Wallet analysis

2026-06-14T17:22:13+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

E9
0xe997…61b6
crypto · 148 markets active 0h ago
0.0score
−$67 -7%
TOTAL PnL · realized −$180 · open −$3
avoidriskycopy
✗ TRAP crypto specialist⚠ High turnover
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Net worth$65
Realized−$180
Unrealized−$3
Win rate (resolved)34%
Wins / losses48 / 94
Est. fees paid−$6
Open positions6
Markets (closed)142 / 148
History coverage12d
Avg bet$6
Trades / day51.6
Drawdown100%
Kalshi-fit97%
Chart Positions 6 History 142 Categories Trades Net edge Slippage
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days−$62
7 days−$62
14 days−$180
30 days−$180
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.
Open positions — marked to current price, like Polymarket
Marketoutcome entrynow investedvalue unrealized PnL
Will Germany win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? Yes 6¢ 5¢ $33 $31 −$1 (-4%)
Grass Court Championships, Qualification: Lulu Sun vs Anhelina Kalinina Anhelina Kalinina 90¢ 88¢ $11 $11 −$0 (-3%)
Nottingham 2: Shintaro Mochizuki vs Michael Zheng Michael Zheng 54¢ 68¢ $8 $10 +$2 (+27%)
Grass Court Championships, Qualification: Diane Parry vs Ella Seidel Diane Parry 93¢ 92¢ $7 $7 −$0 (-1%)
Netherlands vs. Japan: Both Teams to Score No 47¢ 46¢ $3 $3 −$0 (-1%)
Tucuman: Luciano Emanuel Ambrogi vs Johan Alexander Rodriguez Luciano Emanuel Ambrogi 59¢ 72¢ $1 $2 +$0 (+23%)
Nottingham 2: Shintaro Mochizuki vs Michael Zheng Shintaro Mochizuki 68¢ 32¢ $2 $1 −$1 (-54%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 3, 3:10PM-3:15PM ET Down 4¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 6, 6:35PM-6:40PM ET Down 38¢ 0¢ $4 $0 −$4 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 6, 9:45AM-9:50AM ET Up 5¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 5, 9:45AM-9:50AM ET Up 2¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 3, 3:00PM-3:05PM ET Up 19¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 5, 9:55AM-10:00AM ET Up 6¢ 0¢ $4 $0 −$4 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 5, 7:45AM-7:50AM ET Down 22¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 6, 10:45AM-10:50AM ET Down 20¢ 0¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 3, 3:20PM-3:25PM ET Up 5¢ 0¢ $3 $0 −$3 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 3, 2:50PM-2:55PM ET Down 12¢ 0¢ $3 $0 −$3 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 6, 12:25PM-12:30PM ET Up 14¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 5, 7:10AM-7:15AM ET Up 50¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 6, 9:35AM-9:40AM ET Down 7¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 3, 4:25PM-4:30PM ET Down 17¢ 0¢ $3 $0 −$3 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 3, 4:10PM-4:15PM ET Down 21¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 6, 9:25AM-9:30AM ET Up 8¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 3, 6:10PM-6:15PM ET Up 17¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 3, 4:55PM-5:00PM ET Up 9¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Top-25 open positions by current value. Prices in cents = market-implied probability (50¢ = 50%).
