Wallet analysis

2026-06-12T16:40:21+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

E9
0xe980…b1ed
other · 237 markets active 0h ago
0.0score
−$81 -0%
TOTAL PnL · realized −$81 · open +$0
avoidriskycopy
✗ TRAP ⚠ High turnover
Net worth$0
Realized−$81
Unrealized+$0
Win rate (resolved)4%
Wins / losses10 / 227
Whale WR (big bets)0%
Est. fees paid−$7
Open positions0
Markets (closed)237 / 237
History coverage122d
Avg bet$193
Trades / day9.9
Drawdown100%
Kalshi-fit60%
Chart Positions 0 History 237 Categories Trades Net edge Slippage
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days−$6
7 days−$16
14 days−$27
30 days−$37
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.
no open positions
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Will the International Court of Justice win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2 Jun 12 $266 −$1 -0%
Will Fernando Haddad win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election? Jun 12 $218 $0 -0%
Will 5 Fed rate cuts happen in 2026? Jun 12 $679 −$1 -0%
Will the Green Bay Packers win the 2027 NFL league championship? Jun 12 $102 $0 -0%
Will Switzerland win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? Jun 11 $326 $0 -0%
Will Ahmed al-Sharaa win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026? Jun 11 $289 −$1 -0%
Will Norway win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? Jun 11 $119 $0 -0%
Will the San Diego Padres win the 2026 World Series? Jun 11 $349 −$1 -0%
Will Mohammed bin Salman win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026? Jun 11 $103 $0 -0%
Will the Tampa Bay Buccaneers win the 2027 NFL league championship? Jun 11 $179 $0 -0%
Will Morocco win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? Jun 10 $525 −$1 -0%
Will the Houston Texans win the 2027 NFL league championship? Jun 10 $51 $0 -0%
Will Real Salt Lake win the 2026 MLS Cup? Jun 10 $254 −$1 -0%
Will the Washington Commanders win the 2027 NFL league championship? Jun 10 $330 −$1 -0%
Will Eduardo Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election? Jun 09 $320 $0 -0%
Will Bitcoin reach $500,000 by December 31, 2026? Jun 09 $218 $0 -0%
Will Ecuador win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? Jun 09 $458 $0 -0%
Will Uruguay win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? Jun 09 $259 $0 -0%
Will the Houston Astros win the 2026 World Series? Jun 09 $513 −$1 -0%
Will Jesus Christ return before 2027? Jun 09 $152 $0 -0%
Will Romeu Zema win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election? Jun 08 $138 $0 +0%
Will 12 or more Fed rate cuts happen in 2026? Jun 08 $336 $0 -0%
Will Greta Thunberg win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026? Jun 07 $250 −$1 -0%
Will Diosdado Cabello Rondón be the leader of Venezuela end of 2026? Jun 07 $481 −$1 -0%
Will Trump acquire Greenland before 2027? Jun 07 $52 $0 -0%
Will Oscar Piastri be the 2026 F1 Drivers' Champion? Jun 07 $353 −$1 -0%
Will New York Red Bulls win the 2026 MLS Cup? Jun 07 $121 $0 -0%
Will the Miami Dolphins win the 2027 NFL league championship? Jun 07 $113 $0 -0%
Will Egypt win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? Jun 06 $155 $0 -0%
Will Charlie Kirk win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026? Jun 06 $445 −$1 -0%
Will Katie Porter win the California Governor Election in 2026? Jun 06 $120 $0 -0%
Will Canada win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? Jun 06 $662 −$1 -0%
Will Khaled Mashal win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026? Jun 05 $315 $0 -0%
Will Bitcoin reach $1,000,000 by December 31, 2026? Jun 05 $331 $0 -0%
Will the New York Giants win the 2027 NFL league championship? Jun 05 $162 $0 -0%
Will the Minnesota Vikings win the 2027 NFL league championship? Jun 05 $53 $0 -0%
Will Elon Musk win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026? Jun 04 $176 $0 -0%
Will Scotland win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? Jun 04 $610 −$1 -0%
Will the Pittsburgh Steelers win the 2027 NFL league championship? Jun 04 $317 −$1 -0%
Will Croatia win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? Jun 03 $548 −$1 -0%
Will Michelle Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election? Jun 03 $185 $0 -0%
