Wallet analysis

2026-06-13T00:27:47+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

E9
0xe993…8622
crypto · 22 markets active 0h ago
0.0score
+$6 +1%
TOTAL PnL · realized −$58 · open +$64
avoidriskycopy
✗ TRAP crypto specialist⚠ High turnover⚠ Small sample
Net worth$210
Realized−$58
Unrealized+$64
Win rate (resolved)47%
Wins / losses8 / 9
Est. fees paid−$1
Open positions5
Markets (closed)17 / 22
History coverage1d
Avg bet$36
Trades / day75.0
Drawdown100%
Kalshi-fit100%
Chart Positions 5 History 17 Categories Trades Net edge Slippage
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days−$58
7 days−$58
14 days−$58
30 days−$58
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.
Open positions — marked to current price, like Polymarket
Marketoutcome entrynow investedvalue unrealized PnL
Solana Up or Down - June 12, 8PM ET Down 31¢ 52¢ $100 $167 +$67 (+67%)
UFC Freedom 250: Justin Gaethje vs. Ilia Topuria (Lightweight, Main Card) Justin Gaethje 20¢ 20¢ $25 $24 −$1 (-2%)
UFC Freedom 250: Aiemann Zahabi vs. Sean O'Malley (Bantamweight, Main Card) Aiemann Zahabi 22¢ 22¢ $12 $12 −$0 (-2%)
UFC Freedom 250: Michael Chandler vs. Mauricio Ruffy (Lightweight, Main Card) Michael Chandler 18¢ 16¢ $8 $7 −$1 (-8%)
Dota 2: TeamDk vs Modo Serio (BO3) - The International South America Open Qualifier 2 Playoffs Modo Serio $1 $0 −$1 (-99%)
Solana Up or Down - June 12, 7:45PM-8:00PM ET Down 43¢ $50 $0 −$50 (-100%)
Solana Up or Down - June 12, 6:30PM-6:35PM ET Up $10 $0 −$10 (-100%)
Solana Up or Down - June 12, 6:40PM-6:45PM ET Down 35¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
Solana Up or Down - June 12, 7:40PM-7:45PM ET Up 47¢ $25 $0 −$25 (-100%)
Solana Up or Down - June 12, 7:10PM-7:15PM ET Down 48¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
Top-25 open positions by current value. Prices in cents = market-implied probability (50¢ = 50%).
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Solana Up or Down - June 12, 8:10PM-8:15PM ET Jun 13 $52 −$13 -25%
Solana Up or Down - June 12, 8:00PM-8:15PM ET Jun 13 $213 +$27 +13%
Solana Up or Down - June 12, 7:45PM-8:00PM ET Jun 12 $78 −$46 -60%
Solana Up or Down - June 12, 7:40PM-7:45PM ET Jun 12 $52 −$25 -48%
Solana Up or Down - June 12, 7:30PM-7:45PM ET Jun 12 $84 +$9 +11%
Solana Up or Down - June 12, 7PM ET Jun 12 $57 +$5 +8%
Solana Up or Down - June 12, 7:30PM-7:35PM ET Jun 12 $11 −$2 -19%
Solana Up or Down - June 12, 7:25PM-7:30PM ET Jun 12 $26 +$13 +48%
Solana Up or Down - June 12, 7:15PM-7:30PM ET Jun 12 $5 +$2 +32%
Solana Up or Down - June 12, 7:15PM-7:20PM ET Jun 12 $5 +$1 +25%
Solana Up or Down - June 12, 7:00PM-7:15PM ET Jun 12 $16 $0 +3%
Solana Up or Down - June 12, 7:10PM-7:15PM ET Jun 12 $5 −$5 -96%
Solana Up or Down - June 12, 6:45PM-6:50PM ET Jun 12 $5 $0 +6%
Solana Up or Down - June 12, 6:40PM-6:45PM ET Jun 12 $10 −$5 -48%
Solana Up or Down - June 12, 6:35PM-6:40PM ET Jun 12 $5 −$4 -72%
Solana Up or Down - June 12, 6:30PM-6:35PM ET Jun 12 $11 −$10 -94%
