Wallet analysis

2026-06-14T03:56:44+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

E9
0xe9e7…4697
crypto · 871 markets active 0h ago
0.0score
−$4,776 -4%
TOTAL PnL · realized −$6,037 · open −$3
avoidriskycopy
✗ TRAP ⚠ High turnover
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Net worth$101
Realized−$6,037
Unrealized−$3
Win rate (resolved)56%
Wins / losses484 / 385
Whale WR (big bets)60%
Est. fees paid−$562
Open positions2
Markets (closed)869 / 871
History coverage57d
Avg bet$122
Trades / day33.5
Drawdown100%
Kalshi-fit89%
Chart Positions 2 History 869 Categories Trades Net edge Slippage
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days+$303
7 days+$37
14 days−$1,272
30 days−$2,926
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.
Open positions — marked to current price, like Polymarket
Marketoutcome entrynow investedvalue unrealized PnL
Will Australia win on 2026-06-14? Yes 18¢ 18¢ $94 $91 −$3 (-3%)
Will Curaçao win on 2026-06-14? Yes 2¢ 2¢ $10 $10 −$0 (-2%)
Chelsea FC vs. Tottenham Hotspur FC: O/U 2.5 Under 15¢ 0¢ $9 $0 −$9 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 28, 6:05PM-6:10PM ET Up 56¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Girona FC vs. Real Betis Balompié: O/U 4.5 Under 60¢ 0¢ $198 $0 −$198 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 28, 7:25PM-7:30PM ET Down 47¢ 0¢ $45 $0 −$45 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 30, 6:10PM-6:15PM ET Up 61¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 28, 11:35PM-11:40PM ET Up 50¢ 0¢ $23 $0 −$23 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 30, 11:05PM-11:10PM ET Down 35¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Academia Puerto Cabello vs. CA Juventud: O/U 1.5 Under 11¢ 0¢ $44 $0 −$44 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 2, 6:40PM-6:45PM ET Down 56¢ 0¢ $20 $0 −$20 (-100%)
CF Cruz Azul vs. Club Necaxa: O/U 3.5 Under 31¢ 0¢ $50 $0 −$50 (-100%)
Will Club Universitario de Deportes vs. Club Nacional de Football end in a draw? Yes 57¢ 0¢ $25 $0 −$25 (-100%)
CA Belgrano vs. CA Unión: O/U 1.5 Under 76¢ 0¢ $100 $0 −$100 (-100%)
Tottenham Hotspur FC vs. Brighton & Hove Albion FC: O/U 2.5 Under 47¢ 0¢ $49 $0 −$49 (-100%)
Will CA Platense vs. Estudiantes de La Plata end in a draw? Yes 48¢ 0¢ $192 $0 −$192 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 28, 7:15PM-7:20PM ET Down 79¢ 0¢ $93 $0 −$93 (-100%)
Bologna FC 1909 vs. FC Internazionale Milano: O/U 3.5 Under 19¢ 0¢ $42 $0 −$42 (-100%)
CR Vasco da Gama vs. São Paulo FC: O/U 1.5 Under 25¢ 0¢ $4 $0 −$4 (-100%)
Will FC Famalicão vs. FC Alverca end in a draw? Yes 33¢ 0¢ $66 $0 −$66 (-100%)
Seattle Sounders FC vs. Los Angeles Galaxy: O/U 1.5 Under 47¢ 0¢ $42 $0 −$42 (-100%)
Al Riyadh Saudi Club vs. Al Qadisiyah Saudi Club: O/U 3.5 Under 79¢ 0¢ $55 $0 −$55 (-100%)
FK Pari Nizhnii Novgorod vs. PFK CSKA Moskva: O/U 1.5 Under 75¢ 0¢ $157 $0 −$157 (-100%)
HNK Rijeka vs. HNK Gorica: O/U 0.5 Under 20¢ 0¢ $40 $0 −$40 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 8, 6:25PM-6:30PM ET Down 70¢ 0¢ $12 $0 −$12 (-100%)
Top-25 open positions by current value. Prices in cents = market-implied probability (50¢ = 50%).