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Cattolica: Jesper de Jong vs Roberto Carballes Baena Jun 14 $7 +$2 +23%
Halle Open, Qualification: Mattia Bellucci vs Alex Bolt Jun 14 $15 −$3 -20%
Nottingham Open, Qualification: Antonia Ruzic vs Taylah Preston Jun 14 $5 +$1 +32%
Ilkley: Jacob Fearnley vs Yunchaokete Bu Jun 14 $5 +$2 +35%
HSBC Championships, Qualification: Rinky Hijikata vs Marcos Giron Jun 14 $28 −$26 -92%
Libema Open: Kamil Majchrzak vs Alex de Minaur Jun 14 $43 −$26 -61%
Lyon: Felix Balshaw vs David Jorda Sanchis Jun 14 $1 +$1 +79%
Halle Open, Qualification: Martin Landaluce vs Tom Gentzsch Jun 14 $6 +$1 +12%
HSBC Championships: Donna Vekic vs Emma Raducanu Jun 14 $101 −$4 -4%
Nottingham Open, Qualification: Zeynep Sonmez vs Hannah Klugman Jun 14 $1 $0 +4%
Nottingham Open, Qualification: Himeno Sakatsume vs Alicia Dudeney Jun 14 $1 −$1 -98%
Stuttgart Open: Ben Shelton vs Taylor Fritz Jun 14 $50 +$3 +7%
Nottingham Open, Qualification: Viktorija Golubic vs Sofia Kenin Jun 14 $24 −$5 -21%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 9:40AM-9:45AM ET Jun 14 $1 −$1 -96%
HSBC Championships, Qualification: Aleksandar Kovacevic vs Giovanni Mp Jun 14 $1 −$1 -98%
Grass Court Championships, Qualification: Polina Kudermetova vs Sinja Jun 14 $33 −$1 -3%
HSBC Championships, Qualification: Aleksandar Vukic vs Harry Wendelken Jun 14 $3 +$1 +38%
Nottingham Open, Qualification: Katie Volynets vs Kimberly Birrell Jun 14 $34 −$8 -24%
Halle Open, Qualification: Raphael Collignon vs Roberto Bautista Agut Jun 14 $3 +$1 +20%
Nottingham Open, Qualification: Anna Blinkova vs Anna Bondar Jun 14 $10 +$6 +63%
Brazil vs. Morocco: O/U 3.5 Jun 13 $2 −$2 -98%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 5:35AM-5:40AM ET Jun 13 $1 −$1 -96%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 6, 6:10PM-6:15PM ET Jun 06 $3 −$1 -20%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 6, 6:40PM-6:45PM ET Jun 06 $2 −$2 -97%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 6, 6:35PM-6:40PM ET Jun 06 $4 −$4 -96%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 6, 6:30PM-6:35PM ET Jun 06 $4 −$1 -20%
UFC Freedom 250: Justin Gaethje vs. Ilia Topuria (Lightweight, Main Ca Jun 06 $15 −$1 -5%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 6, 6:25PM-6:30PM ET Jun 06 $4 −$2 -48%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 6, 6:20PM-6:25PM ET Jun 06 $2 −$1 -50%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 6, 6:15PM-6:20PM ET Jun 06 $3 −$1 -32%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 6, 6:05PM-6:10PM ET Jun 06 $3 −$3 -95%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 6, 6:00PM-6:05PM ET Jun 06 $7 −$1 -14%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 6, 5:55PM-6:00PM ET Jun 06 $8 −$1 -12%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 6, 5:50PM-5:55PM ET Jun 06 $4 −$2 -52%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 6, 5:45PM-5:50PM ET Jun 06 $2 +$3 +168%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 6, 5:40PM-5:45PM ET Jun 06 $5 −$5 -95%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 6, 4:35PM-4:40PM ET Jun 06 $4 +$2 +48%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 6, 4:30PM-4:35PM ET Jun 06 $5 −$3 -57%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 6, 4:25PM-4:30PM ET Jun 06 $2 −$2 -94%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 6, 4:15PM-4:20PM ET Jun 06 $10 −$4 -38%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 6, 4:10PM-4:15PM ET Jun 06 $8 +$4 +50%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 6, 4:05PM-4:10PM ET Jun 06 $8 −$1 -11%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 6, 4:00PM-4:05PM ET Jun 06 $1 $0 +21%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 6, 12:40PM-12:45PM ET Jun 06 $6 −$6 -94%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 6, 12:35PM-12:40PM ET Jun 06 $7 −$7 -96%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 6, 12:30PM-12:35PM ET Jun 06 $4 −$1 -24%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 6, 12:25PM-12:30PM ET Jun 06 $1 −$1 -94%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 6, 11:00AM-11:05AM ET Jun 06 $4 −$3 -72%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 6, 10:50AM-10:55AM ET Jun 06 $2 $0 +16%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 6, 10:45AM-10:50AM ET Jun 06 $8 −$5 -60%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
