Wallet analysis

2026-06-15T04:43:49+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

0.0
score
E9 0xe9b6…b7a9 crypto 737 markets active 0h ago coverage 22d
BOTnot copyable crypto specialistFading edge⚠ High turnover
✗ bot/MM pace (71 trades/day) — uncopyable✗ negative after realistic slippage
Total PnL +$77 (+2%) realized +$77 · open +$0
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Gross ROI / mkt -10% what the leader earns
→−copy tax
Net edge / mkt -31% what you keep after slip
Net edge-31%after slip
Net WR29%break-even
Win rate64%473W / 264L
Drawdown100%max
Avg bet$6per market
Trades / day71.4pace
Kalshi-fit100%portable
Net worth$0now

Equity curve

realized PnL
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days−$9
7 days−$21
14 days−$42
30 days+$1
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.

Categories

share · PnL
crypto 100% +$1
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.

The copy-tax — evidence

gross is the leader · net is you

Net edge · by timeframe

gross → net
uncopyable — bot pace (71 trades/day)
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +29%
net ROI/market (all)-18.9%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 74 -3.8% -12.9% 57% 54% -16.1%
≤30d 737 -10.3% -18.9% 64% 29% -9.5%
≤90d 737 -10.3% -18.9% 64% 29% -9.5%
all 737 -10.3% -18.9% 64% 29% -9.5%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.

Slippage survival

net ROI/WR at slip
turnover71.4 tr/day
realistic slip~13%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal -18.9% 29% -9.5%
10% ← realistic here -26.6% 21% -18.2%
15% -33.7% 11% -26.1%
20% -40.2% 6% -33.3%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.

Edge quality

honest signals — luck vs skill
Profit concentration
top 18% · top 2 22% broad-based profit
Edge freshness (90d)
90d ROI +0% 90d near zero / fading
Fragile wins
52% wins margin < slip thin win margins
Flat-copyable
equal-wt -10% · $-wt +0% works when copied flat
Big bets
big-bet WR —% no data
Persistence
early +4% → late -25% edge faded
Add-ons / DCA
1.8 add-ons/market adds to positions
Win / loss size
+$1 vs −$2 · ×0.56 wins small, loses big
Profit factor
×1.0 profit barely above losses
Copy size
≥ $50 mirror leader trades ≥ this size to copy only main ideas

Supporting detail

22d coverage
Net worth$0
Realized+$77
Unrealized+$0
Win rate (resolved)64%
Wins / losses473 / 264
Open positions0
Markets (closed)737 / 737
History coverage22d
Avg bet$6
Trades / day71.4
Drawdown100%
Kalshi-fit100%

