Wallet analysis

2026-06-12T16:11:59+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

E9
0xe97d…26c0
other · 10 markets active 1h ago
0.0score
−$2 -4%
TOTAL PnL · realized −$8 · open +$5
avoidriskycopy
✗ TRAP ⚠ High turnover⚠ Small sample
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Net worth$37
Realized−$8
Unrealized+$5
Win rate (resolved)67%
Wins / losses2 / 1
Open positions7
Markets (closed)3 / 10
History coverage1d
Avg bet$5
Trades / day13.0
Drawdown100%
Kalshi-fit60%
Chart Positions 7 History 3 Categories Trades Net edge Slippage
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days−$8
7 days−$8
14 days−$8
30 days−$8
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.
Open positions — marked to current price, like Polymarket
Marketoutcome entrynow investedvalue unrealized PnL
Will Elon Musk post 220-239 tweets from June 5 to June 12, 2026? Yes 63¢ 100¢ $15 $24 +$9 (+60%)
Will Switzerland win on 2026-06-13? Yes 81¢ 80¢ $5 $5 −$0 (-1%)
Will SpaceX's market cap be between $1.5T and $2.0T at market close on IPO day? Yes 21¢ 34¢ $2 $3 +$1 (+62%)
Will SpaceX's market cap be between $2.5T and $3.0T at market close on IPO day? Yes 14¢ 5¢ $6 $2 −$4 (-63%)
Will Canada win on 2026-06-12? Yes 54¢ 54¢ $2 $2 −$0 (-1%)
Will Brazil win on 2026-06-13? Yes 60¢ 60¢ $1 $1 −$0 (-1%)
Will SpaceX’s opening share price on its first day of trading be between $200 and $250? Yes 4¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-99%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 11:00AM-11:05AM ET Up 90¢ 0¢ $10 $0 −$10 (-100%)
Top-25 open positions by current value. Prices in cents = market-implied probability (50¢ = 50%).
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 11:00AM-11:05AM ET Jun 12 $10 −$10 -99%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:55AM-11:00AM ET Jun 12 $5 +$1 +21%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:50AM-10:55AM ET Jun 12 $5 +$1 +25%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
other 44% +$9
crypto 38% −$8
tech 16% −$3
finance 2% −$1
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.
negative after costs — do not copy
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +67%
net ROI/market (all)-25.9%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 3 -18.1% -25.9% 67% 67% -43.9%
≤30d 3 -18.1% -25.9% 67% 67% -43.9%
≤90d 3 -18.1% -25.9% 67% 67% -43.9%
all 3 -18.1% -25.9% 67% 67% -43.9%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.
turnover13.0 tr/day
realistic slip~9%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal ← realistic here -25.9% 67% -43.9%
10% -33.0% 33% -49.3%
15% -39.5% 0% -54.2%
20% -45.4% 0% -58.7%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.
✓ Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $37.37 · official $37.59 (match) · 15 history records