Wallet analysis

2026-06-12T14:38:23+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

E9
0xe93a…2f2a
crypto · 252 markets active 0h ago
0.0score
−$123 -5%
TOTAL PnL · realized −$123 · open +$0
avoidriskycopy
✗ TRAP crypto specialistFresh edge⚠ High turnover
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Net worth$0
Realized−$123
Unrealized+$0
Win rate (resolved)42%
Wins / losses105 / 147
Open positions0
Markets (closed)252 / 252
History coverage57d
Avg bet$10
Trades / day13.7
Drawdown100%
Kalshi-fit100%
Chart Positions 0 History 252 Categories Trades Net edge Slippage
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days+$33
7 days+$35
14 days−$38
30 days−$38
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.
Open positions — marked to current price, like Polymarket
Marketoutcome entrynow investedvalue unrealized PnL
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 9, 12:15PM-12:20PM ET Up 50¢ 0¢ $9 $0 −$9 (-100%)
Top-25 open positions by current value. Prices in cents = market-implied probability (50¢ = 50%).
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:30AM-10:35AM ET Jun 12 $10 −$2 -23%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:10AM-9:15AM ET Jun 12 $21 −$4 -20%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:35AM-6:40AM ET Jun 12 $10 +$10 +97%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 4:35AM-4:40AM ET Jun 12 $10 +$5 +49%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 2:35AM-2:40AM ET Jun 12 $3 $0 -15%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 1:40AM-1:45AM ET Jun 12 $5 −$2 -38%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 12:55AM-1:00AM ET Jun 12 $10 −$6 -61%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 12:35AM-12:40AM ET Jun 12 $11 −$5 -52%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 8:30PM-8:35PM ET Jun 12 $10 +$10 +101%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 7:50PM-7:55PM ET Jun 11 $10 +$2 +22%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 11:10AM-11:15AM ET Jun 11 $10 $0 -4%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 10:15AM-10:20AM ET Jun 11 $10 +$1 +10%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 8:40AM-8:45AM ET Jun 11 $10 +$15 +140%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 8:30AM-8:35AM ET Jun 11 $10 −$3 -26%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 8:15AM-8:20AM ET Jun 11 $10 +$3 +28%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 5:40AM-5:45AM ET Jun 11 $10 +$13 +124%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 5:35AM-5:40AM ET Jun 11 $11 +$6 +58%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 2:50AM-2:55AM ET Jun 11 $10 +$2 +21%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 1:55AM-2:00AM ET Jun 11 $10 −$3 -32%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 12:05AM-12:10AM ET Jun 11 $10 −$4 -39%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 12:05PM-12:10PM ET Jun 10 $10 −$4 -35%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 8:05AM-8:10AM ET Jun 10 $10 −$4 -43%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 5:05AM-5:10AM ET Jun 10 $10 +$9 +87%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 4:15AM-4:20AM ET Jun 10 $10 −$2 -18%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 3:20AM-3:25AM ET Jun 10 $31 −$31 -97%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 9, 9:00PM-9:05PM ET Jun 10 $10 −$4 -36%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 9, 1:40PM-1:45PM ET Jun 09 $10 +$2 +24%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 9, 12:15PM-12:20PM ET Jun 09 $10 −$9 -88%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 9, 12:10PM-12:15PM ET Jun 09 $10 −$2 -16%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 9, 12:05PM-12:10PM ET Jun 09 $11 −$10 -91%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 9, 11:45AM-11:50AM ET Jun 09 $10 −$5 -44%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 9, 11:30AM-11:35AM ET Jun 09 $21 +$8 +41%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 9, 9:55AM-10:00AM ET Jun 09 $10 +$4 +35%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 9, 8:55AM-9:00AM ET Jun 09 $10 +$5 +52%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 9, 8:35AM-8:40AM ET Jun 09 $10 −$2 -20%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 9, 2:05AM-2:10AM ET Jun 09 $10 −$4 -39%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 8, 11:45PM-11:50PM ET Jun 09 $10 −$10 -97%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 8, 8:30PM-8:35PM ET Jun 09 $10 +$3 +28%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 