Wallet analysis

2026-06-13T02:01:36+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

E9
0xe9de…5169
other · 24 markets active 2h ago
0.0score
−$278 -19%
TOTAL PnL · realized −$292 · open +$14
avoidriskycopy
✗ TRAP ⚠ Small sample
Net worth$327
Realized−$292
Unrealized+$14
Win rate (resolved)28%
Wins / losses5 / 13
Est. fees paid−$9
Open positions6
Markets (closed)18 / 24
History coverage48d
Avg bet$61
Trades / day2.8
Drawdown100%
Kalshi-fit29%
Chart Positions 6 History 18 Categories Trades Net edge Slippage
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days−$8
7 days−$8
14 days−$106
30 days−$194
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.
Open positions — marked to current price, like Polymarket
Marketoutcome entrynow investedvalue unrealized PnL
Will Lamine Yamal be the top goalscorer at the 2026 FIFA World Cup? Yes $75 $104 +$29 (+39%)
Will Harry Kane be the top goalscorer at the 2026 FIFA World Cup? Yes 13¢ 14¢ $69 $72 +$3 (+5%)
Will Japan be the furthest advancing AFC nation at the World Cup? Yes 41¢ 36¢ $61 $55 −$7 (-11%)
Will England win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? Yes 11¢ 10¢ $60 $53 −$7 (-12%)
Will Ivory Coast win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? Yes $40 $35 −$5 (-12%)
Will France win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? Yes 16¢ 16¢ $8 $8 +$0 (+0%)
Will Aryna Sabalenka win the 2026 Women’s French Open? Yes 27¢ $27 $0 −$27 (-100%)
Will Learner Tien win the 2026 Men's French Open? Yes $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Will Moise Kouame win the 2026 Men's French Open? Yes $8 $0 −$8 (-100%)
Will Matteo Berrettini win the 2026 Men's French Open? Yes $24 $0 −$24 (-100%)
HSBC Championships: Iva Jovic vs Amanda Anisimova Amanda Anisimova 42¢ $8 $0 −$8 (-100%)
Will Andrey Rublev win the 2026 Men's French Open? Yes $69 $0 −$69 (-100%)
Will Manchester City win the 2025–26 English Premier League? Yes 37¢ $118 $0 −$118 (-100%)
Will Flavio Cobolli win the 2026 Men's French Open? Yes 14¢ $244 $0 −$244 (-100%)
Top-25 open positions by current value. Prices in cents = market-implied probability (50¢ = 50%).
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
HSBC Championships: Iva Jovic vs Amanda Anisimova Jun 12 $9 −$8 -98%
Will Flavio Cobolli win the 2026 Men's French Open? Jun 05 $292 −$184 -63%
Will Andrey Rublev win the 2026 Men's French Open? May 31 $69 −$69 -100%
Will Rafael Jodar win the 2026 Men's French Open? May 31 $87 +$113 +129%
Will Matteo Berrettini win the 2026 Men's French Open? May 31 $25 −$24 -97%
Will PSG win the 2025–26 Champions League? May 30 $36 +$84 +230%
Will Karen Khachanov win the 2026 Men's French Open? May 30 $11 −$11 -100%
Will Novak Djokovic win the 2026 Men's French Open? May 30 $4 −$4 -100%
Will Lorenzo Musetti win the 2026 Men's French Open? May 30 $1 −$1 -100%
Will Alexander Bublik win the 2026 Men's French Open? May 30 $1 −$1 -100%
Will Moise Kouame win the 2026 Men's French Open? May 29 $8 −$8 -100%
Will Aryna Sabalenka win the 2026 Women’s French Open? May 28 $27 −$27 -100%
Will Learner Tien win the 2026 Men's French Open? May 28 $17 −$9 -52%
Will Southampton achieve promotion from the EFL Championship to the En May 21 $4 +$6 +156%
Will Tottenham be relegated from the English Premier League after the May 18 $192 −$83 -44%