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Haiti vs. Scotland: O/U 1.5 Jun 14 $191 +$178 +93%
Haiti vs. Scotland: 1st Half O/U 1.5 Jun 14 $246 +$51 +21%
Haiti vs. Scotland: Draw at halftime? Jun 14 $14 −$9 -64%
Brazil vs. Morocco: O/U 2.5 Jun 14 $57 +$28 +50%
Brazil vs. Morocco: O/U 3.5 Jun 14 $201 +$120 +60%
Will Morocco win on 2026-06-13? Jun 13 $157 −$37 -24%
Will Brazil win on 2026-06-13? Jun 13 $96 −$5 -5%
Brazil vs. Morocco: Draw at halftime? Jun 13 $225 +$72 +32%
Qatar vs. Switzerland: 1st Half O/U 1.5 Jun 13 $8 +$5 +59%
Qatar vs. Switzerland: O/U 1.5 Jun 13 $16 −$15 -98%
Morocco leading at halftime? Jun 13 $26 −$3 -11%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 10:40AM-10:45AM ET Jun 13 $12 −$10 -82%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 11:05PM-11:10PM ET Jun 13 $51 −$51 -100%
United States vs. Paraguay: O/U 4.5 Jun 13 $107 −$106 -99%
Canada vs. Bosnia and Herzegovina: O/U 2.5 Jun 12 $165 +$120 +73%
Canada vs. Bosnia and Herzegovina: O/U 1.5 Jun 12 $23 −$22 -97%
Canada vs. Bosnia-Herzegovina: Draw at halftime? Jun 12 $65 −$33 -51%
Will Korea Republic win on 2026-06-11? Jun 12 $128 +$22 +17%
Will Mexico win on 2026-06-11? Jun 11 $93 +$38 +41%
Will SC Recife win on 2026-06-10? Jun 11 $60 −$19 -32%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 8, 6:25PM-6:30PM ET Jun 08 $12 −$12 -98%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 8, 5:35PM-5:40PM ET Jun 08 $9 +$3 +28%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 8, 5:30PM-5:35PM ET Jun 08 $8 +$2 +19%
Netherlands vs. Uzbekistan: O/U 1.5 Jun 08 $113 −$111 -98%
France vs. Northern Ireland: Draw at halftime? Jun 08 $97 −$96 -98%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 8, 12:25AM-12:30AM ET Jun 08 $102 +$44 +44%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 8, 12:10AM-12:15AM ET Jun 08 $50 −$50 -99%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 7, 11:20PM-11:25PM ET Jun 08 $51 +$9 +18%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 7, 11:00PM-11:05PM ET Jun 08 $52 +$39 +76%
Ecuador vs. Guatemala: O/U 3.5 Jun 07 $96 +$64 +67%
Ecuador vs. Guatemala: O/U 1.5 Jun 07 $38 −$38 -98%
Will Morocco win on 2026-06-07? Jun 07 $191 −$189 -99%
Liechtenstein vs. Cyprus: O/U 2.5 Jun 07 $80 +$50 +62%
Venezuela vs. Türkiye: O/U 4.5 Jun 06 $104 +$44 +42%
Will Egypt win on 2026-06-06? Jun 06 $50 −$40 -81%
Will Venezuela win on 2026-06-06? Jun 06 $87 −$82 -94%
Brazil vs. Egypt: Draw at halftime? Jun 06 $99 +$100 +101%
Cabo Verde vs. Bermuda: O/U 2.5 Jun 06 $104 −$103 -99%
Will Germany win on 2026-06-06? Jun 06 $293 +$80 +27%
United States vs. Germany: O/U 2.5 Jun 06 $51 −$50 -98%
Portugal vs. Chile: O/U 2.5 Jun 06 $65 −$64 -99%
Will Portugal win on 2026-06-06? Jun 06 $43 −$42 -98%
Portugal vs. Chile: Draw at halftime? Jun 06 $48 +$81 +170%
Tajikistan vs. India: O/U 2.5 Jun 05 $102 −$101 -100%
Spain vs. Iraq: O/U 2.5 Jun 04 $64 +$176 +276%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 3, 4:50PM-4:55PM ET Jun 03 $10 −$10 -98%
