will Elon Musk buy Ryanair? SELL No 100¢ $49 1h
Will Elon Musk buy Ryanair? BUY No 100¢ $50 1h
Will Elon Musk buy Ryanair? SELL No 100¢ $10 1h
Will Elon Musk buy Ryanair? BUY No 100¢ $10 1h
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $54,000 on June 29? SELL Yes 99¢ $10 27h
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $54,000 on June 29? BUY Yes 100¢ $10 27h
Will Elon Musk buy OnlyFans? SELL No 100¢ $10 43h
Will Elon Musk buy OnlyFans? BUY No 100¢ $10 43h
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
✓ Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $0.00 · official $0.00 (match) · 18 history records