Wallet analysis

2026-06-14T03:06:00+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

E9
0xe9d3…63d9
crypto · 1067 markets active 1h ago
0.0score
−$151 -3%
TOTAL PnL · realized −$150 · open −$1
avoidriskycopy
✗ TRAP crypto specialistFading edge⚠ High turnover
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Net worth$38
Realized−$150
Unrealized−$1
Win rate (resolved)64%
Wins / losses683 / 377
Est. fees paid−$2
Open positions7
Markets (closed)1060 / 1067
History coverage35d
Avg bet$5
Trades / day63.7
Drawdown100%
Kalshi-fit92%
Chart Positions 7 History 1060 Categories Trades Net edge Slippage
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days−$10
7 days−$30
14 days−$152
30 days−$446
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.
Open positions — marked to current price, like Polymarket
Marketoutcome entrynow investedvalue unrealized PnL
Haiti vs. Scotland: O/U 0.5 Over 96¢ 100¢ $6 $6 +$0 (+4%)
Haiti vs. Scotland: O/U 6.5 Under 98¢ 100¢ $6 $6 +$0 (+2%)
Spread: Spurs (-24.5) Knicks 98¢ 96¢ $6 $6 −$0 (-2%)
Spread: Haiti (-1.5) Scotland 96¢ 100¢ $5 $5 +$0 (+4%)
Spread: Knicks (-13.5) Spurs 97¢ 100¢ $5 $5 +$0 (+3%)
Knicks vs. Spurs: O/U 219.5 Under 98¢ 91¢ $6 $5 −$0 (-7%)
Haiti vs. Scotland: Scotland O/U 5.5 Corners Under 95¢ 73¢ $6 $4 −$1 (-23%)
IFK Mariehamn vs. IF Gnistan: O/U 4.5 Over 99¢ 0¢ $7 $0 −$7 (-100%)
Counter-Strike: Clutchain vs INFURITY Gaming - Map 2 Winner Clutchain 91¢ 0¢ $19 $0 −$19 (-100%)
Exact Score: AC Goianiense 3 - 3 CR Brasil? No 97¢ 0¢ $8 $0 −$8 (-100%)
Top-25 open positions by current value. Prices in cents = market-implied probability (50¢ = 50%).
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Knicks vs. Spurs: 1H O/U 124.5 Jun 14 $6 $0 +1%
Knicks vs. Spurs: 1H O/U 121.5 Jun 14 $6 $0 +2%
Knicks vs. Spurs: 1H O/U 109.5 Jun 14 $5 $0 +1%
IFK Mariehamn vs. IF Gnistan: O/U 4.5 Jun 13 $7 −$7 -100%
Spread: Turun Palloseura (-1.5) Jun 13 $7 $0 +5%
Spread: FC Inter Turku (-1.5) Jun 13 $6 $0 +1%
Golden State Valkyries vs. Seattle Storm: O/U 156.5 Jun 13 $6 $0 +2%
Golden State Valkyries vs. Seattle Storm Jun 13 $7 $0 +3%
Christian Pulisic: 1+ assists Jun 13 $7 $0 +1%
Trevor Larnach: Home Runs O/U 1.5 Jun 13 $7 $0 +1%
Brooks Lee: Home Runs O/U 1.5 Jun 13 $7 $0 +1%
Exact Score: United States 2 - 2 Paraguay? Jun 13 $6 $0 +3%
Exact Score: United States 3 - 3 Paraguay? Jun 13 $6 $0 +1%
Exact Score: United States 3 - 2 Paraguay? Jun 13 $6 $0 +1%
Exact Score: United States 3 - 0 Paraguay? Jun 13 $6 $0 +3%
United States vs. Paraguay: O/U 5.5 Jun 13 $6 $0 +2%
AC Goianiense vs. CR Brasil: Draw at halftime? Jun 13 $8 $0 +4%
Will AC Goianiense win on 2026-06-12? Jun 13 $8 $0 +1%
Exact Score: AC Goianiense 3 - 3 CR Brasil? Jun 12 $8 −$8 -100%
Exact Score: Any Other Score? Jun 12 $7 $0 +1%
Exact Score: Canada 3 - 1 Bosnia-Herzegovina? Jun 12 $5 $0 +2%
Spread: Canada (-2.5) Jun 12 $7 $0 +1%
Canada vs. Bosnia and Herzegovina: O/U 5.5 Jun 12 $5 $0 +3%
Canada vs. Bosnia-Herzegovina: Bosnia-Herzegovina O/U 2.5 Jun 12 $5 $0 +2%
Spread: Shamrock Rovers (-2.5) Jun 12 $5 $0 +3%
Saint Patrick´s Athletic FC vs. Drogheda United FC: O/U 0.5 Jun 12 $5 $0 +2%
Canada vs. Bosnia-Herzegovina: 1st Half O/U 2.5 Jun 12 $7 $0 +4%
Exact Score: COD Meknès 2 - 2 RCA Zemamra? Jun 12 $6 $0 +3%
Will Difaâ Hassani El Jadida win on 2026-06-12? Jun 12 $8 $0 +4%
Exact Score: Difaâ Hassani El Jadida 3 - 2 Olympic Dcheira? Jun 12 $8 $0 +2%
Exact Score: OC Safi 1 - 2 Kawkab AC? Jun 12 $7 $0 +3%
Will Kawkab AC win on 2026-06-12? Jun 12 $7 $0 +4%
Counter-Strike: ex-MANA eSports vs STEP - Map 1 Winner Jun 08 $8 $0 +2%
Dota 2: VP.Prodigy vs BALU (BO3) - European Pro League Group A Jun 08 $6 $0 +4%
Wang vs. Samson: Match O/U 22.5 Jun 08 $8 $0 +0%