Will Nigeria win on 2026-06-03? Jun 03 $211 −$210 -100%
Luxembourg vs. Italy: O/U 1.5 Jun 03 $113 +$84 +74%
Poland vs. Nigeria: O/U 3.5 Jun 03 $191 −$189 -99%
Netherlands vs. Algeria: O/U 0.5 Jun 03 $204 −$201 -98%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
crypto 51% −$1,102
sports 38% −$3,278
other 11% −$1,673
politics 0% +$14
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Will Australia win on 2026-06-14? BUY Yes 18¢ $96 4m
Will Curaçao win on 2026-06-14? BUY Yes 2¢ $10 22m
Haiti vs. Scotland: O/U 1.5 SELL Under 100¢ $370 46m
Haiti vs. Scotland: O/U 1.5 BUY Under 51¢ $191 1h
Haiti vs. Scotland: 1st Half O/U 1.5 SELL Under 99¢ $297 2h
Haiti vs. Scotland: 1st Half O/U 1.5 BUY Under 82¢ $246 2h
Haiti vs. Scotland: Draw at halftime? SELL Yes 5¢ $5 2h
Haiti vs. Scotland: Draw at halftime? BUY Yes 14¢ $14 2h
Brazil vs. Morocco: O/U 2.5 SELL Under 100¢ $85 3h
Brazil vs. Morocco: O/U 3.5 SELL Under 100¢ $321 3h
Brazil vs. Morocco: O/U 2.5 BUY Under 66¢ $57 4h
Will Morocco win on 2026-06-13? SELL Yes 11¢ $54 4h
Brazil vs. Morocco: O/U 3.5 BUY Under 62¢ $201 4h
Will Morocco win on 2026-06-13? BUY Yes 19¢ $97 4h
Will Brazil win on 2026-06-13? SELL Yes 44¢ $91 4h
Will Brazil win on 2026-06-13? BUY Yes 45¢ $96 4h
Brazil vs. Morocco: Draw at halftime? SELL Yes 99¢ $297 4h
Brazil vs. Morocco: Draw at halftime? BUY Yes 75¢ $90 5h
Brazil vs. Morocco: Draw at halftime? BUY Yes 75¢ $1 5h
Brazil vs. Morocco: Draw at halftime? BUY Yes 75¢ $13 5h
Brazil vs. Morocco: Draw at halftime? BUY Yes 75¢ $88 5h
Brazil vs. Morocco: Draw at halftime? BUY Yes 75¢ $33 5h
Will Morocco win on 2026-06-13? SELL Yes 21¢ $66 5h
Qatar vs. Switzerland: 1st Half O/U 1.5 SELL Under 100¢ $13 6h
Qatar vs. Switzerland: O/U 1.5 BUY Under 17¢ $16 8h
Qatar vs. Switzerland: 1st Half O/U 1.5 BUY Under 62¢ $8 8h
Morocco leading at halftime? SELL Yes 15¢ $23 8h
Morocco leading at halftime? BUY Yes 16¢ $26 13h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 10:40AM-10:45AM ET SELL Up 10¢ $2 13h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 10:40AM-10:45AM ET BUY Up 53¢ $12 13h
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
negative after costs — do not copy
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +49%
net ROI/market (all)-17.4%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 33 -15.5% -23.5% 48% 48% -8.4%
≤30d 577 -6.5% -15.4% 58% 51% -12.7%
≤90d 869 -8.7% -17.4% 56% 49% -14.4%
all 869 -8.7% -17.4% 56% 49% -14.4%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.
turnover33.5 tr/day
realistic slip~13%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal -17.4% 49% -14.4%
10% ← realistic here -25.3% 40% -22.6%
15% -32.5% 29% -30.1%
20% -39.1% 21% -37.0%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.
✓ Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $100.79 · official $100.79 (match) · 2102 history records