trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?
| timeframe | markets | gross ROI | NET ROI | gross WR | NET WR | net PnL (wtd) |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| ≤7d | 34 | -42.9% | -48.3% | 32% | 32% | -39.1% |
| ≤30d | 38 | -35.0% | -41.2% | 37% | 37% | -23.0% |
| ≤90d | 38 | -35.0% | -41.2% | 37% | 37% | -23.0% |
| all | 38 | -35.0% | -41.2% | 37% | 37% | -23.0% |
| copier slippage | NET ROI | NET WR | net PnL (wtd) |
|---|---|---|---|
| 5% ideal ← realistic here | -41.2% | 37% | -23.0% |
| 10% | -46.8% | 37% | -30.3% |
| 15% | -51.9% | 34% | -37.1% |
| 20% | -56.6% | 24% | -43.2% |
| Market | outcome | entry | now | invested | value | unrealized PnL |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Belgium win on 2026-06-21? | Yes | 70¢ | 68¢ | $90 | $87 | −$3 (-4%) |
| Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | Yes | 17¢ | 14¢ | $1 | $1 | −$0 (-16%) |
| Market | when | invested | PnL | ROI |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Ecuador win on 2026-06-20? | Jun 20 | $86 | −$86 | -100% |
| Will Germany win on 2026-06-20? | Jun 20 | $30 | +$15 | +50% |
| Jordy Caicedo: 1+ goals | Jun 20 | $10 | −$10 | -98% |
| Enner Valencia: 1+ goals | Jun 20 | $10 | −$10 | -99% |
| Will Netherlands win on 2026-06-20? | Jun 20 | $35 | +$26 | +73% |
| Spread: Ecuador (-2.5) | Jun 20 | $31 | −$30 | -98% |
| Will Korea Republic win on 2026-06-18? | Jun 19 | $26 | −$26 | -98% |
| Will Canada win on 2026-06-18? | Jun 19 | $20 | +$6 | +29% |
| Will Switzerland win on 2026-06-18? | Jun 18 | $13 | +$7 | +57% |
| Will Czechia win on 2026-06-18? | Jun 18 | $24 | −$24 | -99% |
| Will Colombia win on 2026-06-17? | Jun 18 | $10 | +$4 | +40% |
| Will Panama win on 2026-06-17? | Jun 17 | $28 | −$28 | -98% |
| Will England win on 2026-06-17? | Jun 17 | $10 | +$7 | +73% |
| Will Portugal win on 2026-06-17? | Jun 17 | $10 | −$10 | -100% |
| Lamine Yamal: 1+ goals | Jun 17 | $5 | −$5 | -100% |
| Korea Republic to score first vs. Czechia? | Jun 17 | $10 | −$10 | -100% |
| Will Belgium win on 2026-06-15? | Jun 17 | $15 | −$15 | -100% |
| Spread: Spain (-3.5) | Jun 17 | $10 | −$10 | -100% |
| Will Saudi Arabia win on 2026-06-15? | Jun 17 | $5 | −$5 | -100% |
| Will United States vs. Paraguay end in a draw? | Jun 17 | $14 | −$14 | -100% |
| Will Paraguay win on 2026-06-12? | Jun 17 | $20 | −$20 | -100% |
| Will South Africa win on 2026-06-11? | Jun 17 | $10 | −$10 | -100% |
| Will Canada win on 2026-06-12? | Jun 17 | $63 | −$63 | -100% |
| Will Brazil win on 2026-06-13? | Jun 17 | $96 | −$96 | -100% |
| Will Austria win on 2026-06-17? | Jun 17 | $45 | +$19 | +42% |
| Will Argentina win on 2026-06-16? | Jun 17 | $96 | +$52 | +54% |
| Will Spain win on 2026-06-15? | Jun 15 | $7 | −$7 | -100% |
| Salem Al Dawsari: 1+ goals | Jun 15 | $1 | −$1 | -97% |
| Mikel Oyarzabal: 1+ goals | Jun 15 | $5 | −$5 | -99% |
| Ferrán Torres: 1+ goals | Jun 15 | $5 | −$5 | -99% |
| Will Sweden win on 2026-06-14? | Jun 15 | $20 | +$18 | +89% |
| Will Côte d'Ivoire win on 2026-06-14? | Jun 15 | $37 | +$91 | +246% |
| Will Netherlands win on 2026-06-14? | Jun 14 | $59 | −$50 | -84% |
| Netherlands to score first vs. Japan? | Jun 14 | $10 | +$7 | +73% |
| Will Türkiye win on 2026-06-14? | Jun 14 | $30 | −$24 | -78% |
| Will Scotland win on 2026-06-13? | Jun 14 | $30 | +$17 | +57% |
| Will Korea Republic win on 2026-06-11? | Jun 12 | $85 | +$91 | +108% |
| Will Mexico win on 2026-06-11? | Jun 11 | $86 | +$37 | +43% |