Wallet analysis

2026-06-12T11:32:55+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

E9
0xe90b…5da2
sports · 102 markets active 102d ago
0.0score
−$1,078,319 -11%
TOTAL PnL · realized −$1,078,319 · open +$0
avoidriskycopy
✗ TRAP sports specialist⚠ High turnover
Copy trade Watchlist
Net worth$39,034
Realized−$1,078,319
Unrealized+$0
Win rate (resolved)30%
Wins / losses77 / 179
Whale WR (big bets)52%
Open positions0
Markets (closed)256 / 102
Avg bet$98,975
Trades / day1790.1
Drawdown100%
Kalshi-fit83%
Chart Positions 0 History 256 Categories Trades Net edge Slippage
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days−$1,681,210
7 days−$1,681,210
14 days−$1,681,210
30 days−$1,681,210
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.
Open positions — marked to current price, like Polymarket
Marketoutcome entrynow investedvalue unrealized PnL
Will Club Atlético de Madrid vs. Club Brugge KV end in a draw? No 88¢ 100¢ $26,627 $30,288 +$3,661 (+14%)
US strike on Mexico by March 31? No 84¢ 100¢ $4,846 $5,769 +$923 (+19%)
Canucks vs. Jets Jets 97¢ 100¢ $2,855 $2,945 +$90 (+3%)
UNLV Runnin' Rebels vs. Utah State Aggies UNLV Runnin Rebels 98¢ 100¢ $32 $32 +$1 (+2%)
LoL: Nongshim Red Force vs DN Freecs - Game 2 Winner Nongshim Red Force 57¢ 0¢ $1,243 $0 −$1,243 (-100%)
Spread: Villanova Wildcats (-10.5) Villanova Wildcats 50¢ 0¢ $2,988 $0 −$2,988 (-100%)
Spread: Florida Gators (-9.5) Arkansas Razorbacks 46¢ 0¢ $19,307 $0 −$19,307 (-100%)
Counter-Strike: Heroic vs NRG (BO3) - ESL Pro League Stage 1 NRG 50¢ 0¢ $19,738 $0 −$19,738 (-100%)
Oilers vs. Kings: O/U 6.5 Under 46¢ 0¢ $17,901 $0 −$17,901 (-100%)
Set Handicap: Dzumhur (-1.5) vs Dellien (+1.5) Dzumhur 1¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Stars vs. Blues Blues 40¢ 0¢ $14 $0 −$14 (-100%)
Rhamondre Stevenson: Anytime Touchdown No 58¢ 0¢ $69 $0 −$69 (-100%)
Spread: Trail Blazers (-7.5) Trail Blazers 47¢ 0¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
Will Atalanta BC win on 2026-02-25? No 56¢ 0¢ $7,984 $0 −$7,984 (-100%)
Mexican Open: Valentin Vacherot vs Coleman Wong Wong 33¢ 0¢ $1,946 $0 −$1,946 (-100%)
Games Total: O/U 2.5 Over 49¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
USC Trojans vs. Ohio State Buckeyes USC Trojans 4¢ 0¢ $35 $0 −$35 (-100%)
Nuggets vs. Clippers: O/U 226.5 Under 52¢ 0¢ $260 $0 −$260 (-100%)
Games Total: O/U 2.5 Over 50¢ 0¢ $100 $0 −$100 (-100%)
Jets vs. Sharks Jets 52¢ 0¢ $52,000 $0 −$52,000 (-100%)
Delray Beach Open: Learner Tien vs Frances Tiafoe Tiafoe 87¢ 0¢ $1,590 $0 −$1,590 (-100%)
Game Handicap: LNG (-1.5) vs Ultra Prime (+1.5) Ultra Prime 46¢ 0¢ $284 $0 −$284 (-100%)
Warriors vs. Timberwolves: O/U 236.5 Over 0¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Counter-Strike: FUT Esports vs PARIVISION - Map 1 Winner FUT Esports 19¢ 0¢ $162 $0 −$162 (-100%)
Cavaliers vs. Pistons Cavaliers 33¢ 0¢ $24,110 $0 −$24,110 (-100%)
Top-25 open positions by current value. Prices in cents = market-implied probability (50¢ = 50%).
