Wallet analysis

2026-06-14T02:27:57+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

E9
0xe9df…8d7b
crypto · 114 markets active 0h ago
0.0score
−$33 -22%
TOTAL PnL · realized −$34 · open +$2
avoidriskycopy
✗ TRAP crypto specialist
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Net worth$18
Realized−$34
Unrealized+$2
Win rate (resolved)40%
Wins / losses42 / 63
Est. fees paid−$1
Open positions9
Markets (closed)105 / 114
History coverage36d
Avg bet$1
Trades / day4.1
Drawdown100%
Kalshi-fit96%
Chart Positions 9 History 105 Categories Trades Net edge Slippage
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days−$7
7 days−$22
14 days−$33
30 days−$33
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.
Open positions — marked to current price, like Polymarket
Marketoutcome entrynow investedvalue unrealized PnL
Houston Astros vs. Kansas City Royals Houston Astros 34¢ 44¢ $3 $4 +$1 (+29%)
Spread: Philadelphia Phillies (-2.5) Milwaukee Brewers 38¢ 93¢ $1 $2 +$1 (+145%)
Will Ivory Coast advance to the knockout stages at the 2026 FIFA World Cup? Yes 78¢ 78¢ $2 $2 −$0 (-1%)
Will Ivory Coast reach the Round of 16 at the 2026 FIFA World Cup? No 63¢ 66¢ $2 $2 +$0 (+4%)
Will Ivory Coast be eliminated in the Round of 32 of the World Cup? No 46¢ 52¢ $1 $2 +$0 (+13%)
Philadelphia Phillies vs. Milwaukee Brewers Philadelphia Phillies 79¢ 61¢ $2 $1 −$0 (-23%)
Minnesota Lynx vs. Las Vegas Aces Las Vegas Aces 75¢ 100¢ $1 $1 +$0 (+33%)
Dallas Wings vs. PortlandFire Dallas Wings 49¢ 55¢ $1 $1 +$0 (+11%)
Houston Astros vs. Kansas City Royals Kansas City Royals 52¢ 56¢ $1 $1 +$0 (+8%)
Knicks vs. Spurs Spurs 81¢ 68¢ $1 $1 −$0 (-17%)
Texas Rangers vs. Boston Red Sox: O/U 11.5 Over 34¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Ethereum Up or Down - May 10, 12:00PM-12:15PM ET Up 64¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Solana Up or Down - May 31, 9:45PM-10:00PM ET Up 57¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Texas Rangers vs. Kansas City Royals: O/U 9.5 Over 45¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
XRP Up or Down - June 1, 10:15AM-10:30AM ET Up 51¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Solana Up or Down - June 1, 7:00AM-7:15AM ET Up 54¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 1, 9:45AM-10:00AM ET Down 48¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Ethereum Up or Down - June 1, 8:00AM-8:15AM ET Up 44¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
XRP Up or Down - May 31, 6:00PM-6:15PM ET Down 61¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Texas Rangers vs. Boston Red Sox: O/U 7.5 Under 33¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Solana Up or Down - June 1, 1:15PM-1:30PM ET Down 46¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Solana Up or Down - May 31, 6:30PM-6:45PM ET Down 50¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Solana Up or Down - May 31, 10:45PM-11:00PM ET Down 39¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Solana Up or Down - May 31, 8:15PM-8:30PM ET Down 53¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Solana Up or Down - June 1, 2:45PM-3:00PM ET Up 44¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Top-25 open positions by current value. Prices in cents = market-implied probability (50¢ = 50%).
