Wallet analysis

2026-06-12T09:18:36+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

E9
0xe907…cff6
other · 322 markets active 0h ago
0.0score
−$34,745 -30%
TOTAL PnL · realized +$3,640 · open −$36,478
avoidriskycopy
~ RISKY ⚠ High turnover
Copy trade Watchlist
Net worth$1,101,477
Realized+$3,640
Unrealized−$36,478
Win rate (resolved)39%
Wins / losses34 / 54
Whale WR (big bets)44%
Est. fees paid−$215
Open positions430
Markets (closed)88 / 322
Avg bet$358
Trades / day3419.0
Drawdown59%
Kalshi-fit71%
Chart Positions 430 History 88 Categories Trades Net edge Slippage
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days+$3,640
7 days+$3,640
14 days+$3,640
30 days+$3,640
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.
Open positions — marked to current price, like Polymarket
Marketoutcome entrynow investedvalue unrealized PnL
Will Spain win on 2026-06-15? Yes 92¢ 92¢ $107,802 $107,222 −$580 (-1%)
Will France win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? Yes 17¢ 16¢ $94,776 $89,828 −$4,948 (-5%)
Will the New York Knicks win the 2026 NBA Finals? Yes 61¢ 81¢ $50,085 $67,034 +$16,949 (+34%)
Will Portugal win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? Yes 9¢ 11¢ $51,842 $62,114 +$10,272 (+20%)
Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? Yes 17¢ 17¢ $58,061 $59,020 +$959 (+2%)
Will Norway win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? Yes 2¢ 2¢ $49,458 $50,229 +$771 (+2%)
Will United States win on 2026-06-12? Yes 49¢ 48¢ $50,181 $48,943 −$1,237 (-2%)
Will England win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? Yes 11¢ 10¢ $50,395 $47,245 −$3,149 (-6%)
Will Canada win on 2026-06-12? Yes 54¢ 54¢ $34,778 $34,647 −$132 (-0%)
Will Brazil win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? Yes 9¢ 9¢ $26,279 $25,085 −$1,194 (-5%)
Will Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? Yes 8¢ 9¢ $23,276 $24,242 +$966 (+4%)
Will Netherlands win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? Yes 4¢ 4¢ $19,875 $23,102 +$3,227 (+16%)
Will Germany win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? Yes 5¢ 5¢ $18,990 $18,645 −$346 (-2%)
Will the San Antonio Spurs win the 2026 NBA Finals? Yes 35¢ 19¢ $26,472 $14,407 −$12,065 (-46%)
Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of June 2026? Yes 83¢ 89¢ $12,377 $13,268 +$891 (+7%)
Will Japan win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? Yes 2¢ 2¢ $8,829 $9,342 +$514 (+6%)
Will Turkiye win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? Yes 1¢ 1¢ $8,873 $8,351 −$523 (-6%)
US x Iran permanent peace deal by December 31, 2026? Yes 72¢ 74¢ $7,708 $7,982 +$274 (+4%)
Will Brazil win on 2026-06-13? Yes 59¢ 60¢ $7,468 $7,526 +$58 (+1%)
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31? Yes 37¢ 46¢ $5,772 $7,181 +$1,409 (+24%)
Will Jalen Brunson win the 2026 NBA Finals MVP? Yes 50¢ 49¢ $7,079 $6,945 −$134 (-2%)
SpaceX IPO closing market cap above $1.4T? Yes 98¢ 99¢ $6,848 $6,877 +$29 (+0%)
Will Germany win on 2026-06-14? Yes 94¢ 94¢ $6,664 $6,664 +$0 (+0%)
Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by June 30, 2026? No 50¢ 38¢ $8,573 $6,367 −$2,207 (-26%)
Will Bitcoin reach $77,500 in June? No 79¢ 97¢ $4,673 $5,757 +$1,084 (+23%)
Top-25 open positions by current value. Prices in cents = market-implied probability (50¢ = 50%).
