Wallet analysis

2026-06-25T22:25:34+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

0.0
score
E9 0xe967…02ae crypto 102 markets active 0h ago coverage 1d
BOTnot copyable crypto specialistFading edge⚠ High turnover
✗ bot/MM pace (104 trades/day) — uncopyable✗ only 1d of captured history — unreliable✗ negative after realistic slippage✗ wins on margins thinner than slippage
Total PnL +$142 (+1%) realized +$373 · open −$231
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Gross ROI / mkt +2% what the leader earns
→−copy tax
Net edge / mkt -22% what you keep after slip
Net edge-22%after slip
Net WR8%break-even
Win rate97%95W / 3L
Drawdown96%max
Avg bet$195per market
Trades / day104.0pace
Kalshi-fit100%portable
Net worth$569now

Equity curve

realized PnL
Not enough resolved history to chart — analysis covers only 1d (hyperactive wallet — we see only the tail of its trades). A “Total PnL” curve will appear once daily tracking accumulates.

Categories

share · PnL
crypto 100% −$6
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.

The copy-tax — evidence

gross is the leader · net is you

Net edge · by timeframe

gross → net
uncopyable — bot pace (104 trades/day)
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +8%
net ROI/market (all)-7.8%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 98 +1.9% -7.8% 97% 8% -8.5%
≤30d 98 +1.9% -7.8% 97% 8% -8.5%
≤90d 98 +1.9% -7.8% 97% 8% -8.5%
all 98 +1.9% -7.8% 97% 8% -8.5%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.

Slippage survival

net ROI/WR at slip
turnover104.0 tr/day
realistic slip~13%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal -7.8% 8% -8.5%
10% ← realistic here -16.6% 2% -17.2%
15% -24.6% 1% -25.2%
20% -32.0% 0% -32.6%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.

Edge quality

honest signals — luck vs skill
Profit concentration
top 12% · top 2 15% broad-based profit
Edge freshness (90d)
90d ROI +1% 90d near zero / fading
Fragile wins
89% wins margin < slip most wins thinner than slippage → losses for you
Flat-copyable
equal-wt +2% · $-wt +1% works when copied flat
Big bets
big-bet WR —% no data
Persistence
early +5% → late -1% edge faded
Add-ons / DCA
1.0 add-ons/market flat bettor — clean entries
Win / loss size
+$9 vs −$201 · ×0.04 wins small, loses big
Profit factor
×1.37 profit barely above losses
Copy size
≥ $50 mirror leader trades ≥ this size to copy only main ideas

Supporting detail

1d coverage
Net worth$569
Realized+$373
Unrealized−$231
Win rate (resolved)97%
Wins / losses95 / 3
Open positions4
Markets (closed)98 / 102
History coverage1d
Avg bet$195
Trades / day104.0
Drawdown96%
Kalshi-fit100%