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Philadelphia Phillies vs. Milwaukee Brewers: O/U 8.5 Jun 14 $1 $0 +1%
Houston Astros vs. Kansas City Royals: O/U 12.5 Jun 14 $1 −$1 -98%
Seattle Mariners vs. Washington Nationals Jun 13 $4 −$1 -31%
Miami Marlins vs. Pittsburgh Pirates Jun 13 $2 −$1 -39%
Los Angeles Dodgers vs. Chicago White Sox: O/U 8.5 Jun 13 $2 +$1 +46%
San Diego Padres vs. Baltimore Orioles: O/U 13.5 Jun 13 $1 $0 +1%
Detroit Tigers vs. Cleveland Guardians Jun 13 $5 +$2 +41%
Detroit Tigers vs. Cleveland Guardians: O/U 6.5 Jun 13 $1 +$2 +158%
Spread: Detroit Tigers (-1.5) Jun 13 $1 +$1 +79%
San Diego Padres vs. Baltimore Orioles: O/U 11.5 Jun 13 $1 +$1 +79%
Spread: Arizona Diamondbacks (-1.5) Jun 13 $1 +$1 +50%
Arizona Diamondbacks vs. Cincinnati Reds Jun 13 $3 +$5 +152%
Atlanta Braves vs. New York Mets Jun 13 $4 −$4 -98%
Seattle Mariners vs. Washington Nationals: O/U 10.5 Jun 13 $1 −$1 -98%
New York Yankees vs. Toronto Blue Jays: O/U 4.5 Jun 13 $1 +$2 +197%
New York Yankees vs. Toronto Blue Jays Jun 13 $2 +$1 +49%
Spread: Cleveland Guardians (-3.5) Jun 13 $1 −$1 -98%
Texas Rangers vs. Boston Red Sox Jun 13 $2 −$2 -98%
Spread: Atlanta Braves (-1.5) Jun 13 $1 −$1 -99%
Texas Rangers vs. Boston Red Sox: O/U 7.5 Jun 13 $1 −$1 -98%
Texas Rangers vs. Boston Red Sox: O/U 11.5 Jun 13 $1 −$1 -98%
Texas Rangers vs. Boston Red Sox: O/U 10.5 Jun 13 $1 −$1 -98%
Spread: Texas Rangers (-3.5) Jun 13 $1 −$1 -98%
San Diego Padres vs. Baltimore Orioles Jun 13 $3 −$3 -98%
Los Angeles Dodgers vs. Chicago White Sox: O/U 11.5 Jun 13 $1 −$1 -98%
St. Louis Cardinals vs. Minnesota Twins: O/U 8.5 Jun 13 $1 $0 +1%
St. Louis Cardinals vs. Minnesota Twins: O/U 11.5 Jun 13 $1 −$1 -98%
Texas Rangers vs. Kansas City Royals: O/U 6.5 Jun 11 $1 $0 +20%
Texas Rangers vs. Kansas City Royals Jun 11 $4 −$3 -71%
Spread: Chicago Cubs (-3.5) Jun 11 $2 −$1 -44%
Chicago Cubs vs. Colorado Rockies: O/U 13.5 Jun 11 $2 −$1 -49%
Chicago Cubs vs. Colorado Rockies: O/U 12.5 Jun 11 $2 +$1 +31%
Texas Rangers vs. Kansas City Royals: O/U 8.5 Jun 11 $1 −$1 -99%
Texas Rangers vs. Kansas City Royals: O/U 9.5 Jun 11 $1 −$1 -98%
Texas Rangers vs. Kansas City Royals: O/U 10.5 Jun 11 $1 −$1 -98%
Chicago Cubs vs. Colorado Rockies: O/U 10.5 Jun 11 $1 −$1 -98%
Chicago Cubs vs. Colorado Rockies Jun 11 $3 −$3 -98%
Spread: New York Mets (-1.5) Jun 11 $1 $0 +20%
St. Louis Cardinals vs. New York Mets: O/U 11.5 Jun 11 $1 $0 +1%
Spread: Miami Marlins (-3.5) Jun 11 $2 −$1 -36%
Arizona Diamondbacks vs. Miami Marlins Jun 11 $2 −$2 -98%
St. Louis Cardinals vs. New York Mets Jun 11 $1 −$1 -99%
St. Louis Cardinals vs. New York Mets: O/U 9.5 Jun 11 $1 −$1 -99%
Will Mexico win on 2026-06-11? Jun 10 $1 $0 -4%
Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? Jun 03 $1 $0 -6%
Solana Up or Down - June 1, 2:45PM-3:00PM ET Jun 01 $1 −$1 -96%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 1, 1:45PM-2:00PM ET Jun 01 $1 −$1 -97%
Solana Up or Down - June 1, 1:15PM-1:30PM ET Jun 01 $1 −$1 -96%