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Valorant: STREAMER ARENA vs LAZER (BO3) - VCL Latin America North: Reg Jun 12 $146 +$177 +121%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 5:15AM-5:20AM ET Jun 12 $84 −$47 -56%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 5:00AM-5:15AM ET Jun 12 $471 +$439 +93%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 5:00AM-5:15AM ET Jun 12 $3 +$6 +208%
Solana Up or Down - June 12, 4AM ET Jun 12 $2 −$2 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 4AM ET Jun 12 $2 −$2 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 4AM ET Jun 12 $30 −$14 -46%
Exact Score: United States 0 - 0 Paraguay? Jun 12 $14 −$11 -78%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 5:05AM-5:10AM ET Jun 12 $285 −$40 -14%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 5:05AM-5:10AM ET Jun 12 $588 −$336 -57%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 5:10AM-5:15AM ET Jun 12 $1,148 +$452 +39%
Solana Up or Down - June 12, 5:05AM-5:10AM ET Jun 12 $3 −$3 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 5:10AM-5:15AM ET Jun 12 $316 +$186 +59%
Will the highest temperature in Chongqing be 23°C on June 12? Jun 12 $11 −$2 -15%
Exact Score: Any Other Score? Jun 12 $70 −$29 -41%
Paraguay leading at halftime? Jun 12 $10 −$7 -73%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 5:00AM-5:05AM ET Jun 12 $3,783 +$506 +13%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 5:00AM-5:05AM ET Jun 12 $284 −$10 -4%
ITF Hurghada: Viktoria Morvayova vs Martyna Kubka Jun 12 $19 −$19 -100%
Dogecoin Up or Down - June 12, 4:55AM-5:00AM ET Jun 12 $133 +$81 +61%
Solana Up or Down - June 12, 4:55AM-5:00AM ET Jun 12 $20 −$20 -100%
BNB Up or Down - June 12, 4:55AM-5:00AM ET Jun 12 $10 $0 +3%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 4:45AM-5:00AM ET Jun 12 $199 +$188 +95%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 4:55AM-5:00AM ET Jun 12 $939 −$231 -25%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 4:45AM-5:00AM ET Jun 12 $17 −$17 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 4:55AM-5:00AM ET Jun 12 $194 −$83 -43%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 4:50AM-4:55AM ET Jun 12 $1,145 −$425 -37%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 4:50AM-4:55AM ET Jun 12 $185 +$149 +80%
ITF Wuning: Sonja Zhiyenbayeva vs Yujia Huang Jun 12 $72 −$72 -100%
United States vs. Paraguay: Neither team to score first? Jun 12 $5 −$2 -31%
Solana Up or Down - June 12, 4:45AM-4:50AM ET Jun 12 $5 −$5 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 4:45AM-4:50AM ET Jun 12 $2,483 −$1,039 -42%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 4:45AM-4:50AM ET Jun 12 $164 −$22 -13%
Canada vs. Bosnia-Herzegovina: 2nd Half O/U 1.5 Jun 12 $5 $0 -4%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 4:30AM-4:45AM ET Jun 12 $647 −$389 -60%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 4:40AM-4:45AM ET Jun 12 $1,042 +$352 +34%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 4:30AM-4:45AM ET Jun 12 $8 −$8 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 4:40AM-4:45AM ET Jun 12 $134 −$87 -65%
Kwibuka T20 Tournament, Women: Rwanda vs Nigeria Jun 12 $21 −$15 -75%
Will SpaceX's market cap be between $1.6T and $1.8T at market close on Jun 12 $2 +$66 +3301%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 4:35AM-4:40AM ET Jun 12 $459 +$211 +46%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 4:35AM-4:40AM ET Jun 12 $136 −$60 -44%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 4:30AM-4:35AM ET Jun 12 $2,676 −$1,365 -51%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 4:30AM-4:35AM ET Jun 12 $112 +$29 +26%
