Wallet analysis

2026-06-14T01:13:35+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

E9
0xe925…a19a
world · 89 markets active 1h ago
2.0score
+$5 +0%
TOTAL PnL · realized +$5 · open +$0
avoidriskycopy
✗ TRAP Fresh edge
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Net worth$0
Realized+$5
Unrealized+$0
Win rate (resolved)43%
Wins / losses38 / 50
Est. fees paid−$3
Open positions1
Markets (closed)88 / 89
History coverage331d
Avg bet$47
Trades / day1.0
Drawdown50%
Kalshi-fit75%
Chart Positions 1 History 88 Categories Trades Net edge Slippage
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days+$0
7 days+$2
14 days+$1
30 days+$3
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.
Open positions — marked to current price, like Polymarket
Marketoutcome entrynow investedvalue unrealized PnL
Will James Talarico win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? No 98¢ 98¢ $0 $0 +$0 (+0%)
Top-25 open positions by current value. Prices in cents = market-implied probability (50¢ = 50%).
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Netanyahu out by June 30? Jun 13 $48 $0 +0%
US x Russia military clash by December 31, 2026? Jun 13 $3 $0 +0%
Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Stra Jun 13 $51 $0 +0%
Putin out as President of Russia by June 30? Jun 10 $96 $0 +0%
Israel closes its airspace by June 9? Jun 10 $51 $0 +1%
Israel x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026? Jun 09 $6 +$1 +20%
US-Iran nuclear deal before 2027? Jun 08 $46 $0 +0%
Will Alberta join the US? Jun 07 $231 $0 +0%
Will China invade Taiwan by June 30, 2026? Jun 07 $1 $0 +8%
Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by June 30? Jun 06 $2 $0 +0%
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by December 31, 2026? Jun 05 $45 +$1 +2%
US x Iran permanent peace deal by July 31, 2026? Jun 05 $20 +$1 +3%
Will Alireza Arafi be head of state in Iran end of 2026? Jun 05 $43 $0 +0%
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of May? Jun 03 $89 −$1 -2%
Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Stra May 31 $44 $0 -0%
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31? May 31 $45 −$1 -2%
Ukraine agrees not to join NATO by June 30? May 30 $45 $0 +0%
Ukraine signs peace deal with Russia before 2027? May 29 $63 $0 +0%
Israel closes its airspace by May 31? May 29 $44 $0 +0%
Iran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by May 31, 2026? May 26 $95 +$1 +1%
Will United Russia (ER) gain the most seats in the next Russian parlia May 26 $42 $0 +0%
Iran closes its airspace by June 30? May 25 $14 $0 +1%
Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027? May 25 $67 $0 +1%
Will Trump agree to Iranian transit fees in the Strait of Hormuz by Ma May 24 $132 +$1 +1%
Iran closes its airspace by May 31? May 24 $44 −$1 -1%
Will the Iranian regime fall by June 30? May 21 $8 $0 +0%
Will Reza Pahlavi enter Iran by June 30? May 20 $45 $0 -0%
Will João Fonseca be the 2026 Men’s Wimbledon winner? May 18 $2 $0 -0%
Will Amanda Anisimova be the 2026 Women’s Wimbledon Winner? May 18 $50 $0 -0%
Will Trump agree to Iranian enrichment of uranium by May 31? May 14 $43 $0 +0%
Will Atletico Madrid win the 2025–26 Champions League? Apr 26 $39 $0 +0%
Will the Cleveland Cavaliers win the 2026 NBA Finals? Apr 26 $43 $0 -0%
Will Rafael López Aliaga win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election? Apr 26 $39 $0 +0%
Will Lorenzo Musetti win the 2026 Men's French Open? Apr 25 $39 $0 +0%
Will the San Antonio Spurs win the 2026 NBA Finals? Apr 25 $97 $0 -0%
Will the Minnesota Timberwolves win the 2026 NBA Finals? Apr 23 $40 $0 -0%
Will Kevin Warsh be confirmed as Fed Chair? Apr 22 $21 $0 -1%
Will the Carolina Panthers win the 2027 NFL league championship? Apr 22 $1 $0 +7%
