Wallet analysis

2026-06-20T11:20:29+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

0.0
score
E9 0xe966…12de sports 167 markets active 2h ago coverage 249d
TRAPdo not copy sports specialistFading edge
✗ profits on perfect fills only — loses on real✗ 90-day edge negative — edge has died! concentrated profit (few bets)
Total PnL −$1,761 (-4%) realized −$1,760 · open −$1
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Gross ROI / mkt +19% what the leader earns
→−copy tax
Net edge / mkt +3% what you keep after slip
Net edge+3%after slip
Net WR56%break-even
Win rate65%101W / 55L
Whale WR73%big bets
Drawdown100%max
Avg bet$274per market
Trades / day3.4pace
Fees−$41est.
Kalshi-fit83%portable
Net worth$64now

Equity curve

realized PnL
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days−$28
7 days+$169
14 days+$311
30 days+$463
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.

Categories

share · PnL
other 65% −$4,923
sports 34% +$3,182
crypto 1% +$31
politics 0% +$2
world 0% $0
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.

The copy-tax — evidence

gross is the leader · net is you

Net edge · by timeframe

gross → net
trap: profits on perfect fill only, loses on real
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +56%
net ROI/market (all)+7.4%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 20 +1.9% -7.8% 55% 50% +8.2%
≤30d 44 +10.8% +0.2% 64% 61% +9.8%
≤90d 113 -1.2% -10.6% 56% 50% -21.8%
all 156 +18.7% +7.4% 65% 56% -12.9%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.

Slippage survival

net ROI/WR at slip
turnover3.4 tr/day
realistic slip~7%
edge survives to5%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal ← realistic here +7.4% 56% -12.9%
10% -2.9% 42% -21.2%
15% -12.3% 33% -28.9%
20% -20.9% 24% -35.8%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.

Edge quality

honest signals — luck vs skill
Profit concentration
top 39% · top 2 50% concentrated in a few bets
Edge freshness (90d)
90d ROI -14% edge died — 90d negative
Fragile wins
12% wins margin < slip solid win margins
Flat-copyable
equal-wt +19% · $-wt -4% works when copied flat
Big bets
big-bet WR 73% (≥$500) strong on big bets
Persistence
early +48% → late -10% edge faded
Add-ons / DCA
3.6 add-ons/market averages down — deposit killer
Win / loss size
+$57 vs −$136 · ×0.42 wins small, loses big
Profit factor
×0.77 loses more than it wins
Copy size
≥ $50 mirror leader trades ≥ this size to copy only main ideas

Supporting detail

249d coverage
Net worth$64
Realized−$1,760
Unrealized−$1
Win rate (resolved)65%
Wins / losses101 / 55
Whale WR (big bets)73%
Est. fees paid−$41
Open positions2
Markets (closed)156 / 167
History coverage249d
Avg bet$274
Trades / day3.4
Drawdown100%
Kalshi-fit83%