crypto 48% −$95
sports 46% −$61
other 6% −$27
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Nottingham 2: Shintaro Mochizuki vs Michael Zheng BUY Michael Zheng 83¢ $2 13m
Tucuman: Luciano Emanuel Ambrogi vs Johan Alexander Rodriguez BUY Luciano Emanuel Ambrogi 59¢ $1 35m
Grass Court Championships, Qualification: Diane Parry vs Ella Seidel BUY Diane Parry 93¢ $4 39m
Grass Court Championships, Qualification: Diane Parry vs Ella Seidel BUY Diane Parry 92¢ $3 39m
Nottingham 2: Shintaro Mochizuki vs Michael Zheng BUY Shintaro Mochizuki 65¢ $1 45m
Nottingham 2: Shintaro Mochizuki vs Michael Zheng BUY Shintaro Mochizuki 72¢ $1 56m
Cattolica: Jesper de Jong vs Roberto Carballes Baena BUY Jesper de Jong 82¢ $2 1h
Cattolica: Jesper de Jong vs Roberto Carballes Baena BUY Jesper de Jong 80¢ $1 1h
Cattolica: Jesper de Jong vs Roberto Carballes Baena BUY Jesper de Jong 77¢ $1 1h
Cattolica: Jesper de Jong vs Roberto Carballes Baena BUY Jesper de Jong 82¢ $1 1h
Nottingham 2: Shintaro Mochizuki vs Michael Zheng BUY Michael Zheng 46¢ $3 1h
Nottingham 2: Shintaro Mochizuki vs Michael Zheng BUY Michael Zheng 46¢ $1 1h
Nottingham 2: Shintaro Mochizuki vs Michael Zheng BUY Michael Zheng 56¢ $1 1h
Nottingham 2: Shintaro Mochizuki vs Michael Zheng BUY Michael Zheng 56¢ $1 1h
Cattolica: Jesper de Jong vs Roberto Carballes Baena BUY Jesper de Jong 85¢ $1 1h
Nottingham Open, Qualification: Antonia Ruzic vs Taylah Preston BUY Antonia Ruzic 74¢ $1 2h
Nottingham Open, Qualification: Himeno Sakatsume vs Alicia Dudeney BUY Alicia Dudeney 36¢ $1 2h
Libema Open: Kamil Majchrzak vs Alex de Minaur BUY Alex de Minaur 68¢ $1 2h
Lyon: Felix Balshaw vs David Jorda Sanchis BUY David Jorda Sanchis 55¢ $1 2h
Halle Open, Qualification: Mattia Bellucci vs Alex Bolt BUY Mattia Bellucci 41¢ $2 2h
Libema Open: Kamil Majchrzak vs Alex de Minaur BUY Kamil Majchrzak 38¢ $1 2h
Ilkley: Jacob Fearnley vs Yunchaokete Bu BUY Yunchaokete Bu 72¢ $2 2h
Ilkley: Jacob Fearnley vs Yunchaokete Bu BUY Yunchaokete Bu 72¢ $2 2h
Ilkley: Jacob Fearnley vs Yunchaokete Bu BUY Yunchaokete Bu 77¢ $2 2h
Libema Open: Kamil Majchrzak vs Alex de Minaur BUY Kamil Majchrzak 45¢ $1 2h
Libema Open: Kamil Majchrzak vs Alex de Minaur BUY Alex de Minaur 69¢ $1 2h
Libema Open: Kamil Majchrzak vs Alex de Minaur BUY Alex de Minaur 69¢ $4 2h
Libema Open: Kamil Majchrzak vs Alex de Minaur BUY Alex de Minaur 69¢ $2 2h
HSBC Championships, Qualification: Rinky Hijikata vs Marcos Giron BUY Rinky Hijikata 67¢ $1 2h
HSBC Championships: Donna Vekic vs Emma Raducanu BUY Emma Raducanu 15¢ $2 2h
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
negative after costs — do not copy
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +31%
net ROI/market (all)-34.3%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 22 -22.2% -29.6% 45% 36% -25.7%
≤30d 142 -27.4% -34.3% 34% 31% -31.7%
≤90d 142 -27.4% -34.3% 34% 31% -31.7%
all 142 -27.4% -34.3% 34% 31% -31.7%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.
turnover51.6 tr/day
realistic slip~13%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal -34.3% 31% -31.7%
10% ← realistic here -40.6% 26% -38.2%
15% -46.4% 20% -44.2%
20% -51.6% 15% -49.7%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.
✓ Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $65.05 · official $65.05 (match) · 653 history records