Wallet analysis

2026-06-17T11:10:58+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

0.0
score
E9 0xe922…39b3 sports 529 markets active 0h ago coverage 25d ⚠
BOTnot copyable sports specialist⚠ High turnover⚠ Covers last 24d onlyP/L from Polymarket (history capped)
✗ bot/MM pace (115 trades/day) — uncopyable✗ on-chain reconstruction ≠ official P&L (longshot/capped history)✗ profits on perfect fills only — loses on real
Total PnL +$81,705 (+11%) realized +$82,937 · open −$1,232
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Gross ROI / mkt +12% what the leader earns
→−copy tax
Net edge / mkt -17% what you keep after slip
Net edge-17%after slip
Net WR56%break-even
Win rate57%295W / 224L
Whale WR62%big bets
Drawdown87%max
Avg bet$1,368per market
Trades / day115.2pace
Fees−$8,363est.
Kalshi-fit96%portable
Net worth$6,761now

Equity curve

realized PnL
Not enough resolved history to chart — analysis covers only 25d (hyperactive wallet — we see only the tail of its trades). A “Total PnL” curve will appear once daily tracking accumulates.

Categories

share · PnL
sports 87% +$28,098
crypto 9% −$847
other 4% +$5,413
world 0% −$360
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.

The copy-tax — evidence

gross is the leader · net is you

Net edge · by timeframe

gross → net
uncopyable — bot pace (115 trades/day)
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +56%
net ROI/market (all)+1.4%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 121 +11.4% +0.8% 56% 56% +5.3%
≤30d 519 +12.0% +1.4% 57% 56% -5.3%
≤90d 519 +12.0% +1.4% 57% 56% -5.3%
all 519 +12.0% +1.4% 57% 56% -5.3%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.

Slippage survival

net ROI/WR at slip
turnover115.2 tr/day
realistic slip~15%
edge survives to5%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal +1.4% 56% -5.3%
10% -8.3% 55% -14.3%
15% ← realistic here -17.2% 51% -22.6%
20% -25.3% 45% -30.2%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.

Edge quality

honest signals — luck vs skill
Profit concentration
top 2% · top 2 3% broad-based profit
Edge freshness (90d)
90d ROI +5% 90d near zero / fading
Fragile wins
1% wins margin < slip solid win margins
Flat-copyable
equal-wt +12% · $-wt +5% works when copied flat
Big bets
big-bet WR 62% (≥$1,516) strong on big bets
Persistence
early +20% → late +4% edge persists early→late
Add-ons / DCA
5.3 add-ons/market averages down — deposit killer
Win / loss size
+$990 vs −$1,154 · ×0.86 wins small, loses big
Profit factor
×1.13 profit barely above losses
Copy size
≥ $700 mirror leader trades ≥ this size to copy only main ideas

Supporting detail

25d coverage
Net worth$6,761
Realized+$82,937
Unrealized−$1,232
Win rate (resolved)57%
Wins / losses295 / 224
Whale WR (big bets)62%
Est. fees paid−$8,363
Open positions9
Markets (closed)519 / 529
History coverage25d ⚠
Avg bet$1,368
Trades / day115.2
Drawdown87%
Kalshi-fit96%

