Wallet analysis

2026-06-17T20:30:12+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

0.0
score
E9 0xe95e…c1c7 crypto 712 markets active 3h ago coverage 38d
TRAPdo not copy crypto specialist⚠ High turnover
✗ negative after realistic slippage✗ 90-day edge negative — edge has died! high turnover
Total PnL +$944 (+7%) realized +$944 · open +$0
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Gross ROI / mkt -27% what the leader earns
→−copy tax
Net edge / mkt -44% what you keep after slip
Net edge-44%after slip
Net WR43%break-even
Win rate46%328W / 384L
Drawdown100%max
Avg bet$20per market
Trades / day31.0pace
Fees−$1est.
Kalshi-fit98%portable
Net worth$0now

Equity curve

realized PnL
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days−$823
7 days−$1,179
14 days−$1,241
30 days−$893
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.

Categories

share · PnL
crypto 99% −$1,028
sports 0% +$37
other 0% −$19
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.

The copy-tax — evidence

gross is the leader · net is you

Net edge · by timeframe

gross → net
negative after costs — do not copy
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +43%
net ROI/market (all)-33.9%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 71 -94.8% -95.3% 4% 4% -82.1%
≤30d 664 -28.8% -35.6% 45% 43% -11.9%
≤90d 712 -27.0% -33.9% 46% 43% -12.6%
all 712 -27.0% -33.9% 46% 43% -12.6%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.

Slippage survival

net ROI/WR at slip
turnover31.0 tr/day
realistic slip~13%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal -33.9% 43% -12.6%
10% ← realistic here -40.2% 38% -21.0%
15% -46.0% 34% -28.6%
20% -51.3% 13% -35.6%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.

Edge quality

honest signals — luck vs skill
Profit concentration
top 27% · top 2 32% broad-based profit
Edge freshness (90d)
90d ROI -7% edge died — 90d negative
Fragile wins
6% wins margin < slip solid win margins
Flat-copyable
equal-wt -27% · $-wt -7% works when copied flat
Big bets
big-bet WR —% no data
Persistence
early -22% → late -31% mixed
Add-ons / DCA
1.7 add-ons/market adds to positions
Win / loss size
+$16 vs −$16 · ×0.98 wins small, loses big
Profit factor
×0.84 loses more than it wins
Copy size
≥ $50 mirror leader trades ≥ this size to copy only main ideas

Supporting detail

38d coverage
Net worth$0
Realized+$944
Unrealized+$0
Win rate (resolved)46%
Wins / losses328 / 384
Est. fees paid−$1
Open positions0
Markets (closed)712 / 712
History coverage38d
Avg bet$20
Trades / day31.0
Drawdown100%
Kalshi-fit98%