Solana Up or Down - June 12, 6:25PM-6:30PM ET Jun 12 $5 −$5 -100%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
crypto 94% +$9
sports 6% −$3
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Solana Up or Down - June 12, 8PM ET BUY Down 24¢ $26 4m
Solana Up or Down - June 12, 8PM ET BUY Down 33¢ $26 6m
Solana Up or Down - June 12, 8PM ET BUY Down 37¢ $26 11m
Solana Up or Down - June 12, 8PM ET BUY Down 37¢ $26 12m
Solana Up or Down - June 12, 8:10PM-8:15PM ET SELL Up 96¢ $28 13m
Solana Up or Down - June 12, 8:10PM-8:15PM ET SELL Down $10 14m
Solana Up or Down - June 12, 8:10PM-8:15PM ET BUY Down 16¢ $26 14m
Solana Up or Down - June 12, 8:10PM-8:15PM ET BUY Up 84¢ $25 14m
Solana Up or Down - June 12, 8:00PM-8:15PM ET SELL Up 74¢ $34 15m
Solana Up or Down - June 12, 8:00PM-8:15PM ET BUY Up 54¢ $26 16m
Solana Up or Down - June 12, 8:00PM-8:15PM ET SELL Up 67¢ $29 17m
Solana Up or Down - June 12, 8:00PM-8:15PM ET BUY Up 56¢ $26 17m
Solana Up or Down - June 12, 8:00PM-8:15PM ET SELL Up 51¢ $39 17m
Solana Up or Down - June 12, 8:00PM-8:15PM ET BUY Up 33¢ $5 18m
Solana Up or Down - June 12, 8:00PM-8:15PM ET BUY Up 40¢ $26 18m
Solana Up or Down - June 12, 8:00PM-8:15PM ET SELL Down 51¢ $27 18m
Solana Up or Down - June 12, 8:00PM-8:15PM ET BUY Down 46¢ $26 19m
Solana Up or Down - June 12, 8:00PM-8:15PM ET SELL Down 38¢ $55 19m
Solana Up or Down - June 12, 8:00PM-8:15PM ET BUY Down 27¢ $26 20m
Solana Up or Down - June 12, 8:00PM-8:15PM ET BUY Down 42¢ $26 20m
Solana Up or Down - June 12, 8:00PM-8:15PM ET SELL Up 59¢ $57 20m
Solana Up or Down - June 12, 8:00PM-8:15PM ET BUY Up 47¢ $26 22m
Solana Up or Down - June 12, 8:00PM-8:15PM ET BUY Up 53¢ $26 23m
Solana Up or Down - June 12, 7:45PM-8:00PM ET BUY Down 41¢ $26 40m
Solana Up or Down - June 12, 7:45PM-8:00PM ET BUY Down 45¢ $26 40m
Solana Up or Down - June 12, 7:45PM-8:00PM ET SELL Down 44¢ $27 41m
Solana Up or Down - June 12, 7:45PM-8:00PM ET BUY Down 39¢ $26 41m
Solana Up or Down - June 12, 7:40PM-7:45PM ET BUY Up 47¢ $26 44m
Solana Up or Down - June 12, 7:40PM-7:45PM ET SELL Down 53¢ $38 44m
Solana Up or Down - June 12, 7:40PM-7:45PM ET BUY Down 34¢ $26 45m
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
negative after costs — do not copy
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +29%
net ROI/market (all)-39.5%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 17 -33.2% -39.5% 47% 29% -18.6%
≤30d 17 -33.2% -39.5% 47% 29% -18.6%
≤90d 17 -33.2% -39.5% 47% 29% -18.6%
all 17 -33.2% -39.5% 47% 29% -18.6%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.
turnover75.0 tr/day
realistic slip~13%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal -39.5% 29% -18.6%
10% ← realistic here -45.3% 18% -26.4%
15% -50.6% 6% -33.5%
20% -55.4% 0% -40.0%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.
Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $210.40 · official $210.40 (match) · 76 history records