Wallet analysis

2026-06-12T10:23:01+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

E9
0xe975…397f
crypto · 143 markets active 0h ago
0.0score
−$18 -3%
TOTAL PnL · realized −$18 · open +$0
avoidriskycopy
✗ TRAP crypto specialist⚠ High turnover
Chart Positions 0 History 143 Categories Trades Net edge Slippage
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days−$2
7 days−$18
14 days−$18
30 days−$18
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.
Open positions — marked to current price, like Polymarket
Marketoutcome entrynow investedvalue unrealized PnL
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 8, 6:15AM-6:30AM ET Up 18¢ $7 $0 −$7 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 6:15AM-6:20AM ET Up 36¢ $4 $0 −$4 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 9, 8:30AM-8:45AM ET Up 24¢ $3 $0 −$3 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 8, 3:15AM-3:30AM ET Down 48¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 9, 10:15PM-10:30PM ET Up 42¢ $4 $0 −$4 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 9:00AM-9:15AM ET Up 34¢ $8 $0 −$8 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 8, 11:00AM-11:15AM ET Down 43¢ $3 $0 −$3 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 9, 10:15AM-10:30AM ET Up 13¢ $6 $0 −$6 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 9, 10:45AM-10:50AM ET Up 40¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 8, 6:45AM-7:00AM ET Up 29¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 6:00AM-6:15AM ET Up 21¢ $4 $0 −$4 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 9:15AM-9:20AM ET Up 48¢ $6 $0 −$6 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 2:30AM-2:45AM ET Up $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 5:15AM-5:30AM ET Down 10¢ $4 $0 −$4 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 8, 7:00PM-7:15PM ET Down 59¢ $3 $0 −$3 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 9, 9:15AM-9:30AM ET Up 22¢ $3 $0 −$3 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 8, 7:15AM-7:30AM ET Down $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 9, 10:30AM-10:45AM ET Up 41¢ $9 $0 −$9 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 7, 10:15PM-10:30PM ET Up 83¢ $3 $0 −$3 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 4:45AM-5:00AM ET Down 31¢ $8 $0 −$8 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 7:15AM-7:30AM ET Up 59¢ $4 $0 −$4 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 8, 6:25AM-6:30AM ET Up 27¢ $3 $0 −$3 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 10:00AM-10:15AM ET Up 27¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 8, 9:25AM-9:30AM ET Up $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 9, 8:00AM-8:15AM ET Down 11¢ $3 $0 −$3 (-100%)
Top-25 open positions by current value. Prices in cents = market-implied probability (50¢ = 50%).
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:15AM-6:20AM ET Jun 12 $4 −$1 -32%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:00AM-6:15AM ET Jun 12 $7 −$1 -10%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 5:40AM-5:45AM ET Jun 12 $7 −$7 -95%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 5:30AM-5:45AM ET Jun 12 $14 −$13 -95%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 5:15AM-5:30AM ET Jun 12 $4 −$4 -94%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 5:00AM-5:15AM ET Jun 12 $9 +$4 +45%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 4:45AM-5:00AM ET Jun 12 $8 −$8 -95%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 4:35AM-4:40AM ET Jun 12 $3 +$1 +20%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 3:30AM-3:45AM ET Jun 12 $16 +$4 +26%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 3:15AM-3:30AM ET Jun 12 $13 +$3 +23%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 3:00AM-3:15AM ET Jun 12 $1 +$1 +96%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 2:45AM-3:00AM ET Jun 12 $5 +$1 +17%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 2:45AM-2:50AM ET Jun 12 $4 +$2 +45%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 2:30AM-2:45AM ET Jun 12 $2 −$1 -45%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 8:00PM-8:15PM ET Jun 12 $7 +$5 +66%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 7:55PM-8:00PM ET Jun 11 $3 −$3 -97%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 11:00AM-11:15AM ET Jun 11 $7 +$2 +32%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 10:00AM-10:15AM ET Jun 11 $1 −$1 -95%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 8:30AM-8:35AM ET Jun 11 $3 +$2 +67%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 7:45AM-8:00AM ET Jun 11 $6 +$2 +30%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 1:30AM-1:45AM ET Jun 11 $4 −$4 -97%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 12:00AM-12:15AM ET Jun 11 $3 $0 +12%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 10:30PM-10:45PM ET Jun 11 $4 +$6 +145%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 7:45PM-8:00PM ET Jun 10 $3 $0 +13%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 7:30PM-7:45PM ET Jun 10 $3 $0 +16%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 7:15PM-7:30PM ET Jun 10 $3 +$1 +17%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 10:30AM-10:45AM ET Jun 10 $4 +$2 +40%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 9:40AM-9:45AM ET Jun 10 $6 +$2 +28%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 