Wallet analysis

2026-06-12T13:08:32+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

E9
0xe9c6…95c9
crypto · 74 markets active 1h ago
0.0score
+$33,477 +6%
TOTAL PnL · realized +$35,810 · open −$1,029
avoidriskycopy
~ RISKY crypto specialist⚠ High turnover
Net worth$17,996
Realized+$35,810
Unrealized−$1,029
Win rate (resolved)56%
Wins / losses42 / 33
Whale WR (big bets)68%
Open positions30
Markets (closed)75 / 74
History coverage8d
Avg bet$7,278
Trades / day314.6
Drawdown57%
Kalshi-fit100%
Chart Positions 30 History 75 Categories Trades Net edge Slippage
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days+$18,495
7 days+$56,322
14 days+$35,810
30 days+$35,810
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.
Open positions — marked to current price, like Polymarket
Marketoutcome entrynow investedvalue unrealized PnL
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $64,000 on June 12? No 77¢ 84¢ $6,383 $6,882 +$498 (+8%)
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $72,000 on June 15? No 97¢ 100¢ $4,490 $4,589 +$99 (+2%)
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $64,000 on June 14? Yes 40¢ 35¢ $2,332 $2,018 −$313 (-13%)
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $64,000 on June 15? Yes 32¢ 38¢ $678 $804 +$126 (+19%)
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $64,000 on June 13? Yes 35¢ 32¢ $696 $631 −$65 (-9%)
Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,000 on June 12? No 97¢ 100¢ $568 $588 +$20 (+3%)
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $64,000 on June 17? No 52¢ 56¢ $512 $546 +$34 (+7%)
Will the price of Ethereum be above $1,400 on June 12? Yes 86¢ 100¢ $267 $311 +$45 (+17%)
Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,000 on June 14? No 96¢ 100¢ $296 $309 +$13 (+4%)
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $56,000 on June 12? Yes 86¢ 100¢ $150 $174 +$24 (+16%)
Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,000 on June 13? No 96¢ 100¢ $155 $160 +$6 (+4%)
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $64,000 on June 16? Yes 42¢ 41¢ $137 $134 −$3 (-2%)
Will the price of Ethereum be above $1,800 on June 12? No 93¢ 100¢ $125 $134 +$9 (+7%)
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $72,000 on June 16? No 97¢ 99¢ $104 $106 +$2 (+2%)
Will the price of Ethereum be above $1,400 on June 14? No $268 $104 −$164 (-61%)
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $64,000 on June 18? Yes 45¢ 44¢ $104 $100 −$4 (-4%)
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $72,000 on June 14? No 95¢ 100¢ $92 $96 +$5 (+5%)
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $56,000 on June 16? No $361 $83 −$278 (-77%)
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $56,000 on June 14? No $756 $83 −$673 (-89%)
Will the price of Ethereum be above $1,400 on June 16? No $161 $57 −$104 (-65%)
Will the price of Ethereum be above $1,400 on June 15? No $82 $34 −$48 (-58%)
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $56,000 on June 15? No $82 $18 −$64 (-78%)
Will the price of Ethereum be above $1,800 on June 16? Yes $15 $11 −$4 (-27%)
Will the price of Ethereum be above $1,800 on June 15? Yes 10¢ $16 $6 −$11 (-65%)
Will the price of Ethereum be above $1,800 on June 13? Yes 16¢ $46 $5 −$41 (-88%)
Top-25 open positions by current value. Prices in cents = market-implied probability (50¢ = 50%).
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Bitcoin Up or Down on May 29? Jun 12 $1,747 −$268 -15%
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $72,000 on May 29? Jun 12 $0 +$5,867 +30397322%
Will the price of Ethereum be above $1,800 on June 2? Jun 12 $13 −$13 -100%
Will the price of Ethereum be above $1,800 on June 1? Jun 12 $83 −$83 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down on May 30? Jun 12 $92 +$611 +663%
Will the price of Ethereum be above $1,800 on May 30? Jun 12 $6 −$6 -100%
Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,000 on June 6? Jun 12 $102 +$28 +27%
Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,000 on June 5? Jun 12 $46 +$2 +5%
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $72,000 on May 31? Jun 12 $97 +$2,789 +2874%
Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,000 on June 4? Jun 12 $303 −$183 -60%
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $72,000 on May 28? Jun 12 $674 +$8,340 +1238%
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $80,000 on May 31? Jun 12 $325 −$324 -100%
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $80,000 on June 1? Jun 12 $217 −$217 -100%
Will the price of Solana be above $80 on May 31? Jun 12 $26 −$22 -85%
Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,000 on May 29? Jun 12 $504 +$514 +102%
Will the price of Solana be above $80 on May 28? Jun 12 $8 −$6 -72%
Will the price of Ethereum be above $1,800 on May 28? Jun 12 $151 −$151 -100%
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $80,000 on June 2? Jun 12 $210 +$208 +99%
Solana Up or Down on June 3? Jun 12 $130 −$153 -117%
Solana Up or Down on May 31? Jun 12 $56 −$61 -108%
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $72,000 on June 5? Jun 12 $574 −$581 -101%
Will the price of Solana be above $80 on May 29? Jun 12 $146 −$139 -95%
Will the price of Solana be above $80 on May 30? Jun 12 $7 +$10 +139%
Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,000 on June 2? Jun 12 $5,025 −$5,093 -101%
Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,000 on May 31? Jun 12 $34 +$1,338 +3953%
Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,000 on June 1? Jun 12 $1,696 −$2,704 -159%
Solana Up or Down on May 29? Jun 12 $395 −$355 -90%
