Wallet analysis

2026-06-14T17:50:19+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

E9
0xe97c…ceef
crypto · 846 markets active 1h ago
0.0score
−$682 -8%
TOTAL PnL · realized −$980 · open −$25
avoidriskycopy
✗ TRAP crypto specialistFading edge⚠ High turnover
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Net worth$41
Realized−$980
Unrealized−$25
Win rate (resolved)33%
Wins / losses259 / 532
Open positions9
Markets (closed)791 / 846
History coverage108d
Avg bet$10
Trades / day25.4
Drawdown100%
Kalshi-fit99%
Chart Positions 9 History 791 Categories Trades Net edge Slippage
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days−$191
7 days−$589
14 days−$628
30 days−$839
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.
Open positions — marked to current price, like Polymarket
Marketoutcome entrynow investedvalue unrealized PnL
Will Donald Trump sign a U.S. x Iran deal by July 31? Yes 25¢ 24¢ $11 $11 −$0 (-1%)
Tucker Carlson federally charged? Yes 3¢ 2¢ $14 $9 −$5 (-38%)
Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027? Yes 11¢ 10¢ $6 $6 −$0 (-5%)
Israel closes its airspace by June 15? Yes 10¢ 8¢ $7 $6 −$1 (-19%)
Israel x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026? Yes 14¢ 13¢ $5 $4 −$0 (-9%)
Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027? Yes 29¢ 16¢ $5 $3 −$2 (-47%)
Will the Iranian regime fall by June 30? Yes 1¢ 1¢ $2 $2 −$0 (-6%)
Iran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by June 30, 2026? Yes 37¢ 4¢ $10 $1 −$9 (-88%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 8:20AM-8:25AM ET Down 26¢ 100¢ $0 $0 +$0 (+285%)
US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by June 12? Yes 11¢ 0¢ $6 $0 −$6 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 9:00AM-9:05AM ET Up 12¢ 0¢ $20 $0 −$20 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 25, 2:05PM-2:10PM ET Down 3¢ 0¢ $3 $0 −$3 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 3:35AM-3:40AM ET Up 2¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 6, 2:15AM-2:20AM ET Up 1¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 2:35AM-2:40AM ET Down 13¢ 0¢ $48 $0 −$48 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 7, 6:05AM-6:10AM ET Up 3¢ 0¢ $22 $0 −$22 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 10:35AM-10:40AM ET Down 10¢ 0¢ $35 $0 −$35 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 20, 5:05AM-5:10AM ET Down 2¢ 0¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
Ethereum Up or Down - May 28, 2:30AM-2:45AM ET Up 12¢ 0¢ $3 $0 −$3 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 7:15AM-7:20AM ET Up 23¢ 0¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 8:10AM-8:15AM ET Down 6¢ 0¢ $62 $0 −$62 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 20, 7AM ET Up 7¢ 0¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 7, 9:15AM-9:20AM ET Up 9¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 7, 4:50AM-4:55AM ET Down 37¢ 0¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 8:15AM-8:20AM ET Up 47¢ 0¢ $7 $0 −$7 (-100%)
Top-25 open positions by current value. Prices in cents = market-implied probability (50¢ = 50%).
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 12:35PM-12:40PM ET Jun 14 $19 −$6 -32%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 12:30PM-12:35PM ET Jun 14 $9 −$9 -95%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 12:15PM-12:20PM ET Jun 14 $11 +$1 +10%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 11:50AM-11:55AM ET Jun 14 $10 +$11 +104%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 11:45AM-11:50AM ET Jun 14 $14 −$3 -22%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 11:40AM-11:45AM ET Jun 14 $19 −$18 -96%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 11:35AM-11:40AM ET Jun 14 $11 −$2 -17%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 11:30AM-11:35AM ET Jun 14 $13 −$12 -95%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 11:25AM-11:30AM ET Jun 14 $50 +$1 +2%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 11:20AM-11:25AM ET Jun 14 $11 −$10 -95%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 11:15AM-11:20AM ET Jun 14 $11 −$1 -9%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 11:00AM-11:05AM ET Jun 14 $16 −$15 -94%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 10:55AM-11:00AM ET Jun 14 $12 −$12 -95%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 10:50AM-10:55AM ET Jun 14 $7 −$4 -48%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 8:40AM-8:45AM ET Jun 14 $7 −$7 -96%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 8:35AM-8:40AM ET Jun 14 $5 −$5 -95%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 8:30AM-8:35AM ET Jun 14 $2 −$2 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 8:15AM-8:20AM ET Jun 14 $7 −$7 -96%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 8:10AM-8:15AM ET Jun 14 $8 −$8 -95%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 8:05AM-8:10AM ET Jun 14 $10 −$9 -84%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 8:00AM-8:05AM ET Jun 14 $11 +$14 +122%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 7:55AM-8:00AM ET Jun 14 $7 −$7 -95%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 4:00AM-4:05AM ET Jun 14 $12 −$12 -95%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 3:55AM-4:00AM ET Jun 14 $9 −$9 -95%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 3:50AM-3:55AM ET Jun 14 $8 +$5 +66%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 3:45AM-3:50AM ET Jun 14 $8 −$8 -95%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 