trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?
| timeframe | markets | gross ROI | NET ROI | gross WR | NET WR | net PnL (wtd) |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| ≤7d | 8 | -1.3% | -10.7% | 38% | 0% | -9.6% |
| ≤30d | 10 | -1.1% | -10.5% | 40% | 0% | -9.5% |
| ≤90d | 10 | -1.1% | -10.5% | 40% | 0% | -9.5% |
| all | 27 | -4.0% | -13.2% | 52% | 0% | -9.6% |
| copier slippage | NET ROI | NET WR | net PnL (wtd) |
|---|---|---|---|
| 5% ideal ← realistic here | -13.2% | 0% | -9.6% |
| 10% | -21.5% | 0% | -18.2% |
| 15% | -29.1% | 0% | -26.1% |
| 20% | -36.0% | 0% | -33.4% |
| Market | when | invested | PnL | ROI |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Avigdor Lieberman be the next Prime Minister of Israel? | Jun 16 | $40 | $0 | +0% |
| Will Russia capture all of Kupiansk by June 30? | Jun 16 | $40 | $0 | +0% |
| Will Benjamin Netanyahu be the next Prime Minister of Israel? | Jun 15 | $13 | −$1 | -10% |
| Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Stra | Jun 14 | $29 | −$1 | -3% |
| Will the United Kingdom send warships through the Strait of Hormuz by | Jun 13 | $77 | +$2 | +2% |
| Israel x Hezbollah permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026? | Jun 13 | $40 | $0 | +0% |
| Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026? | Jun 13 | $36 | $0 | +0% |
| Will United Russia (ER) gain the most seats in the next Russian parlia | Jun 12 | $13 | $0 | -0% |
| Israel x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026? | Jun 10 | $2 | $0 | -2% |
| US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by June 30? | Jun 10 | $36 | +$1 | +2% |
| Will Andrew Cuomo win the 2025 NYC mayoral election? | Dec 10 | $1 | $0 | +5% |
| Will Borussia Dortmund win the FIFA Club World Cup? | Dec 10 | $1 | $0 | +3% |
| Will Bitcoin reach $150K in June? | Dec 10 | $2 | $0 | +1% |
| Will Lee Jae-myung win 60-65% of the vote in the South Korea election? | Jun 05 | $2 | $0 | +2% |
| Will Trump pardon Daniel Penny in his first 100 days? | May 06 | $1 | $0 | -1% |
| Bitcoin Up or Down on May 3? | May 06 | $1 | −$1 | -100% |
| Will the price of Bitcoin be greater than $86000 on Apr 18? | Apr 19 | $1 | $0 | +1% |
| Will Lazio win the UEFA Europa League? | Apr 13 | $13 | +$1 | +9% |
| Will Elon and DOGE cut between $200-250b in federal spending in 2025? | Apr 04 | $14 | $0 | -0% |
| TikTok sale announced before April? | Apr 03 | $14 | $0 | +2% |
| Will Călin Georgescu win the Romanian presidential election? | Mar 28 | $14 | $0 | +0% |
| 500+ Measles cases in U.S. before April? | Mar 27 | $10 | $0 | +2% |
| Israel military action against Iranian nuclear facility in March? | Mar 27 | $2 | $0 | -20% |
| Will Elon tweet 375-399 times March 21-28? | Mar 25 | $14 | $0 | +3% |
| Will Doc Rivers make the 2025 Class of the Naismith Basketball Hall of | Mar 22 | $14 | $0 | -1% |
| Stonehill vs. Fairleigh Dickinson | Mar 04 | $14 | −$1 | -4% |
| Xavier vs. Butler | Mar 04 | $14 | $0 | +0% |