trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?
| timeframe | markets | gross ROI | NET ROI | gross WR | NET WR | net PnL (wtd) |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| ≤7d | 10 | -0.1% | -9.6% | 0% | 0% | -9.6% |
| ≤30d | 10 | -0.1% | -9.6% | 0% | 0% | -9.6% |
| ≤90d | 24 | -1.1% | -10.5% | 8% | 0% | -9.6% |
| all | 24 | -1.1% | -10.5% | 8% | 0% | -9.6% |
| copier slippage | NET ROI | NET WR | net PnL (wtd) |
|---|---|---|---|
| 5% ideal ← realistic here | -10.5% | 0% | -9.6% |
| 10% | -19.1% | 0% | -18.3% |
| 15% | -26.9% | 0% | -26.2% |
| 20% | -34.1% | 0% | -33.4% |
| Market | outcome | entry | now | invested | value | unrealized PnL |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $130 in June? | No | 100¢ | 100¢ | $28 | $28 | −$0 (-0%) |
| Will Eduardo Bolsonaro finish in second place in the first round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election? | No | 100¢ | 100¢ | $27 | $27 | −$0 (-0%) |
| Market | when | invested | PnL | ROI |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Gérald Darmanin win the 2027 French presidential election? | Jun 24 | $1,408 | −$2 | -0% |
| Will Alpine be the 2026 F1 Constructors' Champion? | Jun 24 | $1,374 | −$2 | -0% |
| Will Solana dip to $20 in June? | Jun 23 | $1,398 | −$2 | -0% |
| Will Ed Miliband be the next Prime Minister of the United Kingdom in 2 | Jun 23 | $40 | $0 | -0% |
| Will Lautaro Martinez be the top goalscorer at the 2026 FIFA World Cup | Jun 23 | $1,372 | −$2 | -0% |
| Will Benny Gantz be the next Prime Minister of Israel? | Jun 23 | $1,365 | −$1 | -0% |
| Will Jasmine Crockett win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? | Jun 22 | $1,431 | −$2 | -0% |
| Will Saeed Jalili be head of state in Iran end of 2026? | Jun 22 | $60 | $0 | -0% |
| Will Matt Mahan win the California Governor Election in 2026? | Jun 22 | $1,440 | $0 | -0% |
| Will Heung-Min Son be the top goalscorer at the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | Jun 22 | $1,373 | −$2 | -0% |
| Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the June 2026 mee | Apr 21 | $9 | $0 | +3% |
| Will Mark Kelly win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? | Apr 18 | $7 | −$1 | -10% |
| Will the Cleveland Cavaliers win the 2026 NBA Finals? | Apr 17 | $176 | $0 | -0% |
| Will the New York Knicks win the 2026 NBA Finals? | Apr 17 | $15 | $0 | -3% |
| Will Dominique de Villepin win the 2027 French presidential election? | Apr 16 | $6 | $0 | -2% |
| Will Novak Djokovic win the 2026 Men's French Open? | Apr 16 | $2 | $0 | -6% |
| Will Pete Hegseth enter Iran by June 30? | Apr 16 | $15 | $0 | -2% |
| Will Gabriel Attal win the 2027 French presidential election? | Apr 13 | $3 | $0 | -9% |
| Will there be between 18 and 21 US strikes on Somalia in March 2026? | Mar 30 | $159 | $0 | -0% |
| Will Alibaba have the best AI model at the end of June 2026? | Mar 30 | $14 | $0 | -0% |
| Will Hyperliquid reach $52 in March? | Mar 30 | $22 | $0 | -0% |
| Will the price of Bitcoin be above $72,000 on March 26? | Mar 26 | $35 | +$2 | +5% |
| Will Juan Daniel Oviedo win the 2026 Colombian presidential election? | Mar 26 | $144 | $0 | -0% |
| Will Bitcoin reach $105,000 in March? | Mar 26 | $21 | $0 | -0% |