Wallet analysis

2026-06-14T13:39:53+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

E9
0xe98c…8792
sports · 42 markets active 0h ago
0.0score
−$519 -1%
TOTAL PnL · realized −$835 · open −$186
avoidriskycopy
✗ TRAP sports specialistFresh edge⚠ High turnover
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Net worth$1,289
Realized−$835
Unrealized−$186
Win rate (resolved)42%
Wins / losses17 / 23
Whale WR (big bets)50%
Est. fees paid−$659
Open positions2
Markets (closed)40 / 42
History coverage10d
Avg bet$1,011
Trades / day12.8
Drawdown100%
Kalshi-fit98%
Chart Positions 2 History 40 Categories Trades Net edge Slippage
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days+$3,367
7 days+$4,236
14 days−$835
30 days−$835
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.
Open positions — marked to current price, like Polymarket
Marketoutcome entrynow investedvalue unrealized PnL
Ilkley: Jacob Fearnley vs Yunchaokete Bu Jacob Fearnley 47¢ 46¢ $683 $671 −$12 (-2%)
Libema Open: Kamil Majchrzak vs Alex de Minaur Alex de Minaur 50¢ 39¢ $792 $618 −$174 (-22%)
Stuttgart Open: Mattia Bellucci vs Yannick Hanfmann Yannick Hanfmann 32¢ 0¢ $669 $0 −$669 (-100%)
Stuttgart Open: Giovanni Mpetshi Perricard vs Alexander Bublik Giovanni Mpetshi Perricard 34¢ 0¢ $665 $0 −$665 (-100%)
Heilbronn: Luka Mikrut vs Marvin Moeller Marvin Moeller 31¢ 0¢ $798 $0 −$798 (-100%)
Libema Open: Tallon Griekspoor vs Zhizhen Zhang Tallon Griekspoor 40¢ 0¢ $990 $0 −$990 (-100%)
Golden Knights vs. Hurricanes Golden Knights 38¢ 0¢ $954 $0 −$954 (-100%)
Knicks vs. Spurs Spurs 60¢ 0¢ $543 $0 −$543 (-100%)
Roland Garros ATP: Jakub Mensik vs Alexander Zverev Jakub Mensik 21¢ 0¢ $952 $0 −$952 (-100%)
Spurs vs. Knicks Spurs 46¢ 0¢ $1,412 $0 −$1,412 (-100%)
HSBC Championships: Elena Rybakina vs Tatjana Maria Tatjana Maria 39¢ 0¢ $742 $0 −$742 (-100%)
HSBC Championships: Victoria Mboko vs Karolina Pliskova Victoria Mboko 49¢ 0¢ $693 $0 −$693 (-100%)
Washington Nationals vs. Arizona Diamondbacks Arizona Diamondbacks 39¢ 0¢ $1,300 $0 −$1,300 (-100%)
Haiti vs. Scotland: O/U 2.5 Over 58¢ 0¢ $1,426 $0 −$1,426 (-100%)
Kostyuk vs. Andreeva: Match O/U 21.5 Over 55¢ 0¢ $733 $0 −$733 (-100%)
Stuttgart Open: Alexander Bublik vs Taylor Fritz Alexander Bublik 57¢ 0¢ $792 $0 −$792 (-100%)
Birmingham: Yunchaokete Bu vs Mark Lajal Mark Lajal 26¢ 0¢ $1,047 $0 −$1,047 (-100%)
Libema Open: Panna Udvardy vs Daria Snigur Panna Udvardy 37¢ 0¢ $42 $0 −$42 (-100%)
Los Angeles Dodgers vs. Arizona Diamondbacks Los Angeles Dodgers 49¢ 0¢ $793 $0 −$793 (-100%)
Libema Open: Daniil Medvedev vs Thijs Boogaard Thijs Boogaard 24¢ 0¢ $445 $0 −$445 (-100%)
HSBC Championships, Qualification: Zachary Svajda vs Martin Damm Zachary Svajda 40¢ 0¢ $963 $0 −$963 (-100%)
Spread: Switzerland (-1.5) Switzerland 58¢ 0¢ $1,485 $0 −$1,485 (-100%)
Makarska: Akasha Urhobo vs Darja Semenistaja Akasha Urhobo 38¢ 0¢ $1,030 $0 −$1,030 (-100%)
Spurs vs. Knicks Knicks 54¢ 0¢ $2,126 $0 −$2,126 (-100%)
Top-25 open positions by current value. Prices in cents = market-implied probability (50¢ = 50%).
