trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?
| timeframe | markets | gross ROI | NET ROI | gross WR | NET WR | net PnL (wtd) |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| ≤7d | 22 | +10.8% | +0.2% | 55% | 50% | +4.1% |
| ≤30d | 22 | +10.8% | +0.2% | 55% | 50% | +4.1% |
| ≤90d | 22 | +10.8% | +0.2% | 55% | 50% | +4.1% |
| all | 22 | +10.8% | +0.2% | 55% | 50% | +4.1% |
| copier slippage | NET ROI | NET WR | net PnL (wtd) |
|---|---|---|---|
| 5% ideal ← realistic here | +0.2% | 50% | +4.1% |
| 10% | -9.4% | 50% | -5.8% |
| 15% | -18.1% | 36% | -14.9% |
| 20% | -26.1% | 32% | -23.3% |
| Market | outcome | entry | now | invested | value | unrealized PnL |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Fujimori win the 2nd round of the 2026 Peru presidential election by 0.2–0.3%? | No | 16¢ | 6¢ | $200 | $74 | −$126 (-63%) |
| Will Ivan Cepeda Castro win the 2026 Colombian presidential election? | Yes | 13¢ | 12¢ | $20 | $19 | −$1 (-4%) |
| Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election? | Yes | 48¢ | 50¢ | $10 | $11 | +$1 (+5%) |
| Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election? | Yes | 26¢ | 27¢ | $10 | $10 | +$0 (+2%) |
| Will Fujimori win the 2nd round of the 2026 Peru presidential election by 0.1–0.2%? | Yes | 2¢ | 2¢ | $10 | $10 | +$0 (+2%) |
| Will Fujimori win the 2nd round of the 2026 Peru presidential election by 0.3–0.4%? | Yes | 3¢ | 3¢ | $10 | $9 | −$1 (-5%) |
| Market | when | invested | PnL | ROI |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 2:45AM-2:50AM ET | Jun 15 | $52 | $0 | +0% |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 2:40AM-2:45AM ET | Jun 15 | $103 | −$100 | -97% |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 2:25AM-2:30AM ET | Jun 15 | $257 | +$154 | +60% |
| Ethereum Up or Down - June 15, 2:20AM-2:25AM ET | Jun 15 | $26 | −$25 | -96% |
| Ethereum Up or Down - June 15, 2:10AM-2:15AM ET | Jun 15 | $26 | +$35 | +134% |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 2:05AM-2:10AM ET | Jun 15 | $10 | +$5 | +55% |
| Ethereum Up or Down - June 15, 2:00AM-2:05AM ET | Jun 15 | $26 | −$25 | -98% |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 1:50AM-1:55AM ET | Jun 15 | $25 | +$8 | +31% |
| Ethereum Up or Down - June 15, 1:50AM-1:55AM ET | Jun 15 | $25 | +$7 | +29% |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 1:45AM-1:50AM ET | Jun 15 | $5 | −$5 | -95% |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 1:40AM-1:45AM ET | Jun 15 | $10 | +$11 | +108% |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 1:30AM-1:35AM ET | Jun 15 | $5 | −$5 | -94% |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 1:25AM-1:30AM ET | Jun 15 | $129 | +$109 | +84% |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 1:20AM-1:25AM ET | Jun 15 | $5 | +$4 | +70% |
| Ethereum Up or Down - June 15, 1:25AM-1:30AM ET | Jun 15 | $26 | −$25 | -96% |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 1:15AM-1:20AM ET | Jun 15 | $5 | +$2 | +33% |
| Will Côte d'Ivoire win on 2026-06-14? | Jun 15 | $195 | +$91 | +46% |
| Will Netherlands vs. Japan end in a draw? | Jun 15 | $10 | +$45 | +442% |
| Will Ecuador win on 2026-06-14? | Jun 14 | $20 | −$20 | -98% |
| Will Roberto Sánchez Palomino win the 2026 Peruvian presidential elect | Jun 14 | $114 | −$11 | -10% |
| Will Sánchez win the 2nd round of the 2026 Peru presidential election | Jun 13 | $10 | −$8 | -77% |
| Will Fujimori win the 2nd round of the 2026 Peru presidential election | Jun 13 | $104 | −$72 | -70% |