8, 8:00PM-8:05PM ET Jun 09 $10 +$3 +33%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 8, 5:55PM-6:00PM ET Jun 08 $10 −$2 -21%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 8, 3:20PM-3:25PM ET Jun 08 $10 +$8 +78%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 8, 9:40AM-9:45AM ET Jun 08 $13 +$14 +108%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 8, 9:35AM-9:40AM ET Jun 08 $10 +$10 +101%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 8, 6:55AM-7:00AM ET Jun 08 $2 +$2 +102%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 8, 6:50AM-6:55AM ET Jun 08 $10 +$10 +101%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 8, 6:05AM-6:10AM ET Jun 08 $10 +$11 +107%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 8, 3:15AM-3:20AM ET Jun 08 $10 −$3 -28%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 8, 2:10AM-2:15AM ET Jun 08 $10 +$4 +42%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 7, 7:45PM-7:50PM ET Jun 07 $10 −$5 -45%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 7, 6:35PM-6:40PM ET Jun 07 $10 −$10 -100%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
crypto 100% −$123
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:30AM-10:35AM ET SELL Up 41¢ $8 3m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:30AM-10:35AM ET BUY Up 49¢ $10 4m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:10AM-9:15AM ET SELL Up 59¢ $12 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:10AM-9:15AM ET BUY Up 50¢ $10 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:10AM-9:15AM ET SELL Up 25¢ $5 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:10AM-9:15AM ET BUY Up 50¢ $10 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:35AM-6:40AM ET SELL Down 98¢ $20 3h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:35AM-6:40AM ET BUY Down 48¢ $10 3h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 4:35AM-4:40AM ET SELL Down 69¢ $15 5h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 4:35AM-4:40AM ET BUY Down 45¢ $10 5h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 2:35AM-2:40AM ET SELL Up 45¢ $2 7h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 2:35AM-2:40AM ET BUY Up 49¢ $3 7h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 1:40AM-1:45AM ET SELL Down 33¢ $3 8h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 1:40AM-1:45AM ET BUY Down 49¢ $5 8h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 12:55AM-1:00AM ET SELL Up 7¢ $1 9h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 12:55AM-1:00AM ET SELL Up 11¢ $0 9h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 12:55AM-1:00AM ET SELL Up 22¢ $3 9h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 12:55AM-1:00AM ET BUY Up 34¢ $10 9h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 12:35AM-12:40AM ET SELL Down 10¢ $5 9h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 12:35AM-12:40AM ET SELL Down 12¢ $1 9h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 12:35AM-12:40AM ET BUY Down 19¢ $11 9h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 8:30PM-8:35PM ET BUY Up 48¢ $10 14h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 7:50PM-7:55PM ET SELL Up 63¢ $6 14h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 7:50PM-7:55PM ET SELL Up 63¢ $6 14h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 7:50PM-7:55PM ET SELL Up 63¢ $1 14h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 7:50PM-7:55PM ET BUY Up 50¢ $10 14h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 11:10AM-11:15AM ET SELL Down 46¢ $10 23h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 11:10AM-11:15AM ET BUY Down 46¢ $10 23h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 10:15AM-10:20AM ET SELL Up 55¢ $11 24h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 10:15AM-10:20AM ET BUY Up 48¢ $10 24h
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
negative after costs — do not copy
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +32%
net ROI/market (all)-10.7%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 73 +7.6% -2.7% 48% 44% -5.7%
≤30d 197 +1.7% -8.0% 43% 34% -11.3%
≤90d 252 -1.3% -10.7% 42% 32% -14.0%
all 252 -1.3% -10.7% 42% 32% -14.0%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.
turnover13.7 tr/day
realistic slip~9%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal ← realistic here -10.7% 32% -14.0%
10% -19.2% 23% -22.2%
15% -27.0% 17% -29.7%
20% -34.2% 13% -36.6%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.
✓ Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $0.00 · official $0.00 (match) · 815 history records