Wallet analysis

2026-06-18T13:16:51+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

0.0
score
E9 0xe962…5e8e crypto 24 markets active 0h ago coverage 1d
BOTnot copyable crypto specialist⚠ High turnover⚠ Small sample
✗ bot/MM pace (56 trades/day) — uncopyable✗ only 1d of captured history — unreliable✗ negative after realistic slippage✗ wins on margins thinner than slippage✗ 90-day edge negative — edge has died! limited sample (<25 closed)! concentrated profit (few bets)
Total PnL +$10 (+1%) realized +$10 · open +$0
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Gross ROI / mkt -6% what the leader earns
→−copy tax
Net edge / mkt -28% what you keep after slip
Net edge-28%after slip
Net WR25%break-even
Win rate75%18W / 6L
Drawdown100%max
Avg bet$33per market
Trades / day56.4pace
Fees−$0est.
Kalshi-fit88%portable
Net worth$0now

Equity curve

realized PnL
Not enough resolved history to chart — analysis covers only 1d (hyperactive wallet — we see only the tail of its trades). A “Total PnL” curve will appear once daily tracking accumulates.

Categories

share · PnL
crypto 89% −$50
other 11% +$7
sports 1% +$1
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.

The copy-tax — evidence

gross is the leader · net is you

Net edge · by timeframe

gross → net
uncopyable — bot pace (56 trades/day)
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +25%
net ROI/market (all)-15.3%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 24 -6.4% -15.3% 75% 25% -14.2%
≤30d 24 -6.4% -15.3% 75% 25% -14.2%
≤90d 24 -6.4% -15.3% 75% 25% -14.2%
all 24 -6.4% -15.3% 75% 25% -14.2%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.

Slippage survival

net ROI/WR at slip
turnover56.4 tr/day
realistic slip~13%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal -15.3% 25% -14.2%
10% ← realistic here -23.4% 12% -22.5%
15% -30.8% 8% -29.9%
20% -37.6% 0% -36.8%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.

Edge quality

honest signals — luck vs skill
Profit concentration
top 33% · top 2 53% concentrated in a few bets
Edge freshness (90d)
90d ROI -5% edge died — 90d negative
Fragile wins
67% wins margin < slip most wins thinner than slippage → losses for you
Flat-copyable
equal-wt -6% · $-wt -5% works when copied flat
Big bets
big-bet WR —% no data
Persistence
early -8% → late -5% mixed
Add-ons / DCA
1.7 add-ons/market adds to positions
Win / loss size
+$3 vs −$15 · ×0.18 wins small, loses big
Profit factor
×0.55 loses more than it wins
Copy size
≥ $50 mirror leader trades ≥ this size to copy only main ideas

Supporting detail

1d coverage
Net worth$0
Realized+$10
Unrealized+$0
Win rate (resolved)75%
Wins / losses18 / 6
Est. fees paid−$0
Open positions0
Markets (closed)24 / 24
History coverage1d
Avg bet$33
Trades / day56.4
Drawdown100%
Kalshi-fit88%

Ledger

positions · history · trades
Positions 0 History 24 Trades
no open positions (2 resolved losses — in realized PnL)
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 18, 9:10AM-9:15AM ET Jun 18 $25 +$1 +3%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 18, 9:05AM-9:10AM ET Jun 18 $25 +$2 +8%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 18, 9:00AM-9:05AM ET Jun 18 $25 +$1 +3%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 18, 8:25AM-8:30AM ET Jun 18 $15 +$1 +6%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 18, 8:20AM-8:25AM ET Jun 18 $15 +$1 +5%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 18, 8:10AM-8:15AM ET Jun 18 $10 +$1 +6%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 18, 8:05AM-8:10AM ET Jun 18 $30 +$4 +13%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 18, 8:00AM-8:05AM ET Jun 18 $10 +$1 +7%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 18, 7:45AM-8:00AM ET Jun 18 $20 +$2 +11%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 18, 7:50AM-7:55AM ET Jun 18 $5 $0 +3%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 18, 7:45AM-7:50AM ET Jun 18 $30 −$25 -83%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 18, 7:40AM-7:45AM ET Jun 18 $51 −$22 -44%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 18, 7:35AM-7:40AM ET Jun 18 $5 −$5 -94%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 18, 7:30AM-7:35AM ET Jun 18 $77 +$2 +2%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 18, 7:25AM-7:30AM ET Jun 18 $25 +$4 +16%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 18, 7:20AM-7:25AM ET Jun 18 $76 −$20 -26%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 18, 7:15AM-7:20AM ET Jun 18 $77 $0 -0%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 18, 7:10AM-7:15AM ET Jun 18 $76 +$2 +2%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 18, 7:05AM-7:10AM ET Jun 18 $81 +$2 +2%
XRP Up or Down - June 18, 6:45AM-7:00AM ET Jun 18 $25 +$1 +3%
Will Colombia win on 2026-06-17? Jun 18 $25 +$10 +40%
Will England win on 2026-06-17? Jun 17 $41 +$17 +42%
Portugal to score first vs. DR Congo? Jun 17 $5 +$1 +29%
Will Portugal win on 2026-06-17? Jun 17 $20 −$20 -99%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 18, 9:10AM-9:15AM ET BUY Down 97¢ $25 1m
Ethereum Up or Down - June 18, 9:05AM-9:10AM ET BUY Up 92¢ $25 9m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 18, 9:00AM-9:05AM ET BUY Down 97¢ $25 12m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 18, 8:25AM-8:30AM ET BUY Up 94¢ $15 47m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 18, 8:20AM-8:25AM ET BUY Up 95¢ $15 54m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 18, 8:10AM-8:15AM ET BUY Up 94¢ $10 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 18, 8:05AM-8:10AM ET BUY Down 84¢ $15 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 18, 8:05AM-8:10AM ET SELL Down 89¢ $17 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 18, 8:05AM-8:10AM ET BUY Down 80¢ $15 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 18, 8:00AM-8:05AM ET BUY Up 93¢ $10 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 18, 7:45AM-8:00AM ET SELL Down 85¢ $9 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 18, 7:45AM-8:00AM ET BUY Down 69¢ $10 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 18, 7:45AM-8:00AM ET SELL Down 75¢ $10 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 18, 7:45AM-8:00AM ET BUY Down 75¢ $5 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 18, 7:45AM-8:00AM ET BUY Down 75¢ $5 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 18, 7:50AM-7:55AM ET BUY Up 97¢ $5 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 18, 7:45AM-7:50AM ET BUY Down 97¢ $5 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 18, 7:45AM-7:50AM ET BUY Up 77¢ $25 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 18, 7:40AM-7:45AM ET BUY Down 86¢ $25 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 18, 7:40AM-7:45AM ET SELL Down 94¢ $29 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 18, 7:40AM-7:45AM ET BUY Down 82¢ $25 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 18, 7:35AM-7:40AM ET BUY Up 11¢ $5 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 18, 7:30AM-7:35AM ET BUY Down 89¢ $25 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 18, 7:30AM-7:35AM ET SELL Down 90¢ $27 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 18, 7:30AM-7:35AM ET BUY Down 83¢ $25 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 18, 7:30AM-7:35AM ET SELL Up 34¢ $23 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 18, 7:30AM-7:35AM ET BUY Up 35¢ $26 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 18, 7:25AM-7:30AM ET SELL Up 91¢ $29 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 18, 7:25AM-7:30AM ET BUY Up 77¢ $25 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 18, 7:20AM-7:25AM ET BUY Down 90¢ $25 1h
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
✓ Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $0.00 · official $0.00 (match) · 87 history records