Counter-Strike: Clutchain vs INFURITY Gaming - Map 1 Winner Jun 08 $6 $0 +2%
Counter-Strike: Clutchain vs INFURITY Gaming (BO3) - United21 Playoffs Jun 08 $6 $0 +2%
Games Total: O/U 4.5 Jun 08 $8 $0 +1%
LoL: Anyone's Legend vs Bilibili Gaming - Game 3 Winner Jun 08 $8 $0 +3%
LoL: Anyone's Legend vs Bilibili Gaming (BO5) - LPL Playoffs Jun 08 $8 $0 +4%
Counter-Strike: HyperSpirit vs INOX Division (BO3) - European Pro Leag Jun 08 $17 $0 +2%
Libema Open: Bianca Andreescu vs Elise Mertens Jun 08 $8 +$1 +10%
Game Handicap: 4iki (-1.5) vs Nande+4 (+1.5) Jun 08 $10 $0 +0%
Counter-Strike: Nuclear TigeRES vs CYBERSHOKE Esports - Map 1 Winner Jun 08 $6 $0 +3%
Counter-Strike: HyperSpirit vs INOX Division - Map 1 Winner Jun 08 $8 $0 +0%
Flavio Cobolli vs. Alexander Zverev: Total Sets O/U 4.5 Jun 08 $6 −$6 -100%
Set Handicap: Zverev (-1.5) vs Cobolli (+1.5) Jun 08 $6 −$6 -100%
Spread: Arizona Diamondbacks (-3.5) Jun 08 $6 −$6 -100%
Spread: New York Yankees (-2.5) Jun 08 $6 −$6 -100%
Milwaukee Brewers vs. Colorado Rockies: O/U 15.5 Jun 08 $7 −$7 -100%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
crypto 41% −$125
sports 28% −$21
weather 15% +$1
other 10% −$2
world 2% −$4
politics 1% $0
economics 1% $0
culture 1% $0
tech 0% $0
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Spread: Spurs (-24.5) BUY Knicks 98¢ $6 50m
Knicks vs. Spurs: O/U 219.5 BUY Under 98¢ $6 50m
Haiti vs. Scotland: Scotland O/U 5.5 Corners BUY Under 95¢ $6 50m
Spread: Knicks (-13.5) BUY Spurs 97¢ $5 1h
Spread: Haiti (-1.5) BUY Scotland 96¢ $5 1h
Knicks vs. Spurs: 1H O/U 109.5 BUY Under 99¢ $5 1h
Knicks vs. Spurs: 1H O/U 124.5 BUY Under 99¢ $6 2h
Knicks vs. Spurs: 1H O/U 121.5 BUY Under 98¢ $6 2h
Haiti vs. Scotland: O/U 6.5 BUY Under 98¢ $6 2h
Haiti vs. Scotland: O/U 0.5 BUY Over 96¢ $6 2h
IFK Mariehamn vs. IF Gnistan: O/U 4.5 BUY Over 99¢ $7 10h
Spread: FC Inter Turku (-1.5) BUY AC Oulu 99¢ $6 13h
Spread: Turun Palloseura (-1.5) BUY Tampereen Ilves 95¢ $7 14h
Christian Pulisic: 1+ assists BUY Yes 99¢ $7 22h
Golden State Valkyries vs. Seattle Storm: O/U 156.5 BUY Under 98¢ $6 23h
Golden State Valkyries vs. Seattle Storm BUY Golden State Valkyries 97¢ $7 23h
Exact Score: United States 3 - 3 Paraguay? BUY No 99¢ $6 25h
Exact Score: United States 3 - 2 Paraguay? BUY No 99¢ $6 26h
United States vs. Paraguay: O/U 5.5 BUY Under 98¢ $6 26h
Exact Score: United States 3 - 0 Paraguay? BUY No 97¢ $6 26h
Exact Score: United States 2 - 2 Paraguay? BUY No 97¢ $6 26h
Brooks Lee: Home Runs O/U 1.5 BUY Under 99¢ $7 26h
Trevor Larnach: Home Runs O/U 1.5 BUY Under 99¢ $7 26h
Will AC Goianiense win on 2026-06-12? BUY No 99¢ $8 28h
Exact Score: AC Goianiense 3 - 3 CR Brasil? BUY No 97¢ $8 28h
AC Goianiense vs. CR Brasil: Draw at halftime? BUY No 96¢ $8 28h
Spread: Canada (-2.5) BUY Bosnia and Herzegovina 99¢ $7 31h
Exact Score: Any Other Score? BUY No 99¢ $7 31h
Canada vs. Bosnia-Herzegovina: 1st Half O/U 2.5 BUY Under 96¢ $7 31h
Exact Score: Canada 3 - 1 Bosnia-Herzegovina? BUY No 98¢ $5 32h
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
negative after costs — do not copy
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +27%
net ROI/market (all)-16.5%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 180 -2.6% -11.9% 91% 13% -11.5%
≤30d 797 -27.5% -34.4% 61% 13% -19.5%
≤90d 1060 -7.7% -16.5% 64% 27% -12.0%
all 1060 -7.7% -16.5% 64% 27% -12.0%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.
turnover63.7 tr/day
realistic slip~13%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal -16.5% 27% -12.0%
10% ← realistic here -24.5% 21% -20.4%
15% -31.8% 19% -28.1%
20% -38.4% 17% -35.2%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.
✓ Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $38.50 · official $38.36 (match) · 3500 history records