Ledger

positions · history · trades
Positions 9 History 519 Trades
Open positions — marked to current price, like Polymarket
Marketoutcome entrynow investedvalue unrealized PnL
Will Switzerland win Group B in the 2026 FIFA World Cup? Yes 56¢ 48¢ $2,500 $2,120 −$379 (-15%)
Map Handicap: TS (-1.5) vs G2 (+1.5) G2 53¢ 55¢ $1,037 $1,069 +$32 (+3%)
Will Brazil win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? Yes 9¢ 7¢ $1,250 $894 −$356 (-28%)
San Francisco Giants vs. Atlanta Braves Atlanta Braves 61¢ 52¢ $1,000 $844 −$156 (-16%)
Will Argentina reach the Quarterfinals at the 2026 FIFA World Cup? Yes 52¢ 60¢ $717 $821 +$103 (+14%)
England vs. Croatia: Both Teams to Score No 53¢ 52¢ $500 $495 −$5 (-1%)
Belgium vs. IR Iran: O/U 2.5 Under 51¢ 48¢ $502 $476 −$26 (-5%)
Will Mikel Oyarzabal be the top goalscorer at the 2026 FIFA World Cup? Yes 9¢ 2¢ $250 $42 −$208 (-83%)
Grass Court Championships: Elise Mertens vs Nikola Bartunkova Elise Mertens 34¢ 0¢ $238 $0 −$237 (-100%)
Top-25 open positions by current value. Prices in cents = market-implied probability (50¢ = 50%).
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Will IR Iran win on 2026-06-15? Jun 17 $507 −$507 -100%
HSBC Championships: Jenson Brooksby vs Martin Damm Jun 17 $759 −$759 -100%
Map Handicap: VIT (-1.5) vs FUT Esports (+1.5) Jun 17 $1,011 −$1,011 -100%
Kansas City Royals vs. Washington Nationals Jun 17 $1,013 +$741 +73%
Spread: Norway (-1.5) Jun 17 $756 +$814 +108%
Will France win on 2026-06-16? Jun 16 $4,469 +$3,156 +71%
France vs. Senegal: O/U 2.5 Jun 16 $506 +$386 +76%
Will New Zealand win on 2026-06-15? Jun 16 $501 +$408 +82%
Spread: Philadelphia Phillies (-1.5) Jun 16 $511 +$389 +76%
Counter-Strike: Natus Vincere vs G2 (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3 Jun 15 $1,440 +$2,560 +178%
Map Handicap: NAVI (-1.5) vs G2 (+1.5) Jun 15 $2,560 +$1,440 +56%
Will Spain win on 2026-06-15? Jun 15 $250 −$250 -100%
Counter-Strike: BetBoom Team vs FUT Esports - Map 2 Winner Jun 15 $1,005 −$485 -48%
Spread: Spain (-2.5) Jun 15 $1,013 −$1,013 -100%
Counter-Strike: BetBoom Team vs FUT Esports (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Jun 15 $2,230 −$1,110 -50%
Spread: Spain (-1.5) Jun 15 $1,254 −$1,254 -100%
Counter-Strike: Natus Vincere vs G2 - Map 2 Winner Jun 15 $506 +$1,056 +208%
Counter-Strike: 9z vs TheMongolz (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3 Jun 15 $1,600 +$2,400 +150%
Map Handicap: MGLZ (-1.5) vs 9z (+1.5) Jun 15 $645 +$341 +53%
Counter-Strike: 9z vs TheMongolz - Map 1 Winner Jun 15 $1,000 +$1,000 +100%
Netherlands vs. Japan: O/U 2.5 Jun 15 $253 −$253 -100%
Exact Score: Netherlands 0 - 0 Japan? Jun 15 $50 −$50 -100%
Will Ilia Topuria win by KO or TKO? Jun 15 $499 −$499 -100%
LoL: LYON vs Team Liquid - Game 1 Winner Jun 15 $1,012 −$1,012 -100%
Will Ecuador win on 2026-06-14? Jun 15 $764 −$764 -100%
UFC Freedom 250: Steve Garcia vs. Diego Lopes (Featherweight, Main Car Jun 15 $1,000 −$1,000 -100%
LoL: LYON vs Team Liquid - Game 3 Winner Jun 15 $2,228 −$1,697 -76%
UFC Freedom 250: Aiemann Zahabi vs. Sean O'Malley (Bantamweight, Main Jun 15 $1,017 −$1,017 -100%
UFC Freedom 250: Kyle Daukaus vs. Bo Nickal (Middleweight, Main Card) Jun 15 $1,530 −$1,530 -100%
Will the Carolina Hurricanes win the 2026 NHL Stanley Cup? Jun 15 $1,012 +$682 +67%
UFC Freedom 250: Ciryl Gane vs. Alex Pereira (Heavyweight, Main Card) Jun 15 $1,014 +$946 +93%
