Wallet analysis

2026-06-12T08:01:13+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

E9
0xe97c…2a99
world · 127 markets active 7d ago
3.0score
+$106,460 +14%
TOTAL PnL · realized +$106,413 · open +$47
avoidriskycopy
✗ TRAP Fresh edge
Chart Positions 3 History 124 Categories Trades Net edge Slippage
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days$0
7 days$0
14 days$0
30 days−$6
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.
Open positions — marked to current price, like Polymarket
Marketoutcome entrynow investedvalue unrealized PnL
US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026? No 75¢ 74¢ $1,125 $1,102 −$22 (-2%)
Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026? No 87¢ 94¢ $870 $940 +$70 (+8%)
Will the US acquire part of Greenland in 2026? Yes 17¢ 14¢ $1 $1 −$0 (-21%)
Top-25 open positions by current value. Prices in cents = market-implied probability (50¢ = 50%).
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Will Nicolás Maduro be sentenced to no prison time? May 15 $976 −$6 -1%
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by May 31, 2026? May 12 $6,977 −$2,348 -34%
Will Trump visit China by May 31? May 10 $2,205 +$655 +30%
US x Iran permanent peace deal by April 30, 2026? Apr 24 $4,818 +$3,384 +70%
Trump announces end of military operations against Iran by April 30th? Apr 14 $2,000 +$834 +42%
US forces enter Iran by April 30? Apr 09 $1,980 +$1,020 +52%
US strike on Cuba by March 31? Apr 03 $990 +$110 +11%
Will Trump visit China by March 31? Apr 01 $2 +$3 +123%
Will the U.S. invade Iran by March 31? Apr 01 $2,601 +$499 +19%
Will the Iranian regime fall by March 31? Apr 01 $10,973 +$4,119 +38%
Will Xi Jinping meet with Cheng Li-wun by June 30? Mar 30 $1,651 −$15 -1%
LoL: G2 Esports vs Bilibili Gaming (BO5) - First Stand Playoffs Mar 28 $1 −$1 -100%
US x Iran nuclear talks resume by March 31? Mar 19 $2,952 −$2,952 -100%
Iran x Israel/US conflict ends by March 15? Mar 18 $87 +$13 +15%
Will Trump visit China by April 30? Mar 17 $1,487 −$732 -49%
Will 2 Fed rate cuts happen in 2026? Mar 08 $1,500 $0 -0%
Will Khamenei visit Russia by March 31? Mar 01 $630 +$238 +38%
Will US or Israel strike Iran by December 31, 2026? Feb 28 $7,474 +$2,769 +37%
DeepSeek V4 released by February 28? Feb 17 $600 −$112 -19%
Another US strike on Venezuela by January 31? Feb 03 $75 +$25 +33%
US strikes Iran by January 31, 2026? Feb 01 $1,001 +$1,008 +101%
Thailand strikes Cambodia by January 31, 2026? Feb 01 $1,269 +$706 +56%
Will Trump and Machado share the Nobel Peace Prize? Jan 22 $500 −$294 -59%
US forces in Venezuela again by January 10, 2026? Jan 03 $206 +$26 +13%
Will María Corina Machado enter Venezuela by January 31? Jan 03 $637 +$47 +7%
Maduro out by March 31, 2026? Jan 03 $1,252 −$1,252 -100%
Maduro out by January 31, 2026? Jan 03 $4,547 −$4,547 -100%
Will Donald Trump visit North Korea in 2025? Jan 01 $24,768 +$2,498 +10%
Trump, Putin, and Zelensky seen together in 2025? Jan 01 $4 +$1 +25%
Will Trump meet with Kim Jong Un in 2025? Jan 01 $4,980 +$1,405 +28%
Will Bitcoin reach $150,000 by December 31, 2025? Jan 01 $5,500 +$2,084 +38%
Will Donald Trump visit Russia in 2025? Jan 01 $7,300 +$1,809 +25%
Xi Jinping out in 2025? Jan 01 $1,800 +$187 +10%
Jerome Powell out as Fed Chair in 2025? Jan 01 $1,600 +$305 +19%
Will Trump remove 10% blanket tariff in 2025? Jan 01 $100 +$18 +18%
Will Gold close between $4200 and $4300 at the end of 2025? Jan 01 $1,680 +$320 +19%
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire in 2025? Jan 01 $2,489 +$511 +20%
Maduro out in 2025? Jan 01 $10,220 +$1,097 +11%
Will Trump sell 0 Gold Cards in 2025? Jan 01 $4,200 −$2,714 -65%
Will Donald Trump visit China in 2025? Jan 01 $26,599 −$22,735 -86%
Will Putin meet with Zelenskyy in 2025? Jan 01 $7,000 −$2,679 -38%
Putin and Zelenskyy shake hands in 2025? Jan 01 $800 −$527 -66%
TikTok sale announced in 2025? Dec 30 $7,477 −$618 -8%