Ledger

positions · history · trades
Positions 2 History 156 Trades
Open positions — marked to current price, like Polymarket
Marketoutcome entrynow investedvalue unrealized PnL
Counter-Strike: Spirit vs Team Falcons (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Playoffs Spirit 58¢ 57¢ $60 $59 −$1 (-1%)
Will Netherlands vs. Sweden end in a draw? Yes 24¢ 24¢ $5 $5 −$0 (-2%)
Top-25 open positions by current value. Prices in cents = market-implied probability (50¢ = 50%). Plus 19 resolved losing bets — already counted in realized PnL, so not shown here.
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Will Paraguay win on 2026-06-19? Jun 20 $20 +$13 +62%
Will United States win on 2026-06-19? AND Will Brazil win on 2026-06-1 Jun 20 $20 +$14 +70%
Counter-Strike: Vitality vs Team Falcons (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Pla Jun 19 $46 −$45 -99%
Counter-Strike: Spirit vs G2 (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Playoffs Jun 19 $10 +$1 +10%
Counter-Strike: FURIA vs 9z (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Playoffs Jun 18 $10 −$10 -98%
Will Croatia win on 2026-06-17? Jun 17 $2 −$2 -97%
Will England vs. Croatia end in a draw? Jun 17 $5 −$5 -98%
Spread: Portugal (-2.5) Jun 17 $51 +$25 +50%
Will Portugal vs. DR Congo end in a draw? Jun 17 $14 +$17 +120%
Will DR Congo win on 2026-06-17? Jun 17 $7 −$6 -97%
Will France win on 2026-06-16? AND Will Argentina win on 2026-06-16? A Jun 17 $20 +$32 +155%
Counter-Strike: 9z vs TheMongolz (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3 Jun 15 $10 +$15 +152%
Counter-Strike: Natus Vincere vs G2 (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3 Jun 15 $20 −$20 -99%
Netherlands vs. Japan: O/U 1.5 AND Will Sweden win on 2026-06-14? AND Jun 15 $20 +$34 +169%
Counter-Strike: Natus Vincere vs Team Falcons (BO3) - IEM Cologne Majo Jun 14 $10 −$10 -98%
Counter-Strike: BetBoom Team vs Vitality (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Sta Jun 14 $220 +$30 +14%
LoL: Top Esports vs Bilibili Gaming (BO5) - LPL Playoffs Jun 14 $198 +$52 +26%
LoL: T1 vs Gen.G (BO5) - LCK Road to MSI Jun 14 $11 −$2 -17%
Counter-Strike: Vitality vs MOUZ (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3 Jun 13 $161 +$47 +29%
LoL: Team WE vs Bilibili Gaming (BO5) - LPL Playoffs Jun 13 $10 −$10 -98%
LoL: Gen.G vs KT Rolster (BO5) - LCK Road to MSI Jun 13 $5 −$5 -97%
Counter-Strike: Aurora Gaming vs Spirit (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stag Jun 12 $155 +$22 +14%
LoL: Hanwha Life Esports vs T1 (BO5) - LCK Road to MSI Jun 12 $25 −$25 -98%
Counter-Strike: Natus Vincere vs Spirit (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stag Jun 11 $117 +$64 +55%
Counter-Strike: Vitality vs FUT Esports (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stag Jun 11 $96 +$20 +21%
Counter-Strike: TYLOO vs Legacy (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 2 Jun 09 $71 +$25 +36%
Counter-Strike: TYLOO vs 9z (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 2 Jun 08 $52 +$19 +36%
Counter-Strike: MIBR vs B8 (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 2 Jun 08 $40 −$40 -99%
Counter-Strike: Spirit vs 9z (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 2 Jun 07 $83 +$9 +11%
LoL: KT Rolster vs Dplus KIA (BO5) - LCK Road to MSI Jun 07 $21 +$62 +287%
LoL: Top Esports vs Team WE (BO5) - LPL Playoffs Jun 07 $15 −$15 -98%
LoL: JD Gaming vs Bilibili Gaming (BO5) - LPL Playoffs Jun 06 $32 +$5 +17%
Counter-Strike: TYLOO vs Lynn Vision (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 1 Jun 05 $24 +$7 +31%
LoL: Anyone's Legend vs Team WE (BO5) - LPL Playoffs Jun 01 $111 +$63 +57%
LoL: Bilibili Gaming vs Team WE (BO5) - LPL Playoffs May 30 $5 +$19 +372%
LoL: JD Gaming vs ThunderTalk Gaming (BO5) - LPL Playoffs May 29 $10 −$10 -98%
LoL: KT Rolster vs T1 (BO3) - LCK Rounds 1-2 May 28 $150 +$22 +14%