Ledger

positions · history · trades
Positions 4 History 98 Trades
Open positions — marked to current price, like Polymarket
Marketoutcome entrynow investedvalue unrealized PnL
XRP Up or Down - June 25, 6:20PM-6:25PM ET Down 98¢ 74¢ $200 $152 −$48 (-24%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 25, 6:20PM-6:25PM ET Down 96¢ 69¢ $200 $145 −$55 (-28%)
Solana Up or Down - June 25, 6:20PM-6:25PM ET Down 94¢ 64¢ $200 $137 −$63 (-31%)
Ethereum Up or Down - June 25, 6:20PM-6:25PM ET Down 97¢ 66¢ $200 $135 −$65 (-32%)
Top-25 open positions by current value. Prices in cents = market-implied probability (50¢ = 50%). Plus 1 resolved losing bets — already counted in realized PnL, so not shown here.
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Ethereum Up or Down - June 25, 6:15PM-6:20PM ET Jun 25 $202 +$29 +14%
XRP Up or Down - June 25, 6:15PM-6:20PM ET Jun 25 $200 +$5 +2%
Dogecoin Up or Down - June 25, 6:10PM-6:15PM ET Jun 25 $200 +$2 +1%
XRP Up or Down - June 25, 6:10PM-6:15PM ET Jun 25 $200 +$2 +1%
Solana Up or Down - June 25, 6:05PM-6:10PM ET Jun 25 $200 +$5 +3%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 25, 5:45PM-5:50PM ET Jun 25 $200 +$2 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 25, 5:45PM-5:50PM ET Jun 25 $200 +$4 +2%
XRP Up or Down - June 25, 5:45PM-5:50PM ET Jun 25 $201 +$11 +5%
Dogecoin Up or Down - June 25, 5:40PM-5:45PM ET Jun 25 $200 +$2 +1%
XRP Up or Down - June 25, 5:40PM-5:45PM ET Jun 25 $200 +$3 +1%
Solana Up or Down - June 25, 5:40PM-5:45PM ET Jun 25 $200 +$5 +2%
XRP Up or Down - June 25, 5:35PM-5:40PM ET Jun 25 $200 +$4 +2%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 25, 5:35PM-5:40PM ET Jun 25 $201 +$10 +5%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 25, 5:20PM-5:25PM ET Jun 25 $201 +$16 +8%
XRP Up or Down - June 25, 5:20PM-5:25PM ET Jun 25 $200 +$2 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 25, 5:15PM-5:20PM ET Jun 25 $200 +$2 +1%
XRP Up or Down - June 25, 5:15PM-5:20PM ET Jun 25 $200 +$7 +3%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 25, 5:10PM-5:15PM ET Jun 25 $200 +$2 +1%
XRP Up or Down - June 25, 5:10PM-5:15PM ET Jun 25 $200 +$3 +2%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 25, 5:05PM-5:10PM ET Jun 25 $200 +$2 +1%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 25, 5:05PM-5:10PM ET Jun 25 $200 +$4 +2%
Dogecoin Up or Down - June 25, 5:00PM-5:05PM ET Jun 25 $56 +$1 +1%
Solana Up or Down - June 25, 5:00PM-5:05PM ET Jun 25 $200 +$6 +3%
XRP Up or Down - June 25, 4:55PM-5:00PM ET Jun 25 $200 +$2 +1%
XRP Up or Down - June 25, 4:25PM-4:30PM ET Jun 25 $200 +$3 +1%
Solana Up or Down - June 25, 4:20PM-4:25PM ET Jun 25 $201 +$21 +10%
Dogecoin Up or Down - June 25, 4:20PM-4:25PM ET Jun 25 $201 +$19 +9%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 25, 4:15PM-4:20PM ET Jun 25 $200 +$5 +2%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 25, 4:15PM-4:20PM ET Jun 25 $201 +$19 +9%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 25, 4:10PM-4:15PM ET Jun 25 $200 +$4 +2%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 25, 4:05PM-4:10PM ET Jun 25 $203 −$200 -98%
XRP Up or Down - June 25, 3:55PM-4:00PM ET Jun 25 $201 +$11 +5%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 25, 3:55PM-4:00PM ET Jun 25 $201 +$12 +6%
Solana Up or Down - June 25, 3:45PM-3:50PM ET Jun 25 $400 +$6 +1%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 25, 3:40PM-3:45PM ET Jun 25 $201 +$8 +4%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 25, 3:40PM-3:45PM ET Jun 25 $200 +$2 +1%