Thailand x Cambodia ceasefire by December 31? Dec 28 $2,340 +$1,787 +76%
No change in Fed interest rates after December 2025 meeting? Dec 11 $56 +$44 +79%
Fed decreases interest rates by 25 bps after December 2025 meeting? Dec 11 $1,830 +$3,150 +172%
LoL: T1 vs Top Esports - Game 2 Winner Nov 18 $100 −$100 -100%
LoL: Anyone's Legend vs T1 - Game 2 Winner Nov 18 $388 −$388 -100%
Will Donald Trump win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2025? Nov 18 $3,100 −$3,100 -100%
LoL: T1 vs KT Rolster (BO5) Nov 09 $106 −$32 -30%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
world 45% +$90,965
tech 17% +$54,764
politics 14% −$20,150
other 13% −$25,090
crypto 7% +$8,174
economics 3% +$6,401
sports 1% −$5,211
culture 0% −$3,394
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026? BUY No 75¢ $1,125 7d
Will Nicolás Maduro be sentenced to no prison time? SELL No 76¢ $76 28d
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by May 31, 2026? SELL Yes 27¢ $1,629 31d
Will Trump visit China by May 31? SELL Yes 96¢ $2,860 32d
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by May 31, 2026? BUY Yes 50¢ $332 35d
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by May 31, 2026? BUY Yes 50¢ $500 35d
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by May 31, 2026? BUY Yes 50¢ $2 35d
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by May 31, 2026? BUY Yes 50¢ $2 35d
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by May 31, 2026? BUY Yes 50¢ $53 35d
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by May 31, 2026? BUY Yes 50¢ $4 35d
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by May 31, 2026? BUY Yes 50¢ $10 35d
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by May 31, 2026? BUY Yes 50¢ $10 35d
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by May 31, 2026? BUY Yes 49¢ $2,061 35d
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by May 31, 2026? SELL Yes 41¢ $3,000 35d
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by May 31, 2026? BUY Yes 56¢ $3,000 36d
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by May 31, 2026? BUY Yes 50¢ $112 36d
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by May 31, 2026? BUY Yes 50¢ $6 36d
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by May 31, 2026? BUY Yes 50¢ $831 36d
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by May 31, 2026? BUY Yes 52¢ $53 36d
US x Iran permanent peace deal by April 30, 2026? SELL No 86¢ $8,203 48d
Will Trump visit China by May 31? BUY Yes 73¢ $1,095 49d
US x Iran permanent peace deal by April 30, 2026? BUY No 40¢ $1,859 55d
US x Iran permanent peace deal by April 30, 2026? BUY No 40¢ $20 55d
US x Iran permanent peace deal by April 30, 2026? BUY No 40¢ $1 55d
US x Iran permanent peace deal by April 30, 2026? BUY No 40¢ $120 55d
US x Iran permanent peace deal by April 30, 2026? BUY No 62¢ $1,240 57d
US x Iran permanent peace deal by April 30, 2026? BUY No 61¢ $3 57d
US x Iran permanent peace deal by April 30, 2026? BUY No 61¢ $5 57d
US x Iran permanent peace deal by April 30, 2026? BUY No 61¢ $5 57d
US x Iran permanent peace deal by April 30, 2026? BUY No 61¢ $3 57d
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
negative after costs — do not copy
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +55%
net ROI/market (all)-10.1%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d no closed markets
≤30d 1 -0.6% -10.1% 0% 0% -10.1%
≤90d 15 +7.6% -2.6% 60% 60% +0.9%
all 124 -0.6% -10.1% 67% 55% +3.4%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.
turnover3.1 tr/day
realistic slip~12%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal -10.1% 55% +3.4%
10% ← realistic here -18.7% 34% -6.5%
15% -26.5% 25% -15.5%
20% -33.7% 15% -23.8%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.
Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $2,042.79 · official $2,042.79 (match) · 2075 history records