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Will Club Atlético de Madrid vs. Club Brugge KV end in a draw? Jun 12 $26,627 +$3,661 +14%
US strike on Mexico by March 31? Jun 12 $4,846 +$923 +19%
Canucks vs. Jets Jun 12 $2,855 +$90 +3%
UNLV Runnin' Rebels vs. Utah State Aggies Jun 12 $32 +$1 +2%
LoL: Nongshim Red Force vs DN Freecs - Game 2 Winner Jun 12 $1,243 −$1,243 -100%
Spread: Villanova Wildcats (-10.5) Jun 12 $2,988 −$2,988 -100%
Counter-Strike: Heroic vs NRG (BO3) - ESL Pro League Stage 1 Jun 12 $19,738 −$19,738 -100%
Oilers vs. Kings: O/U 6.5 Jun 12 $17,901 −$17,901 -100%
Set Handicap: Dzumhur (-1.5) vs Dellien (+1.5) Jun 12 $1 −$1 -100%
Stars vs. Blues Jun 12 $14 −$14 -100%
Rhamondre Stevenson: Anytime Touchdown Jun 12 $69 −$69 -100%
Spread: Trail Blazers (-7.5) Jun 12 $5 −$5 -100%
Will Atalanta BC win on 2026-02-25? Jun 12 $7,984 −$7,984 -100%
Mexican Open: Valentin Vacherot vs Coleman Wong Jun 12 $1,946 −$1,109 -57%
Games Total: O/U 2.5 Jun 12 $2 −$2 -100%
USC Trojans vs. Ohio State Buckeyes Jun 12 $35 +$457 +1317%
Nuggets vs. Clippers: O/U 226.5 Jun 12 $260 −$260 -100%
Games Total: O/U 2.5 Jun 12 $100 −$100 -100%
Delray Beach Open: Learner Tien vs Frances Tiafoe Jun 12 $1,590 −$1,997 -126%
Game Handicap: LNG (-1.5) vs Ultra Prime (+1.5) Jun 12 $284 −$284 -100%
Warriors vs. Timberwolves: O/U 236.5 Jun 12 $2 −$2 -100%
Counter-Strike: FUT Esports vs PARIVISION - Map 1 Winner Jun 12 $162 −$162 -100%
Cavaliers vs. Pistons Jun 12 $24,110 +$250 +1%
Counter-Strike: Passion UA vs Rebels Gaming (BO1) - Roman Imperium Cup Jun 12 $1,054 −$1,054 -100%
Spread: Timberwolves (-6.5) Jun 12 $32,048 −$32,048 -100%
Sabres vs. Devils Jun 12 $3,110 −$3,110 -100%
Will Club Atlético de Madrid win on 2026-02-24? Jun 12 $3,407 +$24,107 +708%
LoL: Movistar KOI vs Karmine Corp (BO5) - LEC Versus Playoffs Jun 12 $18,709 −$18,709 -100%
Niagara Purple Eagles vs. Sacred Heart Pioneers: O/U 141.5 Jun 12 $29 −$29 -100%
Nets vs. Celtics: O/U 209.5 Jun 12 $24,717 −$24,717 -100%
LoL: Team Secret Whales vs Deep Cross Gaming (BO5) - LCP Playoffs Jun 12 $27,359 −$27,359 -100%
Michigan State Spartans vs. Purdue Boilermakers Jun 12 $1,089 −$1,046 -96%
Spread: Suns (-3.5) Jun 12 $2 −$2 -100%
Mercyhurst Lakers vs. Central Connecticut State Blue Devils Jun 12 $2 −$2 -100%
Spread: Hawks (-10.5) Jun 12 $93,020 −$93,020 -100%
Warriors vs. Timberwolves Jun 12 $203 −$203 -100%
Set Handicap: Sinner (-2.5) vs Djokovic (+2.5) Jun 12 $790 −$790 -100%
Spread: Timberwolves (-5.5) Jun 12 $13,088 −$13,088 -100%
Thunder vs. Raptors Jun 12 $285 +$833 +292%
Spread: Hawks (-11.5) Jun 12 $1,566 −$1,566 -100%
Will Juventus FC win on 2026-02-25? Jun 12 $1,544 −$1,544 -100%
Will OGC Nice vs. Stade Brestois 29 end in a draw? Jun 12 $1,696 −$1,696 -100%
Colgate Raiders vs. Boston Terriers Jun 12 $1,537 −$1,537 -100%
Delaware Fightin' Blue Hens vs. Jacksonville State Gamecocks Jun 12 $1 −$1 -100%
Spread: Clippers (-3.5) Jun 12 $99 −$99 -100%
FC Internazionale Milano vs. FK Bodø/Glimt: Both Teams to Score Jun 12 $175 −$175 -100%
Ohio State Buckeyes vs. Michigan State Spartans Jun 12 $3 −$3 -100%
Mavericks vs. Timberwolves: O/U 235.5 Jun 12 $26 −$26 -100%