3:40AM-3:45AM ET Jun 14 $7 −$7 -95%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 3:35AM-3:40AM ET Jun 14 $7 −$7 -95%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 3:30AM-3:35AM ET Jun 14 $5 −$5 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 3:25AM-3:30AM ET Jun 14 $14 +$18 +127%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 3:20AM-3:25AM ET Jun 14 $9 −$9 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 3:15AM-3:20AM ET Jun 14 $9 −$9 -95%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 3:10AM-3:15AM ET Jun 14 $7 +$14 +186%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 3:05AM-3:10AM ET Jun 14 $8 −$8 -95%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 2:45AM-2:50AM ET Jun 14 $5 −$5 -95%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 2:40AM-2:45AM ET Jun 14 $6 +$7 +109%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 2:35AM-2:40AM ET Jun 14 $8 −$8 -95%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 2:30AM-2:35AM ET Jun 14 $7 −$7 -94%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 2:25AM-2:30AM ET Jun 14 $6 +$16 +255%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 1:05AM-1:10AM ET Jun 14 $7 −$1 -14%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 1:00AM-1:05AM ET Jun 14 $8 −$8 -95%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 12:55AM-1:00AM ET Jun 14 $9 +$17 +198%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 12:50AM-12:55AM ET Jun 14 $3 −$3 -94%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 12:20AM-12:25AM ET Jun 14 $3 −$3 -95%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 12:00AM-12:05AM ET Jun 14 $14 −$13 -96%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 11:50PM-11:55PM ET Jun 14 $10 −$9 -94%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 11:45PM-11:50PM ET Jun 14 $1 +$28 +2598%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 1:35PM-1:40PM ET Jun 13 $8 +$12 +143%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 1:30PM-1:35PM ET Jun 13 $14 −$1 -9%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 1:25PM-1:30PM ET Jun 13 $12 −$11 -95%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
crypto 89% −$1,010
world 6% +$22
politics 2% +$81
other 2% $0
finance 1% −$98
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 12:40PM-12:45PM ET BUY Up 46¢ $11 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 12:35PM-12:40PM ET BUY Up 35¢ $2 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 12:35PM-12:40PM ET BUY Up 28¢ $4 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 12:35PM-12:40PM ET SELL Up 46¢ $11 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 12:35PM-12:40PM ET BUY Up 44¢ $5 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 12:35PM-12:40PM ET BUY Up 48¢ $7 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 12:30PM-12:35PM ET BUY Down 23¢ $1 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 12:30PM-12:35PM ET BUY Down 33¢ $5 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 12:30PM-12:35PM ET BUY Down 33¢ $3 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 12:20PM-12:25PM ET BUY Down 10¢ $1 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 12:20PM-12:25PM ET BUY Down 32¢ $2 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 12:20PM-12:25PM ET BUY Down 35¢ $5 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 12:15PM-12:20PM ET SELL Up 29¢ $5 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 12:15PM-12:20PM ET BUY Up 34¢ $2 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 12:15PM-12:20PM ET BUY Up 38¢ $5 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 12:15PM-12:20PM ET SELL Up 69¢ $7 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 12:15PM-12:20PM ET BUY Up 37¢ $4 1h
Will Donald Trump sign a U.S. x Iran deal by July 31? BUY Yes 25¢ $6 1h
Will Donald Trump sign a U.S. x Iran deal by July 31? BUY Yes 25¢ $6 1h
Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027? BUY Yes 11¢ $6 1h
Will the Iranian regime fall by June 30? BUY Yes 1¢ $1 1h
Will the Iranian regime fall by June 30? BUY Yes 1¢ $1 1h
Israel closes its airspace by June 15? BUY Yes 10¢ $7 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 11:50AM-11:55AM ET SELL Up 82¢ $12 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 11:50AM-11:55AM ET SELL Up 70¢ $10 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 11:50AM-11:55AM ET BUY Up 30¢ $1 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 11:50AM-11:55AM ET BUY Up 28¢ $1 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 11:50AM-11:55AM ET BUY Up 32¢ $3 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 11:50AM-11:55AM ET BUY Up 41¢ $5 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 11:45AM-11:50AM ET BUY Down 10¢ $1 2h
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
negative after costs — do not copy
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +31%
net ROI/market (all)-6.8%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 294 +0.1% -9.5% 30% 30% -32.0%
≤30d 682 -0.4% -9.9% 32% 31% -25.2%
≤90d 789 +2.3% -7.5% 33% 31% -24.1%
all 791 +3.0% -6.8% 33% 31% -23.3%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.
turnover25.4 tr/day
realistic slip~13%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal -6.8% 31% -23.3%
10% ← realistic here -15.7% 30% -30.6%
15% -23.9% 29% -37.3%
20% -31.3% 27% -43.5%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.
✓ Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $41.35 · official $41.12 (match) · 2980 history records