Wallet analysis

2026-06-12T15:31:41+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

E9
0xe9d5…6dbd
crypto · 51 markets active 0h ago
0.0score
+$98 +9%
TOTAL PnL · realized +$122 · open −$24
avoidriskycopy
✗ TRAP crypto specialistFading edge⚠ High turnover
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Net worth$0
Realized+$122
Unrealized−$24
Win rate (resolved)58%
Wins / losses29 / 21
Open positions1
Markets (closed)50 / 51
History coverage2d
Avg bet$22
Trades / day72.8
Drawdown100%
Kalshi-fit100%
Chart Positions 1 History 50 Categories Trades Net edge Slippage
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days+$122
7 days+$122
14 days+$122
30 days+$122
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.
Open positions — marked to current price, like Polymarket
Marketoutcome entrynow investedvalue unrealized PnL
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 11:15AM-11:30AM ET Up 47¢ 0¢ $24 $0 −$24 (-99%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 1:00PM-1:15PM ET Up 50¢ 0¢ $25 $0 −$25 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 5:00PM-5:15PM ET Up 50¢ 0¢ $25 $0 −$25 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 1:00AM-1:15AM ET Up 48¢ 0¢ $25 $0 −$25 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 9:15PM-9:30PM ET Down 50¢ 0¢ $25 $0 −$25 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 2:15AM-2:30AM ET Up 48¢ 0¢ $25 $0 −$25 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 9:30PM-9:45PM ET Down 45¢ 0¢ $25 $0 −$25 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 7:45PM-8:00PM ET Up 47¢ 0¢ $24 $0 −$24 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 12:00AM-12:15AM ET Up 48¢ 0¢ $25 $0 −$25 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 1:45AM-2:00AM ET Up 52¢ 0¢ $25 $0 −$25 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 2:30AM-2:45AM ET Up 52¢ 0¢ $25 $0 −$25 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 11:00AM-11:15AM ET Up 48¢ 0¢ $10 $0 −$10 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 7:00PM-7:15PM ET Up 50¢ 0¢ $25 $0 −$25 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 7:15PM-7:30PM ET Up 50¢ 0¢ $25 $0 −$25 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 1:30AM-1:45AM ET Up 52¢ 0¢ $23 $0 −$23 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:30AM-9:45AM ET Up 49¢ 0¢ $25 $0 −$25 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 4:45PM-5:00PM ET Up 50¢ 0¢ $25 $0 −$25 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 2:00AM-2:15AM ET Up 50¢ 0¢ $25 $0 −$25 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 5:30AM-5:45AM ET Down 44¢ 0¢ $25 $0 −$25 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:15AM-9:30AM ET Up 49¢ 0¢ $25 $0 −$25 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 1:30AM-1:45AM ET Down 50¢ 0¢ $25 $0 −$25 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 12:45AM-1:00AM ET Down 50¢ 0¢ $25 $0 −$25 (-100%)
Top-25 open positions by current value. Prices in cents = market-implied probability (50¢ = 50%).
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:45AM-11:00AM ET Jun 12 $26 +$24 +93%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:15AM-10:30AM ET Jun 12 $26 +$24 +94%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:00AM-10:15AM ET Jun 12 $26 +$23 +90%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:45AM-10:00AM ET Jun 12 $31 +$28 +92%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:30AM-9:45AM ET Jun 12 $25 −$25 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:00AM-9:15AM ET Jun 12 $25 +$27 +108%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:15AM-9:30AM ET Jun 12 $25 −$25 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:45AM-9:00AM ET Jun 12 $25 +$25 +100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 7:15AM-7:30AM ET Jun 12 $25 +$31 +127%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 5:45AM-6:00AM ET Jun 12 $25 +$31 +127%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 5:30AM-5:45AM ET Jun 12 $25 −$25 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 3:15AM-3:30AM ET Jun 12 $26 +$22 +86%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 2:30AM-2:45AM ET Jun 12 $25 −$25 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 2:15AM-2:30AM ET Jun 12 $25 −$25 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 2:00AM-2:15AM ET Jun 12 $25 −$25 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 1:45AM-2:00AM ET Jun 12 $25 −$25 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 1:30AM-1:45AM ET Jun 12 $23 −$23 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 1:00AM-1:15AM ET Jun 12 $25 −$25 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 12:15AM-12:30AM ET Jun 12 $8 +$8 +101%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 11:45PM-12:00AM ET Jun 12 $26 +$23 +90%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 12:00AM-12:15AM ET Jun 12 $25 −$25 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 9:30PM-9:45PM ET Jun 12 $25 +$25 +100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 7:45PM-8:00PM ET Jun 11 $25 −$24 -96%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 7:15PM-7:30PM ET Jun 11 $25 −$25 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 7:00PM-7:15PM ET Jun 11 $25 −$25 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 4:45PM-5:00PM ET Jun 11 $25 +$25 +100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 3:45PM-4:00PM ET Jun 11 $25 +$27 +108%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 2:00PM-2:15PM ET