Will Josh Hokit win by KO or TKO? Jun 15 $1,553 +$1,047 +67%
Hurricanes vs. Golden Knights Jun 15 $507 +$436 +86%
LoL: LYON vs Team Liquid (BO5) - LCS Playoffs Jun 15 $1,369 +$1,131 +83%
LoL: LYON vs Team Liquid - Game 2 Winner Jun 15 $446 +$411 +92%
Counter-Strike: Natus Vincere vs Team Falcons (BO3) - IEM Cologne Majo Jun 14 $484 +$766 +158%
Valorant: G2 Esports vs FUT Esports - Map 2 Winner Jun 14 $507 −$507 -100%
Seattle Mariners vs. Washington Nationals Jun 14 $250 −$250 -100%
Counter-Strike: G2 vs Legacy - Map 2 Winner Jun 14 $500 −$500 -100%
Counter-Strike: MOUZ vs FUT Esports (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3 Jun 14 $1,500 −$1,500 -100%
Counter-Strike: G2 vs Legacy (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3 Jun 14 $1,527 −$1,527 -100%
Counter-Strike: TheMongolz vs Monte (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3 Jun 14 $1,700 −$1,700 -100%
Will Legacy win IEM Cologne Major 2026? Jun 14 $100 −$100 -100%
Counter-Strike: Aurora Gaming vs 9z (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3 Jun 14 $2,586 +$2,414 +93%
Map Handicap: MGLZ (-1.5) vs Monte (+1.5) Jun 14 $3,150 +$1,850 +59%
Stuttgart Open: Ben Shelton vs Taylor Fritz Jun 14 $506 −$506 -100%
LoL: Top Esports vs Bilibili Gaming - Game 3 Winner Jun 14 $700 −$700 -100%
LoL: T1 vs Gen.G (BO5) - LCK Road to MSI Jun 14 $4,011 −$4,011 -100%
LoL: Top Esports vs Bilibili Gaming - Game 2 Winner Jun 14 $5,999 +$3,188 +53%
LoL: Top Esports vs Bilibili Gaming - Game 1 Winner Jun 14 $1,063 +$687 +65%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
England vs. Croatia: Both Teams to Score BUY No 53¢ $507 3m
Grass Court Championships: Elise Mertens vs Nikola Bartunkova BUY Elise Mertens 34¢ $242 1h
Map Handicap: TS (-1.5) vs G2 (+1.5) BUY G2 52¢ $33 9h
Map Handicap: TS (-1.5) vs G2 (+1.5) BUY G2 52¢ $116 9h
Spread: Norway (-1.5) BUY Norway 48¢ $180 12h
Spread: Norway (-1.5) BUY Norway 48¢ $576 12h
Will Argentina reach the Quarterfinals at the 2026 FIFA World Cup? BUY Yes 52¢ $241 14h
Will France win on 2026-06-16? BUY No 16¢ $2 14h
Will France win on 2026-06-16? BUY No 16¢ $0 14h
Will France win on 2026-06-16? BUY No 16¢ $1 14h
Will France win on 2026-06-16? BUY No 16¢ $1 14h
Will France win on 2026-06-16? BUY No 16¢ $2 14h
Will France win on 2026-06-16? BUY No 16¢ $4 14h
Will France win on 2026-06-16? BUY No 16¢ $4 14h
Will France win on 2026-06-16? BUY No 16¢ $1 14h
Will France win on 2026-06-16? BUY No 16¢ $1 14h
Will France win on 2026-06-16? BUY No 16¢ $4 14h
Will France win on 2026-06-16? BUY No 16¢ $26 14h
Will France win on 2026-06-16? BUY No 16¢ $74 14h
Will France win on 2026-06-16? BUY No 16¢ $60 14h
Will France win on 2026-06-16? BUY No 16¢ $0 14h
Will France win on 2026-06-16? BUY No 16¢ $7 14h
Will France win on 2026-06-16? BUY No 16¢ $114 14h
Will France win on 2026-06-16? BUY No 16¢ $12 14h
Will France win on 2026-06-16? BUY No 16¢ $1 14h
Will France win on 2026-06-16? BUY No 16¢ $438 14h
Will France win on 2026-06-16? BUY Yes 48¢ $2,194 15h
Will France win on 2026-06-16? BUY Yes 48¢ $1,523 15h
Will Argentina reach the Quarterfinals at the 2026 FIFA World Cup? BUY Yes 52¢ $2 16h
San Francisco Giants vs. Atlanta Braves BUY Atlanta Braves 61¢ $1,011 17h
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
✓ Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $6,761.29 · official $6,761.29 (match) · 3500 history records