9:15AM-9:30AM ET Jun 10 $8 +$11 +130%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 9:15AM-9:20AM ET Jun 10 $6 −$6 -96%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 9:00AM-9:15AM ET Jun 10 $8 −$8 -96%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 8:15AM-8:30AM ET Jun 10 $6 −$2 -36%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 8:00AM-8:15AM ET Jun 10 $3 $0 +16%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 7:45AM-8:00AM ET Jun 10 $3 +$2 +57%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 8:00AM-8:05AM ET Jun 10 $4 +$5 +118%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 7:40AM-7:45AM ET Jun 10 $2 $0 +13%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 7:30AM-7:45AM ET Jun 10 $8 +$2 +27%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 7:30AM-7:35AM ET Jun 10 $5 $0 -5%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 7:25AM-7:30AM ET Jun 10 $4 −$4 -95%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 7:15AM-7:30AM ET Jun 10 $4 −$4 -97%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 6:45AM-6:50AM ET Jun 10 $4 +$2 +56%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 6:30AM-6:45AM ET Jun 10 $3 −$3 -95%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 6:15AM-6:30AM ET Jun 10 $7 +$7 +96%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 6:15AM-6:20AM ET Jun 10 $4 −$4 -96%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 6:00AM-6:15AM ET Jun 10 $4 −$4 -95%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 5:45AM-6:00AM ET Jun 10 $7 +$7 +92%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 5:15AM-5:30AM ET Jun 10 $4 +$5 +112%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 4:45AM-5:00AM ET Jun 10 $3 $0 +14%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 9, 11:15PM-11:30PM ET Jun 10 $3 +$5 +173%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 9, 10:45PM-11:00PM ET Jun 10 $5 −$5 -96%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
crypto 100% −$18
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:15AM-6:20AM ET SELL Up 33¢ $3 3m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:15AM-6:20AM ET BUY Up 38¢ $1 6m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:15AM-6:20AM ET BUY Up 47¢ $3 6m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:00AM-6:15AM ET SELL Down 58¢ $6 8m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:00AM-6:15AM ET BUY Down 56¢ $1 20m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:00AM-6:15AM ET BUY Down 56¢ $1 20m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:00AM-6:15AM ET BUY Down 63¢ $1 21m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:00AM-6:15AM ET BUY Down 63¢ $1 21m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:00AM-6:15AM ET BUY Down 63¢ $3 21m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 5:40AM-5:45AM ET BUY Down 12¢ $1 39m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 5:40AM-5:45AM ET BUY Down 32¢ $3 39m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 5:40AM-5:45AM ET BUY Down 31¢ $3 39m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 5:30AM-5:45AM ET BUY Down 10¢ $3 48m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 5:30AM-5:45AM ET BUY Down 15¢ $1 50m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 5:30AM-5:45AM ET BUY Down 22¢ $3 50m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 5:30AM-5:45AM ET BUY Down 35¢ $3 50m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 5:30AM-5:45AM ET BUY Down 36¢ $3 50m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 5:15AM-5:30AM ET BUY Down $1 58m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 5:15AM-5:30AM ET BUY Down 13¢ $3 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 5:00AM-5:15AM ET SELL Down 65¢ $6 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 5:00AM-5:15AM ET SELL Down 63¢ $1 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 5:00AM-5:15AM ET SELL Down 63¢ $7 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 5:00AM-5:15AM ET BUY Down 34¢ $3 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 5:00AM-5:15AM ET BUY Down 47¢ $3 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 5:00AM-5:15AM ET BUY Down 47¢ $3 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 4:45AM-5:00AM ET BUY Down 11¢ $1 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 4:45AM-5:00AM ET BUY Down 30¢ $1 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 4:45AM-5:00AM ET BUY Down 37¢ $3 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 4:45AM-5:00AM ET SELL Down 65¢ $0 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 4:45AM-5:00AM ET BUY Down 55¢ $3 1h
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
negative after costs — do not copy
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +54%
net ROI/market (all)-12.9%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 143 -3.7% -12.9% 57% 54% -12.0%
≤30d 143 -3.7% -12.9% 57% 54% -12.0%
≤90d 143 -3.7% -12.9% 57% 54% -12.0%
all 143 -3.7% -12.9% 57% 54% -12.0%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.
turnover103.1 tr/day
realistic slip~13%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal -12.9% 54% -12.0%
10% ← realistic here -21.2% 38% -20.4%
15% -28.8% 28% -28.1%
20% -35.8% 21% -35.2%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.
Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $0.00 · official $0.00 (match) · 467 history records