Jun 11 $25 +$31 +127%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 1:15PM-1:30PM ET Jun 11 $25 +$27 +108%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 1:00PM-1:15PM ET Jun 11 $25 −$25 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 12:30PM-12:45PM ET Jun 11 $25 +$25 +100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 11:45AM-12:00PM ET Jun 11 $10 +$10 +100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 11:15AM-11:30AM ET Jun 11 $10 +$10 +100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 11:00AM-11:15AM ET Jun 11 $10 −$10 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 8:45AM-9:00AM ET Jun 11 $9 +$11 +119%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 7:15AM-7:30AM ET Jun 11 $10 +$13 +127%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 5:45AM-6:00AM ET Jun 11 $10 +$10 +104%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 4:30AM-4:45AM ET Jun 11 $10 +$10 +100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 1:30AM-1:45AM ET Jun 11 $25 −$25 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 12:45AM-1:00AM ET Jun 11 $25 −$25 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 12:00AM-12:15AM ET Jun 11 $25 +$25 +100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 9:45PM-10:00PM ET Jun 11 $25 +$31 +122%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 9:30PM-9:45PM ET Jun 11 $25 −$25 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 9:15PM-9:30PM ET Jun 11 $25 −$25 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 6:15PM-6:30PM ET Jun 10 $26 +$20 +76%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 5:15PM-5:30PM ET Jun 10 $25 +$25 +100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 5:00PM-5:15PM ET Jun 10 $25 −$25 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 4:45PM-5:00PM ET Jun 10 $26 −$25 -97%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 4:15PM-4:30PM ET Jun 10 $25 +$25 +100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 2:45PM-3:00PM ET Jun 10 $10 +$10 +100%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
crypto 100% +$98
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 11:15AM-11:30AM ET BUY Up 47¢ $25 16m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:45AM-11:00AM ET BUY Up 50¢ $26 46m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:15AM-10:30AM ET BUY Up 50¢ $3 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:15AM-10:30AM ET BUY Up 50¢ $23 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:00AM-10:15AM ET BUY Up 51¢ $26 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:45AM-10:00AM ET BUY Up 52¢ $19 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:45AM-10:00AM ET BUY Up 52¢ $6 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:45AM-10:00AM ET BUY Up 51¢ $3 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:45AM-10:00AM ET BUY Up 51¢ $2 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:30AM-9:45AM ET BUY Up 49¢ $25 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:15AM-9:30AM ET BUY Up 49¢ $25 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:00AM-9:15AM ET BUY Up 48¢ $25 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:45AM-9:00AM ET BUY Up 50¢ $25 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 7:15AM-7:30AM ET BUY Down 44¢ $6 4h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 7:15AM-7:30AM ET BUY Down 44¢ $9 4h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 7:15AM-7:30AM ET BUY Down 44¢ $6 4h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 7:15AM-7:30AM ET BUY Down 44¢ $4 4h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 5:45AM-6:00AM ET BUY Down 44¢ $25 5h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 5:30AM-5:45AM ET BUY Down 44¢ $13 6h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 5:30AM-5:45AM ET BUY Down 44¢ $7 6h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 5:30AM-5:45AM ET BUY Down 44¢ $4 6h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 5:30AM-5:45AM ET BUY Down 44¢ $1 6h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 5:30AM-5:45AM ET BUY Down 44¢ $1 6h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 3:15AM-3:30AM ET BUY Up 52¢ $26 8h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 2:30AM-2:45AM ET BUY Up 52¢ $25 9h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 2:15AM-2:30AM ET BUY Up 48¢ $2 9h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 2:15AM-2:30AM ET BUY Up 48¢ $10 9h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 2:15AM-2:30AM ET BUY Up 48¢ $9 9h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 2:15AM-2:30AM ET BUY Up 48¢ $3 9h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 2:00AM-2:15AM ET BUY Up 50¢ $14 9h
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
trap: profits on perfect fill only, loses on real
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +58%
net ROI/market (all)+6.8%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 50 +18.0% +6.8% 58% 58% +0.4%
≤30d 50 +18.0% +6.8% 58% 58% +0.4%
≤90d 50 +18.0% +6.8% 58% 58% +0.4%
all 50 +18.0% +6.8% 58% 58% +0.4%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.
turnover72.8 tr/day
realistic slip~13%
edge survives to5%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal +6.8% 58% +0.4%
10% ← realistic here -3.4% 58% -9.2%
15% -12.8% 58% -18.0%
20% -21.3% 58% -26.0%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.
✓ Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $0.26 · official $0.26 (match) · 165 history records