Merida Open Akron: Magdalena Frech vs Marie Bouzkova Jun 12 $11,963 −$11,963 -100%
Will Nottingham Forest FC win on 2026-02-26? Jun 12 $192,859 −$188,194 -98%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
sports 46% +$730,004
politics 28% $0
world 14% +$1,373
other 12% −$115,889
finance 0% −$12,596
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Counter-Strike: NIP vs M80 (BO3) - ESL Pro League Stage 1 BUY M80 46¢ $21,108 101d
Counter-Strike: Passion UA vs FUT Esports - Map 2 Winner BUY Passion UA 29¢ $203 101d
Counter-Strike: Passion UA vs FUT Esports - Map 2 Winner BUY Passion UA 29¢ $317 101d
Counter-Strike: Passion UA vs FUT Esports - Map 2 Winner BUY Passion UA 29¢ $6 101d
Counter-Strike: Passion UA vs FUT Esports - Map 2 Winner BUY Passion UA 29¢ $4 101d
Counter-Strike: Passion UA vs FUT Esports - Map 2 Winner BUY Passion UA 29¢ $20 101d
Counter-Strike: Passion UA vs FUT Esports - Map 2 Winner BUY Passion UA 29¢ $27 101d
Counter-Strike: Passion UA vs FUT Esports - Map 2 Winner BUY Passion UA 29¢ $18 101d
Counter-Strike: Passion UA vs FUT Esports - Map 2 Winner BUY Passion UA 29¢ $22 101d
Counter-Strike: Passion UA vs FUT Esports - Map 2 Winner BUY Passion UA 29¢ $599 101d
Will Real Madrid CF win on 2026-03-02? BUY Yes 72¢ $9,939 101d
Will Real Madrid CF win on 2026-03-02? BUY Yes 72¢ $7 101d
Will Real Madrid CF win on 2026-03-02? BUY Yes 72¢ $68 101d
Will Real Madrid CF win on 2026-03-02? BUY Yes 72¢ $9 101d
Will Real Madrid CF win on 2026-03-02? BUY Yes 72¢ $4 101d
Will Real Madrid CF win on 2026-03-02? BUY Yes 72¢ $13 101d
Will Real Madrid CF win on 2026-03-02? BUY Yes 72¢ $13 101d
Will Real Madrid CF win on 2026-03-02? BUY Yes 72¢ $5 101d
Will Real Madrid CF win on 2026-03-02? BUY Yes 72¢ $31 101d
Will Real Madrid CF win on 2026-03-02? BUY Yes 72¢ $2 101d
Will Real Madrid CF win on 2026-03-02? BUY Yes 72¢ $1 101d
Will Real Madrid CF win on 2026-03-02? BUY Yes 72¢ $5 101d
Will Real Madrid CF win on 2026-03-02? BUY Yes 72¢ $19,353 101d
Will Real Madrid CF win on 2026-03-02? BUY Yes 72¢ $2 101d
Will Real Madrid CF win on 2026-03-02? BUY Yes 72¢ $4 101d
Will Real Madrid CF win on 2026-03-02? BUY Yes 72¢ $42 101d
Will Real Madrid CF win on 2026-03-02? BUY Yes 72¢ $3 101d
Will Real Madrid CF win on 2026-03-02? BUY Yes 72¢ $4 101d
Will Real Madrid CF win on 2026-03-02? BUY Yes 72¢ $4 101d
Will Real Madrid CF win on 2026-03-02? BUY Yes 72¢ $19 101d
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
negative after costs — do not copy
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +23%
net ROI/market (all)-30.7%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 154 -55.3% -59.6% 8% 6% -93.7%
≤30d 154 -55.3% -59.6% 8% 6% -93.7%
≤90d 154 -55.3% -59.6% 8% 6% -93.7%
all 256 -23.4% -30.7% 30% 23% -17.8%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.
turnover1790.1 tr/day
realistic slip~18%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal -30.7% 23% -17.8%
10% -37.4% 18% -25.7%
15% ← realistic here -43.4% 15% -32.8%
20% -49.0% 11% -39.4%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.
✓ Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $39,034.11 · official $39,034.11 (match) · 3500 history records