Wallet analysis

2026-06-12T14:07:24+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

E9
0xe9cb…d096
crypto · 39 markets active 0h ago
0.0score
−$4,564 -60%
TOTAL PnL · realized −$4,547 · open −$17
avoidriskycopy
✗ TRAP crypto specialistFading edge⚠ High turnover
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Net worth$96
Realized−$4,547
Unrealized−$17
Win rate (resolved)38%
Wins / losses20 / 32
Open positions1
Markets (closed)52 / 39
History coverage1d
Avg bet$195
Trades / day3462.0
Drawdown100%
Kalshi-fit100%
Chart Positions 1 History 52 Categories Trades Net edge Slippage
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days−$4,547
7 days−$4,547
14 days−$4,547
30 days−$4,547
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.
Open positions — marked to current price, like Polymarket
Marketoutcome entrynow investedvalue unrealized PnL
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:05AM-10:10AM ET Down 39¢ 66¢ $37 $62 +$25 (+69%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:05AM-10:10AM ET Up 50¢ 34¢ $50 $33 −$17 (-33%)
Atlanta Braves vs. Chicago White Sox Chicago White Sox 44¢ 100¢ $0 $0 +$0 (+128%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 1:35AM-1:40AM ET Up 27¢ 0¢ $8 $0 −$8 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 5:35PM-5:40PM ET Down 64¢ 0¢ $134 $0 −$134 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 9:50PM-9:55PM ET Down 67¢ 0¢ $83 $0 −$83 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 12:55AM-1:00AM ET Up 38¢ 0¢ $40 $0 −$40 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 12:45AM-12:50AM ET Up 44¢ 0¢ $54 $0 −$54 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 11:00AM-11:05AM ET Up 37¢ 0¢ $73 $0 −$73 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 4:50AM-4:55AM ET Up 64¢ 0¢ $44 $0 −$44 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 11:55AM-12:00PM ET Down 50¢ 0¢ $33 $0 −$33 (-100%)
Atlanta Braves vs. Chicago White Sox Atlanta Braves 25¢ 0¢ $1,926 $0 −$1,926 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 7:00PM-7:05PM ET Up 26¢ 0¢ $6 $0 −$6 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 7:45PM-7:50PM ET Up 50¢ 0¢ $20 $0 −$20 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 2:55AM-3:00AM ET Up 12¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 8:40AM-8:45AM ET Down 50¢ 0¢ $35 $0 −$35 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 11:35AM-11:40AM ET Down 42¢ 0¢ $4 $0 −$4 (-100%)
Top-25 open positions by current value. Prices in cents = market-implied probability (50¢ = 50%).
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Atlanta Braves vs. Chicago White Sox Jun 12 $1,926 −$4,296 -223%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 1:35AM-1:40AM ET Jun 12 $8 −$8 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 5:35PM-5:40PM ET Jun 12 $134 −$134 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 9:50PM-9:55PM ET Jun 12 $83 −$83 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 12:55AM-1:00AM ET Jun 12 $40 −$40 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 12:45AM-12:50AM ET Jun 12 $54 −$54 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 11:00AM-11:05AM ET Jun 12 $73 −$73 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 4:50AM-4:55AM ET Jun 12 $44 −$44 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 11:55AM-12:00PM ET Jun 12 $33 −$33 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 7:00PM-7:05PM ET Jun 12 $6 −$6 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 7:45PM-7:50PM ET Jun 12 $20 −$20 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 2:55AM-3:00AM ET Jun 12 $1 −$1 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 8:40AM-8:45AM ET Jun 12 $35 −$35 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 11:35AM-11:40AM ET Jun 12 $4 −$4 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:00AM-10:05AM ET Jun 12 $49 −$4 -7%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:55AM-10:00AM ET Jun 12 $261 −$14 -6%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:50AM-9:55AM ET Jun 12 $115 +$36 +31%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:45AM-9:50AM ET Jun 12 $312 +$13 +4%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:40AM-9:45AM ET Jun 12 $31 −$21 -67%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:35AM-9:40AM ET Jun 12 $119 −$4 -3%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:30AM-9:35AM ET Jun 12 $41 −$11 -27%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:25AM-9:30AM ET Jun 12 $152 +$10 +6%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:20AM-9:25AM ET Jun 12 $133 +$22 +16%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:15AM-9:20AM ET Jun 12 $299 −$36 -12%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:10AM-9:15AM ET Jun 12 $230 −$15 -6%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:05AM-9:10AM ET Jun 12 $182 −$12 -6%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:00AM-9:05AM ET Jun 12 $253 −$8 -3%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:55AM-9:00AM ET Jun 12 $185 −$6 -3%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:50AM-8:55AM ET Jun 12 $203 −$53 -26%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:45AM-8:50AM ET Jun 12 $173 −$10 -6%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:40AM-8:45AM ET Jun 12 $230 +$10 +4%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:35AM-8:40AM ET Jun 12 $170 +$18 +11%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:30AM-8:35AM ET Jun 12 $180 +$10 +5%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:25AM-8:30AM ET Jun 12 $183 +$5 +2%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:20AM-8:25AM ET Jun 12 $188 +$7 +4%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:15AM-8:20AM ET Jun 12 $275 +$5 +2%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:10AM-8:15AM ET Jun 12 $140 −$10 -7%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:05AM-8:10AM ET Jun 12 $239 +$10 +4%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:00AM-8:05AM ET Jun 12 $380 −$50 -13%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 7:55AM-8:00AM ET Jun 12 $190 $0 -0%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 7:50AM-7:55AM ET Jun 12 $166 −$13 -8%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 7:45AM-7:50AM ET Jun 12 $315 +$45 +14%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 7:40AM-7:45AM ET Jun 12 $128 +$32 +25%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 7:35AM-7:40AM ET Jun 12 $220 +$50 +23%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 7:30AM-7:35AM ET Jun 12 $297 +$40 +14%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 7:25AM-7:30AM ET Jun 12 $228 +$42 +18%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 7:20AM-7:25AM ET Jun 12 $192 +$68 +36%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 7:15AM-7:20AM ET Jun 12 $243 −$2 -1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 7:10AM-7:15AM ET Jun 12 $181 +$9 +5%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 7:05AM-7:10AM ET Jun 12 $394 −$151 -38%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
crypto 100% +$268
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:05AM-10:10AM ET BUY Down 17¢ $0 0m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:05AM-10:10AM ET BUY Down 19¢ $0 0m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:05AM-10:10AM ET BUY Down 13¢ $0 0m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:05AM-10:10AM ET BUY Down 13¢ $0 0m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:05AM-10:10AM ET BUY Down 17¢ $1 0m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:05AM-10:10AM ET BUY Down 17¢ $0 0m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:05AM-10:10AM ET BUY Down 18¢ $1 0m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:05AM-10:10AM ET BUY Down 19¢ $0 0m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:05AM-10:10AM ET BUY Down 22¢ $1 0m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:05AM-10:10AM ET BUY Up 73¢ $4 0m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:05AM-10:10AM ET BUY Up 72¢ $4 0m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:05AM-10:10AM ET BUY Down 30¢ $1 0m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:05AM-10:10AM ET BUY Down 30¢ $1 0m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:05AM-10:10AM ET BUY Up 65¢ $3 0m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:05AM-10:10AM ET BUY Down 33¢ $2 0m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:05AM-10:10AM ET BUY Up 65¢ $3 0m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:05AM-10:10AM ET BUY Up 65¢ $1 0m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:05AM-10:10AM ET BUY Up 65¢ $2 0m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:05AM-10:10AM ET BUY Up 66¢ $3 0m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:05AM-10:10AM ET BUY Up 66¢ $3 0m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:05AM-10:10AM ET BUY Up 65¢ $3 0m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:05AM-10:10AM ET BUY Up 65¢ $3 0m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:05AM-10:10AM ET BUY Up 67¢ $3 0m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:05AM-10:10AM ET BUY Down 32¢ $2 0m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:05AM-10:10AM ET BUY Down 39¢ $2 0m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:05AM-10:10AM ET BUY Down 34¢ $2 0m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:05AM-10:10AM ET BUY Down 38¢ $2 0m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:05AM-10:10AM ET BUY Down 36¢ $1 0m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:05AM-10:10AM ET BUY Down 36¢ $0 0m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:05AM-10:10AM ET BUY Down 36¢ $1 0m
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
negative after costs — do not copy
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +19%
net ROI/market (all)-26.6%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 52 -18.9% -26.6% 38% 19% -29.2%
≤30d 52 -18.9% -26.6% 38% 19% -29.2%
≤90d 52 -18.9% -26.6% 38% 19% -29.2%
all 52 -18.9% -26.6% 38% 19% -29.2%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.
turnover3462.0 tr/day
realistic slip~13%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal -26.6% 19% -29.2%
10% ← realistic here -33.6% 10% -36.0%
15% -40.0% 4% -42.2%
20% -45.9% 2% -47.9%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.
✓ Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $95.84 · official $95.18 (match) · 3500 history records