Will France win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? Apr 21 $70 $0 +0%
Will the Iranian regime fall by May 31? Apr 19 $40 $0 -0%
Starmer out by April 30, 2026? Apr 19 $39 $0 -0%
Will Andy Beshear win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? Apr 19 $80 $0 +0%
Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026? Apr 16 $58 $0 +0%
Will the Detroit Pistons win the 2026 NBA Finals? Apr 16 $45 $0 +0%
Iran x Israel/US conflict ends by December 31? Apr 14 $41 $0 +0%
Will Tucker Carlson win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination? Apr 12 $100 $0 +0%
Will Elon Musk win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination? Apr 09 $42 $0 +0%
Will Trump visit China by April 30? Apr 09 $86 $0 +0%
Trump out as President by April 30? Apr 07 $45 $0 +0%
Will Japan win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? Apr 07 $4 $0 -0%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
world 29% +$2
other 27% +$1
politics 20% −$1
crypto 9% +$2
sports 8% −$1
economics 4% $0
finance 2% +$1
tech 1% $0
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Netanyahu out by June 30? SELL No 99¢ $46 1h
Netanyahu out by June 30? BUY No 99¢ $46 2h
US x Russia military clash by December 31, 2026? SELL Yes 6¢ $3 7h
US x Russia military clash by December 31, 2026? BUY Yes 6¢ $3 9h
Netanyahu out by June 30? SELL Yes 1¢ $2 14h
Netanyahu out by June 30? BUY Yes 1¢ $2 17h
Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Stra SELL Yes 78¢ $51 20h
Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Stra BUY Yes 78¢ $51 22h
Putin out as President of Russia by June 30? SELL No 99¢ $51 3d
Putin out as President of Russia by June 30? BUY No 99¢ $51 3d
Israel closes its airspace by June 9? SELL No 100¢ $52 3d
Israel closes its airspace by June 9? BUY No 99¢ $51 3d
Israel x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026? SELL Yes 4¢ $5 4d
Israel x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026? SELL Yes 4¢ $2 4d
Israel x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026? BUY Yes 3¢ $3 5d
Israel x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026? BUY Yes 3¢ $2 5d
Israel x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026? BUY Yes 3¢ $0 5d
US-Iran nuclear deal before 2027? SELL No 33¢ $46 5d
US-Iran nuclear deal before 2027? BUY No 33¢ $39 5d
US-Iran nuclear deal before 2027? BUY No 33¢ $7 5d
Will Alberta join the US? SELL No 96¢ $45 6d
Will Alberta join the US? BUY No 95¢ $45 6d
Will China invade Taiwan by June 30, 2026? SELL Yes 1¢ $0 6d
Will China invade Taiwan by June 30, 2026? SELL Yes 1¢ $1 6d
Will China invade Taiwan by June 30, 2026? BUY Yes 1¢ $0 7d
Will China invade Taiwan by June 30, 2026? BUY Yes 1¢ $1 7d
Will Alberta join the US? SELL Yes 5¢ $2 7d
Will Alberta join the US? BUY Yes 5¢ $2 7d
Putin out as President of Russia by June 30? SELL Yes 1¢ $1 7d
Putin out as President of Russia by June 30? SELL Yes 1¢ $1 7d
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
negative after costs — do not copy
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +3%
net ROI/market (all)-8.8%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 9 +3.2% -6.6% 67% 11% -9.2%
≤30d 29 +1.1% -8.5% 48% 3% -9.3%
≤90d 73 +1.0% -8.7% 44% 4% -9.4%
all 88 +0.8% -8.8% 43% 3% -9.4%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.
turnover1.0 tr/day
realistic slip~5%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal ← realistic here -8.8% 3% -9.4%
10% -17.5% 0% -18.1%
15% -25.5% 0% -26.0%
20% -32.8% 0% -33.3%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.
✓ Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $0.18 · official $0.00 (match) · 338 history records