LoL: Weibo Gaming vs LGD Gaming (BO5) - LPL Play-In May 24 $35 +$24 +68%
LoL: HANJIN BRION vs T1 (BO3) - LCK Rounds 1-2 May 24 $100 +$12 +12%
LoL: Invictus Gaming vs ThunderTalk Gaming (BO5) - LPL Play-In May 23 $50 +$20 +40%
Honor of Kings: AG Super Play vs Wolves (BO9) - Honor of Kings Challen May 23 $36 +$5 +13%
LoL: Nongshim Red Force vs Hanwha Life Esports (BO3) - LCK Rounds 1-2 May 23 $20 −$20 -98%
LoL: KT Rolster vs Gen.G (BO3) - LCK Rounds 1-2 May 22 $10 −$10 -98%
LoL: JD Gaming vs Anyone's Legend (BO5) - Esports World Cup China Qual May 21 $40 +$20 +50%
LoL: T1 vs Kiwoom DRX (BO3) - LCK Rounds 1-2 May 20 $20 +$4 +21%
LoL: KT Rolster vs HANJIN BRION (BO3) - Esports World Cup Korea Qualif May 18 $10 +$8 +76%
LoL: JD Gaming vs Invictus Gaming (BO3) - LPL Group Ascend May 17 $23 +$17 +77%
LoL: Hanwha Life Esports vs KT Rolster (BO3) - LCK Rounds 1-2 May 17 $20 +$35 +172%
LoL: Team WE vs Ninjas in Pyjamas (BO3) - LPL Group Ascend May 16 $10 −$10 -98%
Honor of Kings: JD Gaming vs AG Super Play (BO7) - Honor of Kings Chal May 16 $55 +$1 +2%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Counter-Strike: Spirit vs Team Falcons (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Playo BUY Spirit 58¢ $61 1h
Will Netherlands vs. Sweden end in a draw? BUY Yes 24¢ $5 5h
Will Germany win on 2026-06-20? AND Will Japan win on 2026-06-21? AND BUY 36¢ $20 5h
Will Germany win on 2026-06-20? AND Will Japan win on 2026-06-21? AND BUY 21¢ $10 5h
Will Paraguay win on 2026-06-19? BUY Yes 61¢ $20 6h
Counter-Strike: Vitality vs Team Falcons (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Pla BUY Vitality 57¢ $10 15h
Will United States win on 2026-06-19? AND Will Scotland vs. Morocco en BUY 18¢ $3 16h
Will United States win on 2026-06-19? AND Will Brazil win on 2026-06-1 BUY 58¢ $20 16h
Will United States win on 2026-06-19? AND Will Brazil win on 2026-06-1 BUY 18¢ $3 16h
Counter-Strike: Spirit vs G2 (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Playoffs SELL Spirit 62¢ $11 17h
Counter-Strike: Spirit vs G2 (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Playoffs BUY Spirit 55¢ $10 20h
Counter-Strike: Vitality vs Team Falcons (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Pla BUY Vitality 71¢ $36 21h
Will Qatar win on 2026-06-18? AND Will Korea Republic win on 2026-06-1 BUY 2¢ $1 37h
Will Canada vs. Qatar end in a draw? AND Will Mexico vs. Korea Republi BUY 5¢ $2 37h
Counter-Strike: FURIA vs 9z (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Playoffs BUY 9z 27¢ $10 43h
Will Croatia win on 2026-06-17? BUY Yes 6¢ $2 2d
Will England vs. Croatia end in a draw? BUY Yes 17¢ $5 2d
Spread: Portugal (-2.5) SELL DR Congo 97¢ $76 2d
Will Portugal vs. DR Congo end in a draw? SELL Yes 39¢ $31 2d
Spread: Portugal (-2.5) BUY DR Congo 64¢ $51 2d
Will DR Congo win on 2026-06-17? BUY Yes 8¢ $7 2d
Will Portugal vs. DR Congo end in a draw? BUY Yes 17¢ $14 2d
Will France win on 2026-06-16? AND Will Argentina win on 2026-06-16? A BUY 38¢ $20 4d
Will Uruguay win on 2026-06-15? AND Will Belgium win on 2026-06-15? BUY 45¢ $15 4d
Counter-Strike: Natus Vincere vs G2 (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3 BUY Natus Vincere 65¢ $20 5d
Counter-Strike: 9z vs TheMongolz (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3 BUY 9z 39¢ $10 5d
Will Uruguay win on 2026-06-15? AND Will Spain win on 2026-06-15? AND BUY 39¢ $10 5d
Will Uruguay win on 2026-06-15? AND Will Spain win on 2026-06-15? AND BUY 21¢ $5 5d
Counter-Strike: Natus Vincere vs Team Falcons (BO3) - IEM Cologne Majo BUY Natus Vincere 46¢ $10 5d
Counter-Strike: BetBoom Team vs Vitality (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Sta SELL Vitality 100¢ $250 5d
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
≈ Vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $64.38 · official $94.38 · 954 history records