Wallet analysis

2026-06-12T18:47:01+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

E9
0xe9ef…b063
crypto · 434 markets active 0h ago
0.0score
−$756 -8%
TOTAL PnL · realized −$757 · open +$2
avoidriskycopy
✗ TRAP crypto specialist⚠ High turnover
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Net worth$12
Realized−$757
Unrealized+$2
Win rate (resolved)45%
Wins / losses195 / 240
Open positions1
Markets (closed)435 / 434
History coverage3d
Avg bet$23
Trades / day340.9
Drawdown100%
Kalshi-fit100%
Chart Positions 1 History 435 Categories Trades Net edge Slippage
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days−$788
7 days−$757
14 days−$757
30 days−$757
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.
Open positions — marked to current price, like Polymarket
Marketoutcome entrynow investedvalue unrealized PnL
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 5, 3:45AM-3:50AM ET Down 94¢ 100¢ $10 $11 +$1 (+6%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 2:45PM-2:50PM ET Up 0¢ 48¢ $0 $2 +$2 (+0%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 23, 5:40AM-5:45AM ET Down 40¢ 0¢ $70 $0 −$70 (-100%)
Top-25 open positions by current value. Prices in cents = market-implied probability (50¢ = 50%).
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 5, 3:45AM-3:50AM ET Jun 12 $10 +$1 +6%
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 23, 5:40AM-5:45AM ET Jun 12 $70 −$142 -201%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 2:25PM-2:30PM ET Jun 12 $4 +$1 +31%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 2:00PM-2:05PM ET Jun 12 $10 −$4 -34%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 1:55PM-2:00PM ET Jun 12 $2 +$1 +50%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 1:50PM-1:55PM ET Jun 12 $6 −$1 -17%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 1:45PM-1:50PM ET Jun 12 $4 −$1 -31%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 1:35PM-1:40PM ET Jun 12 $2 −$2 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 1:30PM-1:35PM ET Jun 12 $8 $0 +2%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 1:25PM-1:30PM ET Jun 12 $2 $0 +19%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 1:15PM-1:20PM ET Jun 12 $2 −$2 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 1:05PM-1:10PM ET Jun 12 $2 $0 +18%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 1:00PM-1:05PM ET Jun 12 $4 −$1 -23%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 12:55PM-1:00PM ET Jun 12 $2 +$1 +46%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 12:50PM-12:55PM ET Jun 12 $4 −$1 -19%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 12:35PM-12:40PM ET Jun 12 $2 $0 +23%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 12:30PM-12:35PM ET Jun 12 $2 −$2 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 12:20PM-12:25PM ET Jun 12 $8 $0 -2%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 12:10PM-12:15PM ET Jun 12 $2 +$1 +68%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 12:00PM-12:05PM ET Jun 12 $4 +$3 +76%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 11:35AM-11:40AM ET Jun 12 $4 +$7 +173%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 11:25AM-11:30AM ET Jun 12 $2 −$2 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 11:20AM-11:25AM ET Jun 12 $2 −$2 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 11:10AM-11:15AM ET Jun 12 $2 −$2 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:45AM-10:50AM ET Jun 12 $6 $0 +2%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:30AM-10:35AM ET Jun 12 $6 −$2 -33%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:20AM-10:25AM ET Jun 12 $6 +$1 +17%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:15AM-10:20AM ET Jun 12 $14 −$7 -52%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:10AM-10:15AM ET Jun 12 $4 +$5 +128%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:55AM-10:00AM ET Jun 12 $2 +$2 +110%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:50AM-9:55AM ET Jun 12 $2 −$2 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:40AM-9:45AM ET Jun 12 $2 +$1 +44%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:25AM-9:30AM ET Jun 12 $4 −$2 -43%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:15AM-9:20AM ET Jun 12 $14 +$23 +159%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:10AM-9:15AM ET Jun 12 $10 $0 +4%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:05AM-9:10AM ET Jun 12 $10 −$10 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:00AM-9:05AM ET Jun 12 $31 −$20 -66%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:55AM-9:00AM