Ledger

positions · history · trades
Positions 0 History 737 Trades
no open positions (1 resolved losses — in realized PnL)
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Ethereum Up or Down - June 15, 12:15AM-12:30AM ET Jun 15 $4 −$2 -43%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 15, 12:00AM-12:15AM ET Jun 15 $4 +$1 +35%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 14, 11:45PM-12:00AM ET Jun 15 $3 +$2 +45%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 14, 11:40PM-11:45PM ET Jun 15 $3 +$2 +47%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 14, 11:00PM-11:15PM ET Jun 15 $4 +$1 +39%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 14, 11:00PM-11:05PM ET Jun 15 $3 −$1 -33%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 14, 10:30PM-10:45PM ET Jun 15 $4 −$3 -97%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 14, 10:00PM-10:15PM ET Jun 15 $3 +$2 +70%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 14, 10:05PM-10:10PM ET Jun 15 $4 +$1 +35%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 14, 8:30PM-8:45PM ET Jun 15 $4 +$1 +33%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 8:00PM-8:15PM ET Jun 15 $3 +$2 +50%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 14, 8:00PM-8:15PM ET Jun 15 $3 +$2 +54%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 8:00PM-8:05PM ET Jun 15 $4 +$2 +41%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 14, 5:20PM-5:25PM ET Jun 14 $3 +$2 +76%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 10:45AM-11:00AM ET Jun 14 $4 −$4 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 11, 10:00AM-10:15AM ET Jun 14 $3 −$3 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 4:45PM-5:00PM ET Jun 14 $3 −$3 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 11:00AM-11:05AM ET Jun 14 $3 −$3 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 10:15AM-10:20AM ET Jun 14 $5 −$5 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 14, 12:00PM-12:15PM ET Jun 14 $3 −$3 -92%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 10:45AM-11:00AM ET Jun 14 $3 −$1 -55%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 10:30AM-10:45AM ET Jun 14 $4 +$1 +39%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 10:00AM-10:15AM ET Jun 14 $3 −$2 -50%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 9:30AM-9:45AM ET Jun 14 $4 +$1 +33%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 14, 9:30AM-9:45AM ET Jun 14 $3 −$1 -45%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 9:15AM-9:30AM ET Jun 14 $4 +$1 +32%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 14, 8:45AM-9:00AM ET Jun 14 $3 +$1 +43%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 1:00PM-1:15PM ET Jun 13 $4 +$1 +32%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 1:00PM-1:05PM ET Jun 13 $3 −$2 -79%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 12:45PM-1:00PM ET Jun 13 $3 +$2 +51%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 12:45PM-1:00PM ET Jun 13 $3 −$2 -71%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 12:30PM-12:45PM ET Jun 13 $4 +$1 +32%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 12:30PM-12:45PM ET Jun 13 $3 −$2 -73%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 12:15PM-12:20PM ET Jun 13 $4 +$2 +55%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 12:05PM-12:10PM ET Jun 13 $3 −$1 -27%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 9:45AM-10:00AM ET Jun 13 $3 +$2 +59%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 12:30PM-12:45PM ET Jun 12 $4 −$3 -85%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 12:15PM-12:30PM ET Jun 12 $3 +$2 +52%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 12:00PM-12:15PM ET Jun 12 $3 +$1 +43%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:15AM-10:30AM ET Jun 12 $3 −$2 -49%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 9:45AM-9:50AM ET Jun 12 $4 −$1 -31%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 9:35AM-9:40AM ET Jun 12 $4 +$1 +35%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 5:45AM-6:00AM ET Jun 12 $4 −$2 -52%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 5:30AM-5:35AM ET Jun 12 $4 +$1 +15%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 5:15AM-5:30AM ET Jun 12 $4 +$1 +37%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 11, 3:00PM-3:15PM ET Jun 11 $3 −$2 -60%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 11, 1:45PM-2:00PM ET Jun 11 $3 +$2 +52%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 11, 12:00PM-12:15PM ET Jun 11 $3 −$2 -59%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 10:00AM-10:15AM ET Jun 11 $3 +$2 +59%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 9:45AM-10:00AM ET Jun 11 $3 +$2 +48%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Ethereum Up or Down - June 15, 12:15AM-12:30AM ET SELL Up 38¢ $2 16m
Ethereum Up or Down - June 15, 12:15AM-12:30AM ET BUY Up 62¢ $4 27m
Ethereum Up or Down - June 15, 12:00AM-12:15AM ET SELL Down 99¢ $5 29m
Ethereum Up or Down - June 15, 12:00AM-12:15AM ET BUY Down 71¢ $4 41m
Ethereum Up or Down - June 14, 11:45PM-12:00AM ET SELL Down 99¢ $5 44m
Ethereum Up or Down - June 14, 11:45PM-12:00AM ET BUY Down 66¢ $3 52m
Ethereum Up or Down - June 14, 11:40PM-11:45PM ET SELL Up 99¢ $5 59m
Ethereum Up or Down - June 14, 11:40PM-11:45PM ET BUY Up 65¢ $3 1h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 14, 11:00PM-11:15PM ET SELL Up 99¢ $5 1h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 14, 11:00PM-11:15PM ET BUY Up 69¢ $4 1h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 14, 11:00PM-11:05PM ET SELL Down 43¢ $2 1h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 14, 11:00PM-11:05PM ET BUY Down 59¢ $3 1h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 14, 10:30PM-10:45PM ET BUY Up 58¢ $4 2h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 14, 10:00PM-10:15PM ET SELL Up 99¢ $5 2h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 14, 10:05PM-10:10PM ET SELL Up 99¢ $5 2h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 14, 10:05PM-10:10PM ET BUY Up 71¢ $4 2h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 14, 10:00PM-10:15PM ET BUY Up 56¢ $3 2h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 14, 8:30PM-8:45PM ET SELL Down 99¢ $5 3h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 14, 8:30PM-8:45PM ET BUY Down 72¢ $4 4h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 8:00PM-8:15PM ET SELL Up 94¢ $5 4h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 14, 8:00PM-8:15PM ET SELL Up 99¢ $5 4h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 8:00PM-8:15PM ET BUY Up 60¢ $3 4h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 14, 8:00PM-8:15PM ET BUY Up 62¢ $3 4h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 8:00PM-8:05PM ET SELL Down 99¢ $6 4h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 8:00PM-8:05PM ET BUY Down 68¢ $4 4h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 14, 5:20PM-5:25PM ET SELL Up 99¢ $5 7h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 14, 5:20PM-5:25PM ET BUY Up 54¢ $3 7h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 14, 12:00PM-12:15PM ET SELL Down 5¢ $0 12h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 14, 12:00PM-12:15PM ET BUY Down 57¢ $3 12h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 10:45AM-11:00AM ET SELL Down 26¢ $1 13h
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
✓ Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $0.00 · official $0.00 (match) · 2205 history records