Solana Up or Down - June 25, 2:35PM-2:40PM ET Jun 25 $201 −$201 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 25, 3:20PM-3:25PM ET Jun 25 $200 +$6 +3%
XRP Up or Down - June 25, 3:20PM-3:25PM ET Jun 25 $405 −$202 -50%
Dogecoin Up or Down - June 25, 3:15PM-3:20PM ET Jun 25 $200 +$2 +1%
Solana Up or Down - June 25, 3:15PM-3:20PM ET Jun 25 $201 +$21 +10%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 25, 3:15PM-3:20PM ET Jun 25 $200 +$6 +3%
Dogecoin Up or Down - June 25, 2:55PM-3:00PM ET Jun 25 $193 +$4 +2%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 25, 2:40PM-2:45PM ET Jun 25 $200 +$4 +2%
XRP Up or Down - June 25, 2:40PM-2:45PM ET Jun 25 $205 +$97 +48%
Dogecoin Up or Down - June 25, 2:35PM-2:40PM ET Jun 25 $201 +$8 +4%
XRP Up or Down - June 25, 2:35PM-2:40PM ET Jun 25 $202 +$23 +11%
Dogecoin Up or Down - June 25, 2:25PM-2:30PM ET Jun 25 $200 +$7 +3%
XRP Up or Down - June 25, 2:25PM-2:30PM ET Jun 25 $201 +$8 +4%
Solana Up or Down - June 25, 2:20PM-2:25PM ET Jun 25 $200 +$3 +1%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Solana Up or Down - June 25, 6:20PM-6:25PM ET BUY Down 94¢ $201 0m
Ethereum Up or Down - June 25, 6:20PM-6:25PM ET BUY Down 97¢ $200 0m
XRP Up or Down - June 25, 6:20PM-6:25PM ET BUY Down 98¢ $200 0m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 25, 6:20PM-6:25PM ET BUY Down 96¢ $201 1m
XRP Up or Down - June 25, 6:15PM-6:20PM ET BUY Down 97¢ $200 5m
Ethereum Up or Down - June 25, 6:15PM-6:20PM ET BUY Down 87¢ $202 5m
Dogecoin Up or Down - June 25, 6:10PM-6:15PM ET BUY Down 99¢ $200 10m
XRP Up or Down - June 25, 6:10PM-6:15PM ET BUY Down 99¢ $200 10m
Solana Up or Down - June 25, 6:05PM-6:10PM ET BUY Down 97¢ $200 16m
XRP Up or Down - June 25, 5:45PM-5:50PM ET BUY Down 94¢ $201 35m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 25, 5:45PM-5:50PM ET BUY Down 98¢ $200 36m
Ethereum Up or Down - June 25, 5:45PM-5:50PM ET BUY Down 99¢ $200 36m
Solana Up or Down - June 25, 5:40PM-5:45PM ET BUY Down 97¢ $200 40m
XRP Up or Down - June 25, 5:40PM-5:45PM ET BUY Down 99¢ $200 41m
Dogecoin Up or Down - June 25, 5:40PM-5:45PM ET BUY Down 99¢ $200 41m
XRP Up or Down - June 25, 5:35PM-5:40PM ET BUY Up 98¢ $200 45m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 25, 5:35PM-5:40PM ET BUY Down 95¢ $201 45m
XRP Up or Down - June 25, 5:20PM-5:25PM ET BUY Up 99¢ $200 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 25, 5:20PM-5:25PM ET BUY Up 92¢ $201 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 25, 5:15PM-5:20PM ET BUY Down 99¢ $200 1h
XRP Up or Down - June 25, 5:15PM-5:20PM ET BUY Down 97¢ $200 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 25, 5:10PM-5:15PM ET BUY Up 99¢ $200 1h
XRP Up or Down - June 25, 5:10PM-5:15PM ET BUY Down 98¢ $200 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 25, 5:05PM-5:10PM ET BUY Up 99¢ $200 1h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 25, 5:05PM-5:10PM ET BUY Up 98¢ $200 1h
Dogecoin Up or Down - June 25, 5:00PM-5:05PM ET BUY Up 99¢ $56 1h
Solana Up or Down - June 25, 5:00PM-5:05PM ET BUY Up 97¢ $200 1h
XRP Up or Down - June 25, 4:55PM-5:00PM ET BUY Up 99¢ $200 1h
XRP Up or Down - June 25, 4:25PM-4:30PM ET BUY Up 99¢ $200 1h
Solana Up or Down - June 25, 4:20PM-4:25PM ET BUY Up 90¢ $201 2h
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
✓ Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $569.49 · official $569.51 (match) · 205 history records