ET Jun 12 $11 −$11 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:50AM-8:55AM ET Jun 12 $20 +$7 +34%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:40AM-8:45AM ET Jun 12 $20 −$8 -37%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:30AM-8:35AM ET Jun 12 $11 −$11 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:25AM-8:30AM ET Jun 12 $20 −$9 -45%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:20AM-8:25AM ET Jun 12 $21 −$9 -46%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:15AM-8:20AM ET Jun 12 $41 −$12 -28%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:10AM-8:15AM ET Jun 12 $10 +$9 +90%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:05AM-8:10AM ET Jun 12 $10 −$10 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 7:20AM-7:25AM ET Jun 12 $10 +$10 +93%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 7:05AM-7:10AM ET Jun 12 $30 −$3 -10%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 7:00AM-7:05AM ET Jun 12 $10 +$4 +40%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:55AM-7:00AM ET Jun 12 $41 +$23 +56%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
crypto 100% −$615
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 2:45PM-2:50PM ET BUY Up 60¢ $2 0m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 2:25PM-2:30PM ET BUY Up 84¢ $2 17m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 2:25PM-2:30PM ET BUY Up 68¢ $2 18m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 2:00PM-2:05PM ET BUY Down 53¢ $2 42m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 2:00PM-2:05PM ET BUY Down 56¢ $2 42m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 2:00PM-2:05PM ET BUY Up 51¢ $2 42m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 2:00PM-2:05PM ET BUY Up 70¢ $2 42m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 2:00PM-2:05PM ET BUY Down 42¢ $2 43m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 1:55PM-2:00PM ET BUY Up 65¢ $2 48m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 1:50PM-1:55PM ET BUY Down 94¢ $2 52m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 1:50PM-1:55PM ET BUY Down 68¢ $2 52m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 1:50PM-1:55PM ET BUY Up 67¢ $2 53m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 1:45PM-1:50PM ET BUY Down 32¢ $2 57m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 1:45PM-1:50PM ET BUY Up 70¢ $2 58m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 1:35PM-1:40PM ET BUY Down 34¢ $2 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 1:30PM-1:35PM ET BUY Down 88¢ $2 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 1:30PM-1:35PM ET BUY Down 68¢ $2 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 1:30PM-1:35PM ET BUY Down 64¢ $2 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 1:30PM-1:35PM ET BUY Up 41¢ $2 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 1:25PM-1:30PM ET BUY Up 83¢ $2 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 1:15PM-1:20PM ET BUY Up 25¢ $2 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 1:05PM-1:10PM ET BUY Up 84¢ $2 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 1:00PM-1:05PM ET BUY Down 38¢ $2 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 1:00PM-1:05PM ET BUY Up 63¢ $2 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 12:55PM-1:00PM ET BUY Up 67¢ $2 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 12:50PM-12:55PM ET BUY Down 60¢ $2 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 12:50PM-12:55PM ET BUY Up 43¢ $2 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 12:35PM-12:40PM ET BUY Up 80¢ $2 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 12:30PM-12:35PM ET BUY Up 31¢ $2 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 12:20PM-12:25PM ET BUY Up 80¢ $2 2h
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
negative after costs — do not copy
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +38%
net ROI/market (all)-16.7%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 435 -8.0% -16.7% 45% 38% -15.8%
≤30d 435 -8.0% -16.7% 45% 38% -15.8%
≤90d 435 -8.0% -16.7% 45% 38% -15.8%
all 435 -8.0% -16.7% 45% 38% -15.8%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.
turnover340.9 tr/day
realistic slip~13%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal -16.7% 38% -15.8%
10% ← realistic here -24.7% 30% -23.9%
15% -32.0% 24% -31.2%
20% -38.6% 19% -38.0%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.
✓ Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $12.10 · official $11.90 (match) · 3500 history records