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Nottingham Open, Qualification: Anna Blinkova vs Anna Bondar Jun 14 $1,443 +$981 +68%
HSBC Championships, Qualification: Zachary Svajda vs Martin Damm Jun 14 $974 −$963 -99%
Knicks vs. Spurs Jun 14 $1,183 +$2,470 +209%
Haiti vs. Scotland: O/U 2.5 Jun 14 $1,444 −$1,426 -99%
Brazil vs. Morocco: O/U 2.5 Jun 14 $707 +$1,273 +180%
Bratislava: Federico Cina vs Taro Daniel Jun 13 $754 +$793 +105%
Stuttgart Open: Ben Shelton vs Sho Shimabukuro Jun 13 $1,006 +$1,137 +113%
Stuttgart Open: Alexander Bublik vs Taylor Fritz Jun 13 $802 −$792 -99%
Spread: Switzerland (-1.5) Jun 13 $1,504 −$1,485 -99%
Stuttgart Open: Ben Shelton vs Marcos Giron Jun 12 $959 +$1,294 +135%
HSBC Championships: Sorana Cirstea vs Emma Raducanu Jun 12 $804 +$749 +93%
Stuttgart Open: Giovanni Mpetshi Perricard vs Alexander Bublik Jun 12 $678 −$665 -98%
Libema Open: Daniil Medvedev vs Thijs Boogaard Jun 12 $455 −$445 -98%
HSBC Championships: Elena Rybakina vs Tatjana Maria Jun 12 $756 −$742 -98%
Will Korea Republic win on 2026-06-11? Jun 12 $776 +$1,229 +158%
Mexico vs. South Africa: O/U 2.5 Jun 11 $1,413 +$795 +56%
Stuttgart Open: Martin Landaluce vs Taylor Fritz Jun 11 $2,447 +$1,014 +41%
Libema Open: Adrian Mannarino vs Arthur Rinderknech Jun 11 $1,205 +$1,825 +152%
Libema Open: Tallon Griekspoor vs Zhizhen Zhang Jun 11 $1,008 −$990 -98%
Bratislava: Alexander Shevchenko vs Hynek Barton Jun 11 $1,002 +$1,233 +123%
Spurs vs. Knicks Jun 11 $1,440 −$1,412 -98%
Libema Open: Panna Udvardy vs Daria Snigur Jun 10 $42 −$42 -98%
HSBC Championships: Victoria Mboko vs Karolina Pliskova Jun 10 $704 −$693 -98%
HSBC Championships: Iva Jovic vs Alexandra Eala Jun 10 $1,204 +$996 +83%
Stuttgart Open: Mattia Bellucci vs Yannick Hanfmann Jun 10 $675 −$669 -99%
Hurricanes vs. Golden Knights Jun 10 $1,002 +$897 +90%
Spurs vs. Knicks Jun 09 $2,156 −$2,126 -99%
Hurricanes vs. Golden Knights Jun 07 $1,107 +$1,074 +97%
Washington Nationals vs. Arizona Diamondbacks Jun 06 $1,323 −$1,300 -98%
Heilbronn: Luka Mikrut vs Marvin Moeller Jun 05 $814 −$798 -98%
Roland Garros ATP: Matteo Arnaldi vs Flavio Cobolli Jun 05 $1,000 −$48 -5%
Birmingham: Yunchaokete Bu vs Mark Lajal Jun 05 $1,070 −$1,047 -98%
Roland Garros ATP: Jakub Mensik vs Alexander Zverev Jun 05 $974 −$952 -98%
Set 1 Winner: Shimabukuro vs Majchrzak Jun 05 $1,074 +$992 +92%
Los Angeles Dodgers vs. Arizona Diamondbacks Jun 05 $805 −$793 -98%
Golden Knights vs. Hurricanes Jun 05 $971 −$954 -98%
Makarska: Akasha Urhobo vs Darja Semenistaja Jun 04 $1,049 −$1,030 -98%
Cleveland Guardians vs. New York Yankees Jun 04 $932 +$1,061 +114%
Kostyuk vs. Andreeva: Match O/U 21.5 Jun 04 $743 −$733 -99%
Knicks vs. Spurs Jun 04 $549 −$543 -99%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
sports 98% −$2,251
other 2% +$1,229