XRP Up or Down - June 1, 10:45AM-11:00AM ET Jun 01 $1 −$1 -97%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 1, 10:30AM-10:45AM ET Jun 01 $1 +$1 +93%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
sports 54% −$21
crypto 41% −$12
other 5% $0
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Dallas Wings vs. PortlandFire BUY Dallas Wings 49¢ $1 15m
Spread: Philadelphia Phillies (-2.5) BUY Milwaukee Brewers 38¢ $1 31m
Minnesota Lynx vs. Las Vegas Aces BUY Las Vegas Aces 75¢ $1 35m
Knicks vs. Spurs BUY Spurs 81¢ $1 1h
Houston Astros vs. Kansas City Royals BUY Houston Astros 48¢ $1 1h
Houston Astros vs. Kansas City Royals BUY Houston Astros 35¢ $1 1h
Houston Astros vs. Kansas City Royals: O/U 12.5 BUY Under 27¢ $1 1h
Houston Astros vs. Kansas City Royals BUY Kansas City Royals 52¢ $1 1h
Philadelphia Phillies vs. Milwaukee Brewers BUY Philadelphia Phillies 92¢ $1 1h
Philadelphia Phillies vs. Milwaukee Brewers: O/U 8.5 BUY Over 99¢ $1 1h
Philadelphia Phillies vs. Milwaukee Brewers BUY Philadelphia Phillies 66¢ $1 1h
Houston Astros vs. Kansas City Royals BUY Houston Astros 26¢ $1 1h
Los Angeles Dodgers vs. Chicago White Sox: O/U 8.5 BUY Under 99¢ $1 3h
Miami Marlins vs. Pittsburgh Pirates BUY Pittsburgh Pirates 81¢ $1 3h
San Diego Padres vs. Baltimore Orioles: O/U 13.5 BUY Under 99¢ $1 3h
Atlanta Braves vs. New York Mets BUY New York Mets 17¢ $1 4h
Seattle Mariners vs. Washington Nationals BUY Seattle Mariners 25¢ $1 4h
Seattle Mariners vs. Washington Nationals BUY Seattle Mariners 21¢ $1 4h
Seattle Mariners vs. Washington Nationals: O/U 10.5 BUY Under 50¢ $1 4h
Seattle Mariners vs. Washington Nationals BUY Washington Nationals 80¢ $1 4h
Detroit Tigers vs. Cleveland Guardians BUY Detroit Tigers 21¢ $1 4h
Atlanta Braves vs. New York Mets BUY New York Mets 24¢ $1 4h
Los Angeles Dodgers vs. Chicago White Sox: O/U 8.5 BUY Under 52¢ $1 4h
Detroit Tigers vs. Cleveland Guardians: O/U 6.5 BUY Under 38¢ $1 4h
Spread: Cleveland Guardians (-3.5) BUY Cleveland Guardians 20¢ $1 4h
Texas Rangers vs. Boston Red Sox BUY Texas Rangers 50¢ $1 4h
San Diego Padres vs. Baltimore Orioles: O/U 11.5 BUY Over 55¢ $1 4h
Spread: Atlanta Braves (-1.5) BUY New York Mets 59¢ $1 4h
Texas Rangers vs. Boston Red Sox: O/U 7.5 BUY Under 33¢ $1 4h
Detroit Tigers vs. Cleveland Guardians BUY Detroit Tigers 20¢ $1 4h
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
negative after costs — do not copy
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +36%
net ROI/market (all)-33.3%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 44 -32.9% -39.3% 36% 27% -37.3%
≤30d 94 -27.5% -34.4% 37% 33% -33.7%
≤90d 105 -26.2% -33.3% 40% 36% -32.8%
all 105 -26.2% -33.3% 40% 36% -32.8%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.
turnover4.1 tr/day
realistic slip~7%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal ← realistic here -33.3% 36% -32.8%
10% -39.7% 34% -39.2%
15% -45.5% 30% -45.1%
20% -50.8% 24% -50.5%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.
✓ Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $17.91 · official $17.91 (match) · 196 history records