Wallet analysis

2026-06-13T19:49:16+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

E9
0xe9bb…0b46
other · 11 markets active 1h ago
0.0score
−$6 -45%
TOTAL PnL · realized −$4 · open −$2
avoidriskycopy
✗ TRAP ⚠ Small sample
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Net worth$2
Realized−$4
Unrealized−$2
Win rate (resolved)12%
Wins / losses1 / 7
Est. fees paid−$0
Open positions3
Markets (closed)8 / 11
History coverage6d
Avg bet$1
Trades / day2.6
Drawdown100%
Kalshi-fit27%
Chart Positions 3 History 8 Categories Trades Net edge Slippage
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days−$1
7 days−$4
14 days−$4
30 days−$4
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.
Open positions — marked to current price, like Polymarket
Marketoutcome entrynow investedvalue unrealized PnL
Will Jalen Brunson win the 2026 NBA Finals MVP? Yes 50¢ 48¢ $1 $1 −$0 (-4%)
Will Morocco win on 2026-06-13? Yes 18¢ 16¢ $1 $1 −$0 (-8%)
Will Qatar win on 2026-06-13? Yes 5¢ 2¢ $2 $1 −$1 (-72%)
Roland Garros ATP: Flavio Cobolli vs Alexander Zverev Flavio Cobolli 5¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Will South Africa win on 2026-06-11? Yes 2¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Will Czechia win on 2026-06-11? Yes 34¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Top-25 open positions by current value. Prices in cents = market-implied probability (50¢ = 50%).
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Will Australia vs. Türkiye end in a draw? Jun 13 $1 $0 -8%
Will Switzerland win on 2026-06-13? Jun 13 $1 $0 -0%
Will England win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? Jun 13 $1 $0 -14%
Will Canada win on 2026-06-12? Jun 12 $1 $0 -3%
Will South Africa win on 2026-06-11? Jun 11 $1 −$1 -97%
Will Mexico win on 2026-06-11? Jun 11 $1 $0 +22%
Will Czechia win on 2026-06-11? Jun 11 $1 −$1 -98%
Roland Garros ATP: Flavio Cobolli vs Alexander Zverev Jun 07 $2 −$2 -97%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
other 69% −$3
sports 31% −$2
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Will Qatar win on 2026-06-13? BUY Yes 5¢ $2 50m
Will Australia vs. Türkiye end in a draw? SELL Yes 25¢ $1 1h
Will Switzerland win on 2026-06-13? SELL Yes 82¢ $1 1h
Will England win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? SELL Yes 10¢ $1 1h
Will Jalen Brunson win the 2026 NBA Finals MVP? BUY Yes 50¢ $1 29h
Will Canada win on 2026-06-12? SELL Yes 53¢ $1 29h
Will South Africa win on 2026-06-11? BUY Yes 2¢ $1 47h
Will Mexico win on 2026-06-11? SELL Yes 86¢ $1 47h
Will England win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? BUY Yes 11¢ $1 2d
Will Australia vs. Türkiye end in a draw? BUY Yes 26¢ $1 2d
Will Switzerland win on 2026-06-13? BUY Yes 81¢ $1 2d
Will Morocco win on 2026-06-13? BUY Yes 18¢ $1 2d
Will Canada win on 2026-06-12? BUY Yes 53¢ $1 2d
Will Czechia win on 2026-06-11? BUY Yes 34¢ $1 2d
Will Mexico win on 2026-06-11? BUY Yes 69¢ $1 2d
Roland Garros ATP: Flavio Cobolli vs Alexander Zverev BUY Flavio Cobolli 5¢ $2 6d
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
negative after costs — do not copy
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +12%
net ROI/market (all)-43.9%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 8 -38.0% -43.9% 12% 12% -49.8%
≤30d 8 -38.0% -43.9% 12% 12% -49.8%
≤90d 8 -38.0% -43.9% 12% 12% -49.8%
all 8 -38.0% -43.9% 12% 12% -49.8%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.
turnover2.6 tr/day
realistic slip~5%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal ← realistic here -43.9% 12% -49.8%
10% -49.2% 0% -54.6%
15% -54.1% 0% -59.0%
20% -58.6% 0% -63.0%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.
✓ Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $2.44 · official $2.44 (match) · 16 history records