trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?
| timeframe | markets | gross ROI | NET ROI | gross WR | NET WR | net PnL (wtd) |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| ≤7d | 12 | +35.2% | +22.3% | 100% | 42% | +13.9% |
| ≤30d | 12 | +35.2% | +22.3% | 100% | 42% | +13.9% |
| ≤90d | 12 | +35.2% | +22.3% | 100% | 42% | +13.9% |
| all | 15 | +23.6% | +11.9% | 93% | 47% | +10.6% |
| copier slippage | NET ROI | NET WR | net PnL (wtd) |
|---|---|---|---|
| 5% ideal ← realistic here | +11.9% | 47% | +10.6% |
| 10% | +1.1% | 33% | -0.0% |
| 15% | -8.6% | 27% | -9.7% |
| 20% | -17.6% | 20% | -18.5% |
| Market | outcome | entry | now | invested | value | unrealized PnL |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | Yes | 17¢ | 14¢ | $850 | $718 | −$132 (-16%) |
| Market | when | invested | PnL | ROI |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Belgium vs. Egypt: O/U 5.5 | Jun 15 | $143 | +$11 | +8% |
| Côte d'Ivoire vs. Ecuador: Both Teams to Score in First Half | Jun 14 | $14 | $0 | +1% |
| Netherlands vs. Japan: O/U 4.5 | Jun 14 | $2,912 | +$84 | +3% |
| Netherlands vs. Japan: O/U 5.5 | Jun 14 | $482 | +$14 | +3% |
| Haiti vs. Scotland: O/U 3.5 | Jun 14 | $489 | +$111 | +23% |
| Spread: Brazil (-1.5) | Jun 14 | $970 | +$29 | +3% |
| Brazil vs. Morocco: O/U 4.5 | Jun 13 | $215 | +$11 | +5% |
| Qatar vs. Switzerland: O/U 3.5 | Jun 13 | $2,942 | +$55 | +2% |
| Spread: Switzerland (-2.5) | Jun 13 | $50 | +$24 | +48% |
| Will Canada vs. Bosnia and Herzegovina end in a draw? | Jun 12 | $23 | +$34 | +148% |
| Spread: Bosnia and Herzegovina (-1.5) | Jun 12 | $16 | +$9 | +54% |
| Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by end of 2026? | Jun 09 | $1,770 | +$2,210 | +125% |
| Trump-Denmark Greenland deal signed by March 31? | Jan 18 | $74 | −$74 | -100% |
| Lighter market cap (FDV) >$1B one day after launch? | Dec 31 | $300 | +$61 | +20% |
| Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on Decem | Dec 20 | $2,638 | +$316 | +12% |