Will there be no head of state of Venezuela end of 2026? Jun 02 $118 $0 -0%
Will the Jacksonville Jaguars win the 2027 NFL league championship? Jun 02 $261 −$1 -0%
Will Charlotte FC win the 2026 MLS Cup? Jun 02 $120 $0 -0%
Xi Jinping out by June 30? Jun 02 $644 −$1 -0%
Will Belgium win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? Jun 01 $200 $0 -0%
Will Camilo Santana win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election? Jun 01 $112 $0 -0%
Will Ghana win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? Jun 01 $496 −$1 -0%
Will Edmundo González be the leader of Venezuela end of 2026? Jun 01 $585 −$1 -0%
Will the Texas Rangers win the 2026 World Series? May 31 $296 −$1 -0%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
other 48% −$39
sports 20% −$14
politics 9% −$6
culture 7% −$8
economics 7% −$5
crypto 5% −$4
tech 2% −$1
world 2% −$3
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Will the International Court of Justice win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2 SELL No 98¢ $49 6m
Will the International Court of Justice win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2 BUY No 98¢ $49 1h
Will Fernando Haddad win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election? SELL No 98¢ $49 3h
Will Fernando Haddad win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election? BUY No 98¢ $49 6h
Will 5 Fed rate cuts happen in 2026? SELL No 100¢ $49 6h
Will 5 Fed rate cuts happen in 2026? BUY No 100¢ $49 8h
Will the Green Bay Packers win the 2027 NFL league championship? SELL No 97¢ $50 13h
Will the Green Bay Packers win the 2027 NFL league championship? BUY No 97¢ $50 14h
Will Switzerland win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? SELL No 99¢ $50 16h
Will Switzerland win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? BUY No 99¢ $50 18h
Will Ahmed al-Sharaa win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026? SELL No 99¢ $50 19h
Will Ahmed al-Sharaa win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026? BUY No 99¢ $50 20h
Will Norway win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? SELL No 98¢ $50 23h
Will Norway win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? BUY No 98¢ $50 25h
Will the San Diego Padres win the 2026 World Series? SELL No 98¢ $50 30h
Will the San Diego Padres win the 2026 World Series? BUY No 98¢ $50 32h
Will Mohammed bin Salman win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026? SELL No 99¢ $50 36h
Will Mohammed bin Salman win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026? BUY No 99¢ $50 37h
Will the Tampa Bay Buccaneers win the 2027 NFL league championship? SELL No 99¢ $50 39h
Will the Tampa Bay Buccaneers win the 2027 NFL league championship? BUY No 99¢ $50 41h
Will Morocco win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? SELL No 98¢ $50 43h
Will Morocco win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? BUY No 98¢ $50 46h
Will the Houston Texans win the 2027 NFL league championship? SELL No 97¢ $50 2d
Will the Houston Texans win the 2027 NFL league championship? BUY No 97¢ $51 2d
Will Real Salt Lake win the 2026 MLS Cup? SELL No 98¢ $51 2d
Will Real Salt Lake win the 2026 MLS Cup? BUY No 98¢ $51 2d
Will 5 Fed rate cuts happen in 2026? SELL No 99¢ $51 2d
Will 5 Fed rate cuts happen in 2026? BUY No 100¢ $51 2d
Will the Washington Commanders win the 2027 NFL league championship? SELL No 98¢ $51 2d
Will the Washington Commanders win the 2027 NFL league championship? BUY No 98¢ $51 2d
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
negative after costs — do not copy
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +0%
net ROI/market (all)-9.7%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 33 -0.2% -9.7% 3% 0% -9.7%
≤30d 76 -0.2% -9.7% 3% 0% -9.7%
≤90d 180 -0.2% -9.7% 2% 0% -9.7%
all 237 -0.2% -9.7% 4% 0% -9.7%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.
turnover9.9 tr/day
realistic slip~9%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal ← realistic here -9.7% 0% -9.7%
10% -18.3% 0% -18.3%
15% -26.2% 0% -26.2%
20% -33.5% 0% -33.5%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.
Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $0.00 · official $0.00 (match) · 1261 history records