Wallet analysis

2026-06-14T10:50:59+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

E9
0xe93e…a8b4
other · 45 markets active 2h ago
0.0score
+$3 +2%
TOTAL PnL · realized +$1 · open +$1
avoidriskycopy
✗ TRAP Fading edge⚠ High turnover
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Net worth$24
Realized+$1
Unrealized+$1
Win rate (resolved)19%
Wins / losses7 / 30
Est. fees paid−$1
Open positions6
Markets (closed)37 / 45
History coverage6d
Avg bet$3
Trades / day10.2
Drawdown100%
Kalshi-fit18%
Chart Positions 6 History 37 Categories Trades Net edge Slippage
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days−$17
7 days+$1
14 days+$1
30 days+$1
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.
Open positions — marked to current price, like Polymarket
Marketoutcome entrynow investedvalue unrealized PnL
Will Portugal win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? Yes 11¢ 12¢ $10 $11 +$1 (+12%)
Will Germany win on 2026-06-14? Yes 94¢ 94¢ $5 $5 −$0 (-0%)
Exact Score: Sweden 1 - 1 Tunisia? Yes 15¢ 15¢ $2 $2 +$0 (+0%)
Exact Score: Netherlands 0 - 0 Japan? Yes 8¢ 8¢ $2 $2 −$0 (-6%)
Exact Score: Netherlands 2 - 2 Japan? Yes 7¢ 6¢ $2 $2 −$0 (-11%)
Exact Score: Sweden 1 - 2 Tunisia? Yes 8¢ 7¢ $2 $2 −$0 (-12%)
Will the San Antonio Spurs win the 2026 NBA Finals? Yes 22¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Will Brazil win on 2026-06-13? Yes 58¢ 0¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
Exact Score: Mexico 1 - 0 South Africa? Yes 19¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Will South Africa win on 2026-06-11? Yes 11¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Exact Score: Qatar 0 - 2 Switzerland? Yes 17¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Exact Score: Brazil 0 - 0 Morocco? Yes 9¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Exact Score: Canada 0 - 0 Bosnia-Herzegovina? Yes 11¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Exact Score: United States 2 - 1 Paraguay? Yes 11¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Exact Score: United States 1 - 2 Paraguay? Yes 7¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Exact Score: Brazil 3 - 1 Morocco? Yes 7¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Exact Score: Australia 0 - 2 Türkiye? Yes 14¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Exact Score: Brazil 2 - 1 Morocco? Yes 12¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Exact Score: Korea Republic 0 - 0 Czechia? Yes 12¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Exact Score: Australia 1 - 2 Türkiye? Yes 12¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Will Haiti win on 2026-06-13? Yes 16¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Exact Score: Canada 0 - 1 Bosnia-Herzegovina? Yes 10¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Will Paraguay win on 2026-06-12? Yes 24¢ 0¢ $3 $0 −$3 (-100%)
Exact Score: Mexico 1 - 1 South Africa? Yes 11¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Exact Score: Canada 1 - 0 Bosnia-Herzegovina? Yes 17¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Top-25 open positions by current value. Prices in cents = market-implied probability (50¢ = 50%).
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Knicks vs. Spurs Jun 14 $5 +$9 +172%
Exact Score: Brazil 0 - 0 Morocco? Jun 13 $2 −$2 -97%
Will the San Antonio Spurs win the 2026 NBA Finals? Jun 13 $6 −$3 -47%
Will Haiti win on 2026-06-13? Jun 13 $1 −$1 -98%
Will Qatar win on 2026-06-13? Jun 13 $1 $0 -10%
Exact Score: Brazil 3 - 1 Morocco? Jun 13 $2 −$2 -97%
Exact Score: Brazil 2 - 1 Morocco? Jun 13 $2 −$2 -97%
Will Brazil win on 2026-06-13? Jun 13 $5 −$5 -99%
Exact Score: Qatar 0 - 3 Switzerland? Jun 13 $2 −$2 -98%
Exact Score: Qatar 0 - 2 Switzerland? Jun 13 $2 −$2 -98%
Will Qatar vs. Switzerland end in a draw? Jun 13 $1 $0 -12%
Exact Score: Australia 1 - 2 Türkiye? Jun 13 $2 −$2 -97%
Exact Score: Australia 0 - 2 Türkiye? Jun 13 $2 −$2 -98%
Will Türkiye win on 2026-06-14? Jun 13 $5 −$5 -99%