Ledger

positions · history · trades
Positions 0 History 712 Trades
no open positions (380 resolved losses — in realized PnL)
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 1:15PM-1:30PM ET Jun 17 $68 −$45 -67%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 12:15PM-12:30PM ET Jun 17 $17 −$16 -95%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 12:00PM-12:15PM ET Jun 17 $8 −$7 -96%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 11:30AM-11:45AM ET Jun 17 $40 −$73 -184%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 11:15AM-11:30AM ET Jun 17 $8 −$8 -95%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 11:00AM-11:15AM ET Jun 17 $47 −$24 -50%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 10:15AM-10:30AM ET Jun 17 $65 −$90 -139%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 10:30AM-10:45AM ET Jun 17 $14 −$13 -95%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 9:45AM-10:00AM ET Jun 17 $59 −$84 -142%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 8:15AM-8:30AM ET Jun 17 $28 −$26 -94%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 7:45AM-8:00AM ET Jun 17 $43 −$48 -112%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 7:30AM-7:45AM ET Jun 17 $35 −$34 -95%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 7:15AM-7:30AM ET Jun 17 $59 −$56 -95%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 7:00AM-7:15AM ET Jun 17 $63 −$57 -90%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 6:45AM-7:00AM ET Jun 17 $83 −$111 -134%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 6:30AM-6:45AM ET Jun 17 $44 −$47 -107%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 3:30AM-3:45AM ET Jun 17 $46 −$44 -97%
XRP Up or Down - June 17, 1:25AM-1:30AM ET Jun 17 $2 −$2 -94%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 16, 7:25AM-7:30AM ET Jun 16 $2 −$2 -94%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 16, 7:20AM-7:25AM ET Jun 16 $2 −$2 -94%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 16, 7:15AM-7:20AM ET Jun 16 $4 −$4 -94%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 16, 7:05AM-7:10AM ET Jun 16 $4 −$4 -94%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 16, 7:00AM-7:05AM ET Jun 16 $4 −$4 -94%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 16, 6:50AM-6:55AM ET Jun 16 $4 −$4 -94%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 16, 6:35AM-6:40AM ET Jun 16 $2 −$2 -94%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 16, 6:30AM-6:35AM ET Jun 16 $4 −$4 -94%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 16, 6:15AM-6:20AM ET Jun 16 $4 −$4 -94%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 16, 6:10AM-6:15AM ET Jun 16 $2 −$2 -94%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 16, 5:45AM-5:50AM ET Jun 16 $2 −$2 -94%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 16, 5:30AM-5:35AM ET Jun 16 $4 −$4 -94%
XRP Up or Down - June 15, 12:45PM-12:50PM ET Jun 15 $2 −$2 -94%
XRP Up or Down - June 15, 12:40PM-12:45PM ET Jun 15 $2 −$2 -94%
XRP Up or Down - June 15, 12:20PM-12:25PM ET Jun 15 $3 −$3 -94%
XRP Up or Down - June 15, 12:10PM-12:15PM ET Jun 15 $5 −$5 -94%
XRP Up or Down - June 15, 12:00PM-12:05PM ET Jun 15 $3 −$2 -94%
XRP Up or Down - June 15, 11:40AM-11:45AM ET Jun 15 $3 −$2 -94%
XRP Up or Down - June 15, 11:35AM-11:40AM ET Jun 15 $3 −$2 -94%
XRP Up or Down - June 15, 11:30AM-11:35AM ET Jun 15 $3 −$2 -94%
XRP Up or Down - June 15, 11:20AM-11:25AM ET Jun 15 $5 −$5 -94%
XRP Up or Down - June 15, 10:45AM-10:50AM ET Jun 15 $3 −$2 -94%
XRP Up or Down - June 15, 10:20AM-10:25AM ET Jun 15 $3 −$2 -94%
XRP Up or Down - June 15, 8:40AM-8:45AM ET Jun 15 $3 −$2 -94%
XRP Up or Down - June 15, 7:05AM-7:10AM ET Jun 15 $3 −$2 -94%
XRP Up or Down - June 15, 6:30AM-6:35AM ET Jun 15 $3 −$2 -94%
XRP Up or Down - June 15, 5:15AM-5:20AM ET Jun 15 $3 −$2 -94%
XRP Up or Down - June 15, 3:30AM-3:35AM ET Jun 15 $3 −$2 -94%
XRP Up or Down - June 14, 8:45PM-8:50PM ET Jun 15 $3 −$2 -94%
XRP Up or Down - June 14, 7:45PM-7:50PM ET Jun 14 $3 −$2 -94%
XRP Up or Down - June 14, 7:25PM-7:30PM ET Jun 14 $3 −$2 -94%
XRP Up or Down - June 14, 7:05PM-7:10PM ET Jun 14 $3 −$2 -94%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 1:15PM-1:30PM ET BUY Down 21¢ $2 3h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 1:15PM-1:30PM ET BUY Down 25¢ $10 3h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 1:15PM-1:30PM ET BUY Up 68¢ $22 3h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 1:15PM-1:30PM ET BUY Up 70¢ $22 3h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 1:15PM-1:30PM ET BUY Down 34¢ $12 3h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 12:15PM-12:30PM ET BUY Down 27¢ $2 4h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 12:15PM-12:30PM ET BUY Down 21¢ $16 4h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 12:00PM-12:15PM ET BUY Down 34¢ $8 4h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 11:30AM-11:45AM ET BUY Down 33¢ $11 4h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 11:30AM-11:45AM ET BUY Down 34¢ $12 4h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 11:30AM-11:45AM ET BUY Up 57¢ $2 4h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 11:30AM-11:45AM ET BUY Down 46¢ $15 4h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 11:15AM-11:30AM ET BUY Down 23¢ $6 5h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 11:15AM-11:30AM ET BUY Down 24¢ $3 5h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 11:00AM-11:15AM ET BUY Up 23¢ $8 5h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 11:00AM-11:15AM ET BUY Up 23¢ $12 5h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 11:00AM-11:15AM ET BUY Up 41¢ $15 5h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 11:00AM-11:15AM ET BUY Down 27¢ $4 5h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 11:00AM-11:15AM ET BUY Down 28¢ $9 5h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 10:30AM-10:45AM ET BUY Up 17¢ $6 5h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 10:30AM-10:45AM ET BUY Up 22¢ $8 5h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 10:15AM-10:30AM ET BUY Up 19¢ $9 6h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 10:15AM-10:30AM ET BUY Up 21¢ $9 6h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 10:15AM-10:30AM ET BUY Up 23¢ $9 6h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 10:15AM-10:30AM ET BUY Down 56¢ $18 6h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 10:15AM-10:30AM ET BUY Up 45¢ $21 6h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 9:45AM-10:00AM ET BUY Down 54¢ $18 6h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 9:45AM-10:00AM ET BUY Up 54¢ $16 6h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 9:45AM-10:00AM ET BUY Down 47¢ $16 6h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 9:45AM-10:00AM ET BUY Down 43¢ $10 6h
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
✓ Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $0.00 · official $0.00 (match) · 1564 history records