trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?
| timeframe | markets | gross ROI | NET ROI | gross WR | NET WR | net PnL (wtd) |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| ≤7d | no closed markets | |||||
| ≤30d | 2 | +97.5% | +78.6% | 100% | 100% | +79.8% |
| ≤90d | 5 | +56.4% | +41.5% | 80% | 60% | +30.6% |
| all | 21 | +18.9% | +7.6% | 57% | 43% | -15.5% |
| copier slippage | NET ROI | NET WR | net PnL (wtd) |
|---|---|---|---|
| 5% ideal ← realistic here | +7.6% | 43% | -15.5% |
| 10% | -2.7% | 38% | -23.6% |
| 15% | -12.1% | 33% | -31.0% |
| 20% | -20.7% | 24% | -37.8% |
| Market | outcome | entry | now | invested | value | unrealized PnL |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Cincinnati Reds vs. Pittsburgh Pirates | Pittsburgh Pirates | 66¢ | 64¢ | $106 | $103 | −$2 (-2%) |
| Market | when | invested | PnL | ROI |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| ITF Zhengzhou: Daria Zelinskaya vs Xi Luo | Jun 17 | $36 | +$54 | +149% |
| Spurs vs. Thunder | Jun 17 | $34 | +$16 | +46% |
| Jiujiang: Jiaqi Wang vs Xiaodi You | May 19 | $32 | +$3 | +9% |
| Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by May 15? | May 05 | $95 | −$4 | -4% |
| Knicks vs. Hawks | May 05 | $50 | +$41 | +83% |
| Jazz vs. Wizards | Mar 05 | $36 | −$36 | -100% |
| Mavericks vs. Bucks | Mar 05 | $51 | −$16 | -31% |
| Grizzlies vs. Pelicans | Jan 30 | $88 | −$88 | -100% |
| 76ers vs. Hornets | Jan 30 | $50 | +$38 | +75% |
| Timberwolves vs. Bucks | Jan 13 | $100 | −$100 | -100% |
| Panthers vs. Buccaneers | Jan 03 | $117 | −$117 | -100% |
| Lighter market cap (FDV) >$1B one day after launch? | Jan 03 | $5 | +$2 | +45% |
| Timberwolves vs. Nuggets | Dec 24 | $40 | −$40 | -100% |
| Mavericks vs. Pelicans | Dec 22 | $114 | −$114 | -100% |
| Mavericks vs. Jazz | Dec 22 | $100 | +$108 | +108% |
| Will Death Stranding 2: On The Beach win Game of the Year at the 2025 | Dec 15 | $5 | $0 | +4% |
| Eagles vs. Chargers | Dec 08 | $119 | −$119 | -100% |
| Rockets vs. Jazz | Dec 08 | $40 | +$226 | +567% |
| Pistons vs. Pacers | Dec 01 | $114 | +$29 | +25% |
| Thunder vs. Jazz | Nov 24 | $105 | +$9 | +9% |
| UTSA Roadrunners vs. Charlotte 49ers | Nov 20 | $98 | +$12 | +12% |