Exact Score: United States 2 - 1 Paraguay? Jun 12 $2 −$2 -97%
Will Paraguay win on 2026-06-12? Jun 12 $3 −$3 -98%
Exact Score: Canada 1 - 1 Bosnia-Herzegovina? Jun 12 $4 +$16 +388%
Exact Score: United States 1 - 2 Paraguay? Jun 12 $2 −$2 -97%
Exact Score: United States 0 - 1 Paraguay? Jun 12 $2 −$2 -97%
Will United States win on 2026-06-12? Jun 12 $14 −$1 -9%
Exact Score: United States 1 - 0 Paraguay? Jun 12 $1 $0 -25%
Exact Score: Canada 2 - 0 Bosnia-Herzegovina? Jun 12 $1 $0 -20%
Exact Score: Canada 0 - 1 Bosnia-Herzegovina? Jun 12 $1 −$1 -97%
Exact Score: Canada 0 - 0 Bosnia-Herzegovina? Jun 12 $2 −$2 -97%
Will Canada win on 2026-06-12? Jun 12 $5 $0 -3%
Will Korea Republic win on 2026-06-11? Jun 12 $2 +$3 +165%
Exact Score: Canada 2 - 1 Bosnia-Herzegovina? Jun 12 $1 −$1 -97%
Exact Score: Canada 1 - 0 Bosnia-Herzegovina? Jun 12 $1 −$1 -98%
Exact Score: Korea Republic 2 - 1 Czechia? Jun 12 $1 +$10 +982%
Exact Score: Korea Republic 1 - 1 Czechia? Jun 12 $3 −$3 -98%
Exact Score: Mexico 2 - 0 South Africa? Jun 11 $1 +$4 +414%
Exact Score: Mexico 1 - 1 South Africa? Jun 11 $2 −$2 -97%
Spurs vs. Knicks Jun 11 $5 +$5 +96%
Will South Africa win on 2026-06-11? Jun 09 $1 −$1 -97%
Exact Score: Mexico 1 - 0 South Africa? Jun 09 $1 −$1 -98%
Exact Score: Korea Republic 0 - 0 Czechia? Jun 09 $1 −$1 -97%
Spurs vs. Knicks Jun 09 $5 +$6 +114%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
other 78% −$14
sports 18% +$16
crypto 3% $0
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Will Germany win on 2026-06-14? BUY Yes 94¢ $5 1h
Exact Score: Sweden 1 - 2 Tunisia? BUY Yes 8¢ $2 1h
Exact Score: Sweden 1 - 1 Tunisia? BUY Yes 15¢ $2 1h
Exact Score: Netherlands 2 - 2 Japan? BUY Yes 7¢ $2 1h
Exact Score: Netherlands 0 - 0 Japan? BUY Yes 8¢ $2 1h
Exact Score: Brazil 0 - 0 Morocco? BUY Yes 9¢ $2 13h
Will the San Antonio Spurs win the 2026 NBA Finals? SELL Yes 18¢ $2 13h
Will Haiti win on 2026-06-13? BUY Yes 16¢ $1 16h
Will Qatar win on 2026-06-13? SELL Yes 6¢ $1 16h
Exact Score: Brazil 3 - 1 Morocco? BUY Yes 7¢ $2 23h
Exact Score: Brazil 2 - 1 Morocco? BUY Yes 12¢ $2 23h
Will Brazil win on 2026-06-13? BUY Yes 58¢ $5 25h
Exact Score: Qatar 0 - 3 Switzerland? BUY Yes 14¢ $2 32h
Exact Score: Qatar 0 - 2 Switzerland? BUY Yes 17¢ $2 32h
Will Qatar vs. Switzerland end in a draw? SELL Yes 13¢ $1 32h
Exact Score: Australia 1 - 2 Türkiye? BUY Yes 12¢ $2 32h
Exact Score: Australia 0 - 2 Türkiye? BUY Yes 14¢ $2 32h
Will Türkiye win on 2026-06-14? BUY Yes 57¢ $5 32h
Will the San Antonio Spurs win the 2026 NBA Finals? BUY Yes 19¢ $1 36h
Will Qatar vs. Switzerland end in a draw? BUY Yes 14¢ $1 36h
Will Qatar win on 2026-06-13? BUY Yes 6¢ $1 36h
Exact Score: United States 2 - 1 Paraguay? BUY Yes 10¢ $1 36h
Will Paraguay win on 2026-06-12? BUY Yes 24¢ $3 36h
Exact Score: Canada 1 - 1 Bosnia-Herzegovina? BUY Yes 15¢ $1 41h
Exact Score: United States 1 - 2 Paraguay? BUY Yes 7¢ $2 41h
Exact Score: United States 0 - 1 Paraguay? BUY Yes 10¢ $2 41h
Will United States win on 2026-06-12? SELL Yes 45¢ $13 41h
Exact Score: United States 1 - 0 Paraguay? SELL Yes 15¢ $1 41h
Exact Score: Canada 2 - 0 Bosnia-Herzegovina? SELL Yes 11¢ $1 41h
Exact Score: Canada 1 - 1 Bosnia-Herzegovina? BUY Yes 16¢ $2 41h
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
negative after costs — do not copy
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +19%
net ROI/market (all)-13.1%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 37 -4.0% -13.1% 19% 19% -8.0%
≤30d 37 -4.0% -13.1% 19% 19% -8.0%
≤90d 37 -4.0% -13.1% 19% 19% -8.0%
all 37 -4.0% -13.1% 19% 19% -8.0%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.
turnover10.2 tr/day
realistic slip~9%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal ← realistic here -13.1% 19% -8.0%
10% -21.4% 19% -16.8%
15% -29.0% 19% -24.9%
20% -36.0% 19% -32.2%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.
✓ Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $23.60 · official $23.60 (match) · 67 history records