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Libema Open: Kamil Majchrzak vs Alex de Minaur BUY Alex de Minaur 50¢ $804 22m
Ilkley: Jacob Fearnley vs Yunchaokete Bu BUY Jacob Fearnley 47¢ $694 1h
HSBC Championships, Qualification: Zachary Svajda vs Martin Damm BUY Zachary Svajda 32¢ $131 2h
HSBC Championships, Qualification: Zachary Svajda vs Martin Damm BUY Zachary Svajda 32¢ $3 2h
HSBC Championships, Qualification: Zachary Svajda vs Martin Damm BUY Zachary Svajda 32¢ $53 2h
HSBC Championships, Qualification: Zachary Svajda vs Martin Damm BUY Zachary Svajda 32¢ $2 2h
HSBC Championships, Qualification: Zachary Svajda vs Martin Damm BUY Zachary Svajda 32¢ $27 2h
HSBC Championships, Qualification: Zachary Svajda vs Martin Damm BUY Zachary Svajda 32¢ $26 2h
HSBC Championships, Qualification: Zachary Svajda vs Martin Damm BUY Zachary Svajda 32¢ $5 2h
HSBC Championships, Qualification: Zachary Svajda vs Martin Damm BUY Zachary Svajda 32¢ $26 2h
HSBC Championships, Qualification: Zachary Svajda vs Martin Damm BUY Zachary Svajda 32¢ $2 2h
HSBC Championships, Qualification: Zachary Svajda vs Martin Damm BUY Zachary Svajda 32¢ $28 2h
HSBC Championships, Qualification: Zachary Svajda vs Martin Damm BUY Zachary Svajda 32¢ $3 2h
HSBC Championships, Qualification: Zachary Svajda vs Martin Damm BUY Zachary Svajda 32¢ $2 2h
HSBC Championships, Qualification: Zachary Svajda vs Martin Damm BUY Zachary Svajda 46¢ $667 2h
Nottingham Open, Qualification: Anna Blinkova vs Anna Bondar BUY Anna Blinkova 59¢ $1,175 6h
Nottingham Open, Qualification: Anna Blinkova vs Anna Bondar BUY Anna Blinkova 58¢ $268 6h
Knicks vs. Spurs BUY Knicks 22¢ $247 12h
Knicks vs. Spurs BUY Knicks 22¢ $0 12h
Haiti vs. Scotland: O/U 2.5 BUY Over 58¢ $1,444 12h
Knicks vs. Spurs BUY Knicks 37¢ $654 12h
Knicks vs. Spurs BUY Knicks 37¢ $1 12h
Knicks vs. Spurs BUY Knicks 37¢ $1 12h
Knicks vs. Spurs BUY Knicks 37¢ $1 12h
Knicks vs. Spurs BUY Knicks 37¢ $13 12h
Knicks vs. Spurs BUY Knicks 37¢ $1 12h
Knicks vs. Spurs BUY Knicks 37¢ $7 12h
Knicks vs. Spurs BUY Knicks 37¢ $1 12h
Knicks vs. Spurs BUY Knicks 37¢ $2 12h
Knicks vs. Spurs BUY Knicks 37¢ $18 12h
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
negative after costs — do not copy
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +42%
net ROI/market (all)-16.2%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 27 +11.3% +0.7% 52% 52% +4.0%
≤30d 40 -7.4% -16.2% 42% 42% -11.4%
≤90d 40 -7.4% -16.2% 42% 42% -11.4%
all 40 -7.4% -16.2% 42% 42% -11.4%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.
turnover12.8 tr/day
realistic slip~11%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal -16.2% 42% -11.4%
10% ← realistic here -24.2% 42% -19.9%
15% -31.5% 42% -27.6%
20% -38.3% 40% -34.7%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.
✓ Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $1,289.10 · official $1,289.10 (match) · 151 history records