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $72,000 on June 6? Jun 12 $85 −$63 -74%
Will the price of Solana be above $80 on June 3? Jun 12 $17 −$9 -54%
Solana Up or Down on June 1? Jun 12 $33 −$38 -116%
Will the price of Ethereum be above $1,800 on May 29? Jun 12 $75 −$75 -100%
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $72,000 on June 11? Jun 11 $3,263 +$104 +3%
Will the price of Ethereum be above $1,800 on June 11? Jun 11 $4,579 +$1,063 +23%
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $64,000 on June 11? Jun 11 $8,637 +$244 +3%
Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,000 on June 11? Jun 11 $4,755 +$245 +5%
Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,000 on June 10? Jun 10 $9,526 +$615 +6%
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $72,000 on June 10? Jun 10 $638 +$148 +23%
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $56,000 on June 10? Jun 10 $10,694 +$672 +6%
Will the price of Ethereum be above $1,800 on June 10? Jun 10 $5,058 +$786 +16%
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $56,000 on June 11? Jun 10 $12,029 +$5,455 +45%
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $64,000 on June 10? Jun 09 $11,723 −$275 -2%
Will the price of Ethereum be above $1,400 on June 9? Jun 09 $633 +$66 +10%
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $64,000 on June 9? Jun 09 $60,504 +$13,817 +23%
Will the price of Solana be above $80 on June 9? Jun 09 $14 $0 +4%
Will the price of Ethereum be above $1,800 on June 9? Jun 09 $10,207 +$653 +6%
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $72,000 on June 9? Jun 09 $144 +$740 +515%
Bitcoin Up or Down on June 9? Jun 09 $48,100 −$7,094 -15%
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $64,000 on June 8? Jun 08 $47,041 −$630 -1%
Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,400 on June 8? Jun 08 $127 +$4 +3%
Will the price of Ethereum be above $1,800 on June 8? Jun 08 $23,070 +$1,258 +6%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
crypto 100% +$25,618
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $64,000 on June 12? BUY No 78¢ $8 39m
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $64,000 on June 12? BUY No 77¢ $16 40m
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $64,000 on June 12? BUY No 75¢ $14 43m
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $64,000 on June 12? BUY No 73¢ $15 43m
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $64,000 on June 12? BUY No 72¢ $139 44m
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $64,000 on June 12? BUY No 72¢ $26 44m
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $64,000 on June 16? BUY No 54¢ $90 46m
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $64,000 on June 12? BUY No 71¢ $19 47m
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $64,000 on June 12? BUY No 68¢ $14 56m
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $64,000 on June 12? BUY No 67¢ $7 1h
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $64,000 on June 12? BUY No 68¢ $14 1h
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $64,000 on June 12? BUY No 65¢ $5 1h
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $64,000 on June 12? BUY No 64¢ $7 1h
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $64,000 on June 12? BUY No 65¢ $5 1h
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $64,000 on June 12? BUY No 65¢ $7 1h
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $64,000 on June 13? BUY Yes 43¢ $0 1h
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $64,000 on June 12? BUY No 65¢ $30 1h
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $64,000 on June 12? BUY No 64¢ $13 1h
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $64,000 on June 12? BUY No 58¢ $27 1h
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $56,000 on June 14? BUY Yes 98¢ $1,519 1h
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $64,000 on June 12? BUY No 59¢ $6 1h
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $64,000 on June 12? BUY No 62¢ $6 1h
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $64,000 on June 12? BUY No 61¢ $19 1h
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $64,000 on June 12? BUY No 60¢ $17 1h
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $64,000 on June 12? BUY No 57¢ $6 2h
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $64,000 on June 12? BUY No 60¢ $5 2h
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $64,000 on June 13? BUY Yes 42¢ $0 2h
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $64,000 on June 12? BUY No 65¢ $7 2h
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $64,000 on June 12? BUY No 66¢ $7 2h
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $64,000 on June 12? BUY No 64¢ $13 2h
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
borderline — thin edge, slippage-sensitive
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +39%
net ROI/market (all)+152.4%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 71 +193.8% +165.9% 59% 41% +0.3%
≤30d 75 +179.0% +152.4% 56% 39% -4.0%
≤90d 75 +179.0% +152.4% 56% 39% -4.0%
all 75 +179.0% +152.4% 56% 39% -4.0%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.
turnover314.6 tr/day
realistic slip~18%
edge survives to20%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal +152.4% 39% -4.0%
10% +128.2% 33% -13.2%
15% ← realistic here +106.2% 25% -21.6%
20% +86.0% 25% -29.3%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.
Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $17,996.30 · official $17,996.30 (match) · 3500 history records