XRP Up or Down - June 12, 4:30AM-4:35AM ET Jun 12 $5 −$5 -100%
Solana Up or Down - June 12, 4:30AM-4:35AM ET Jun 12 $5 −$5 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 4:00AM-8:00AM ET Jun 12 $8 +$3 +41%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 4:15AM-4:30AM ET Jun 12 $7 −$7 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 4:15AM-4:30AM ET Jun 12 $117 −$117 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 4:25AM-4:30AM ET Jun 12 $1,680 +$1,126 +67%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
other 83% −$32,426
crypto 10% +$3,715
sports 4% −$1,859
tech 2% +$78
world 1% −$364
weather 0% +$207
economics 0% −$2,375
politics 0% +$9
finance 0% $0
culture 0% $0
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Will Canada win on 2026-06-12? BUY Yes 54¢ $15 0m
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 5:15AM-5:20AM ET BUY Down 32¢ $5 0m
Will Canada win on 2026-06-12? BUY Yes 54¢ $44 0m
Will Paraguay win on 2026-06-12? BUY Yes 25¢ $5 0m
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 5:15AM-5:20AM ET BUY Down 23¢ $5 0m
Exact Score: United States 2 - 0 Paraguay? BUY Yes 13¢ $5 0m
Will Bosnia and Herzegovina win on 2026-06-12? SELL Yes 20¢ $1 0m
Will Canada win on 2026-06-12? BUY Yes 54¢ $10 0m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 5:15AM-5:20AM ET BUY Up 51¢ $5 0m
Canada vs. Bosnia and Herzegovina: Both Teams to Score BUY Yes 46¢ $32 0m
Exact Score: Canada 2 - 1 Bosnia-Herzegovina? BUY Yes 11¢ $50 0m
Will Canada win on 2026-06-12? BUY Yes 54¢ $5 0m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 5:15AM-5:20AM ET BUY Down 45¢ $19 0m
Counter-Strike: TheMongolz vs B8 (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3 BUY B8 20¢ $30 0m
Exact Score: United States 3 - 0 Paraguay? BUY Yes 7¢ $5 0m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 5:15AM-5:20AM ET BUY Down 44¢ $205 0m
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 5:15AM-5:20AM ET BUY Down 39¢ $5 0m
Will Canada vs. Bosnia and Herzegovina end in a draw? BUY Yes 28¢ $5 0m
Exact Score: Canada 2 - 0 Bosnia-Herzegovina? BUY Yes 13¢ $50 0m
Will Bosnia and Herzegovina win on 2026-06-12? BUY Yes 21¢ $10 0m
Exact Score: United States 3 - 1 Paraguay? BUY Yes 7¢ $5 0m
Will United States win on 2026-06-12? BUY Yes 48¢ $4 0m
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 5:15AM-5:20AM ET BUY Down 30¢ $5 0m
Will United States win on 2026-06-12? BUY Yes 48¢ $10 0m
Canada vs. Bosnia and Herzegovina: Both Teams to Score BUY Yes 46¢ $3 0m
Will Canada win on 2026-06-12? SELL Yes 53¢ $55 0m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 5:15AM-5:20AM ET BUY Down 53¢ $48 0m
Will Bosnia and Herzegovina win on 2026-06-12? BUY Yes 21¢ $3 0m
Will Canada win on 2026-06-12? BUY Yes 54¢ $98 0m
Will United States win on 2026-06-12? BUY Yes 48¢ $49 0m
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
borderline — thin edge, slippage-sensitive
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +36%
net ROI/market (all)+56.0%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 88 +72.4% +56.0% 39% 36% -4.3%
≤30d 88 +72.4% +56.0% 39% 36% -4.3%
≤90d 88 +72.4% +56.0% 39% 36% -4.3%
all 88 +72.4% +56.0% 39% 36% -4.3%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.
turnover3419.0 tr/day
realistic slip~13%
edge survives to20%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal +56.0% 36% -4.3%
10% ← realistic here +41.1% 32% -13.4%
15% +27.5% 28% -21.8%
20% +15.0% 24% -29.5%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.
≈ Vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $1,101,477.18 · official $1,118,058.44 · 3500 history records