Will Manchester United finish in 3rd place in the 2025-26 English Prem May 17 $156 +$33 +21%
Will Manchester City win the 2025–26 English Premier League? May 02 $118 −$118 -100%
Jiujiang: Mikhail Kukushkin vs Coleman Wong Apr 30 $101 +$20 +20%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
other 58% −$211
sports 42% −$68
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Will Ivory Coast win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? BUY Yes $41 1h
HSBC Championships: Iva Jovic vs Amanda Anisimova BUY Amanda Anisimova 42¢ $9 10h
Will England win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? BUY Yes 11¢ $54 3d
Will Japan be the furthest advancing AFC nation at the World Cup? BUY Yes 41¢ $12 3d
Will Japan be the furthest advancing AFC nation at the World Cup? BUY Yes 41¢ $49 3d
Will Lamine Yamal be the top goalscorer at the 2026 FIFA World Cup? BUY Yes $34 3d
Will Lamine Yamal be the top goalscorer at the 2026 FIFA World Cup? BUY Yes $4 3d
Will Harry Kane be the top goalscorer at the 2026 FIFA World Cup? BUY Yes 13¢ $65 3d
Will Lamine Yamal be the top goalscorer at the 2026 FIFA World Cup? BUY Yes $28 3d
Will Lamine Yamal be the top goalscorer at the 2026 FIFA World Cup? BUY Yes $5 3d
Will Lamine Yamal be the top goalscorer at the 2026 FIFA World Cup? BUY Yes $5 3d
Will Flavio Cobolli win the 2026 Men's French Open? BUY Yes 25¢ $70 7d
Will Flavio Cobolli win the 2026 Men's French Open? BUY Yes 25¢ $2 7d
Will Flavio Cobolli win the 2026 Men's French Open? BUY Yes 25¢ $10 7d
Will Flavio Cobolli win the 2026 Men's French Open? BUY Yes 25¢ $12 7d
Will Flavio Cobolli win the 2026 Men's French Open? SELL Yes 25¢ $95 7d
Will Flavio Cobolli win the 2026 Men's French Open? BUY Yes 12¢ $28 11d
Will Flavio Cobolli win the 2026 Men's French Open? BUY Yes 11¢ $16 11d
Will Flavio Cobolli win the 2026 Men's French Open? BUY Yes 11¢ $1 11d
Will Flavio Cobolli win the 2026 Men's French Open? BUY Yes 11¢ $1 11d
Will Andrey Rublev win the 2026 Men's French Open? BUY Yes $5 12d
Will Andrey Rublev win the 2026 Men's French Open? BUY Yes $9 12d
Will Andrey Rublev win the 2026 Men's French Open? BUY Yes $9 12d
Will Andrey Rublev win the 2026 Men's French Open? BUY Yes $9 12d
Will Andrey Rublev win the 2026 Men's French Open? BUY Yes $9 12d
Will Andrey Rublev win the 2026 Men's French Open? BUY Yes $9 12d
Will Andrey Rublev win the 2026 Men's French Open? BUY Yes $9 12d
Will Andrey Rublev win the 2026 Men's French Open? BUY Yes $8 12d
Will Flavio Cobolli win the 2026 Men's French Open? BUY Yes 12¢ $0 12d
Will Flavio Cobolli win the 2026 Men's French Open? BUY Yes 12¢ $2 12d
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
negative after costs — do not copy
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +28%
net ROI/market (all)-42.8%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 1 -100.0% -100.0% 0% 0% -100.0%
≤30d 16 -36.4% -42.5% 25% 25% -28.8%
≤90d 18 -36.8% -42.8% 28% 28% -33.1%
all 18 -36.8% -42.8% 28% 28% -33.1%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.
turnover2.8 tr/day
realistic slip~5%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal ← realistic here -42.8% 28% -33.1%
10% -48.3% 17% -39.5%
15% -53.3% 17% -45.3%
20% -57.9% 17% -50.7%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.
Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $327.33 · official $327.33 (match) · 191 history records