Wallet analysis

2026-06-16T12:42:04+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

0.0
score
E9 0xe9f4…dec4 crypto 1196 markets active 1h ago coverage 22d
BOTnot copyable crypto specialist⚠ High turnover
✗ bot/MM pace (67 trades/day) — uncopyable✗ negative after realistic slippage
Total PnL −$3 (-0%) realized −$3 · open +$0
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Gross ROI / mkt -1% what the leader earns
→−copy tax
Net edge / mkt -24% what you keep after slip
Net edge-24%after slip
Net WR37%break-even
Win rate80%954W / 242L
Drawdown100%max
Avg bet$2per market
Trades / day66.6pace
Kalshi-fit100%portable
Net worth$0now

Equity curve

realized PnL
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days−$6
7 days−$0
14 days−$13
30 days−$35
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.

Categories

share · PnL
crypto 100% −$35
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.

The copy-tax — evidence

gross is the leader · net is you

Net edge · by timeframe

gross → net
uncopyable — bot pace (67 trades/day)
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +37%
net ROI/market (all)-10.5%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 376 +0.6% -9.0% 80% 39% -9.6%
≤30d 1196 -1.0% -10.5% 80% 37% -10.7%
≤90d 1196 -1.0% -10.5% 80% 37% -10.7%
all 1196 -1.0% -10.5% 80% 37% -10.7%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.

Slippage survival

net ROI/WR at slip
turnover66.6 tr/day
realistic slip~13%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal -10.5% 37% -10.7%
10% ← realistic here -19.0% 13% -19.3%
15% -26.8% 2% -27.1%
20% -34.0% 0% -34.2%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.

Edge quality

honest signals — luck vs skill
Profit concentration
top 1% · top 2 1% broad-based profit
Edge freshness (90d)
90d ROI -1% 90d near zero / fading
Fragile wins
50% wins margin < slip thin win margins
Flat-copyable
equal-wt -1% · $-wt -1% works when copied flat
Big bets
big-bet WR —% no data
Persistence
early -2% → late -0% mixed
Add-ons / DCA
1.0 add-ons/market flat bettor — clean entries
Win / loss size
+$0 vs −$1 · ×0.22 wins small, loses big
Profit factor
×0.88 loses more than it wins
Copy size
≥ $50 mirror leader trades ≥ this size to copy only main ideas

Supporting detail

22d coverage
Net worth$0
Realized−$3
Unrealized+$0
Win rate (resolved)80%
Wins / losses954 / 242
Open positions0
Markets (closed)1196 / 1196
History coverage22d
Avg bet$2
Trades / day66.6
Drawdown100%
Kalshi-fit100%

Ledger

positions · history · trades
Positions 0 History 1196 Trades
no open positions
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 7:55AM-8:00AM ET Jun 16 $1 $0 +4%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 7:30AM-7:35AM ET Jun 16 $1 $0 +9%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 7:25AM-7:30AM ET Jun 16 $2 −$1 -48%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 7:05AM-7:10AM ET Jun 16 $1 $0 +7%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 7:00AM-7:05AM ET Jun 16 $2 $0 +6%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 6:25AM-6:30AM ET Jun 16 $1 $0 +5%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 6:20AM-6:25AM ET Jun 16 $1 $0 +3%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 6:15AM-6:20AM ET Jun 16 $2 $0 +8%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 6:05AM-6:10AM ET Jun 16 $2 $0 +10%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 5:55AM-6:00AM ET Jun 16 $1 $0 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 5:50AM-5:55AM ET Jun 16 $1 $0 +7%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 5:45AM-5:50AM ET Jun 16 $1 $0 +5%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 5:40AM-5:45AM ET Jun 16 $1 $0 +9%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 5:35AM-5:40AM ET Jun 16 $1 $0 +9%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 5:30AM-5:35AM ET Jun 16 $1 $0 +8%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 3:40AM-3:45AM ET Jun 16 $1 $0 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 3:30AM-3:35AM ET Jun 16 $1 $0 +4%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 3:20AM-3:25AM ET Jun 16 $1 $0 +14%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 3:15AM-3:20AM ET Jun 16 $1 $0 +9%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 3:10AM-3:15AM ET Jun 16 $1 $0 +5%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 3:05AM-3:10AM ET Jun 16 $1 $0 +2%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 3:00AM-3:05AM ET Jun 16 $1 $0 +6%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 1:50AM-1:55AM ET Jun 16 $2 −$1 -78%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 1:35AM-1:40AM ET Jun 16 $1 $0 +13%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 1:30AM-1:35AM ET Jun 16 $2 −$1 -35%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 1:10AM-1:15AM ET Jun 16 $1 $0 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 1:05AM-1:10AM ET Jun 16 $1 $0 +14%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 1:00AM-1:05AM ET Jun 16 $2 $0 +5%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 12:30AM-12:35AM ET Jun 16 $2 $0 +15%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 11:25PM-11:30PM ET Jun 16 $1 $0 +6%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 11:20PM-11:25PM ET Jun 16 $1 −$1 -77%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 11:15PM-11:20PM ET Jun 16 $2 $0 +8%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 11:05PM-11:10PM ET Jun 16 $1 $0 +4%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 11:00PM-11:05PM ET Jun 16 $2 $0 +6%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 9:55PM-10:00PM ET Jun 16 $2 $0 +9%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 5:25PM-5:30PM ET Jun 15 $2 $0 +8%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 5:10PM-5:15PM ET Jun 15 $1 $0 +6%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 5:05PM-5:10PM ET Jun 15 $2 $0 +5%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 4:45PM-4:50PM ET Jun 15 $1 $0 +6%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 4:40PM-4:45PM ET Jun 15 $1 $0 +2%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 4:30PM-4:35PM ET Jun 15 $2 $0 +15%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 4:00PM-4:05PM ET Jun 15 $2 −$1 -40%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 2:55PM-3:00PM ET Jun 15 $1 $0 +2%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 2:50PM-2:55PM ET Jun 15 $1 $0 +6%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 2:45PM-2:50PM ET Jun 15 $2 $0 +2%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 2:30PM-2:35PM ET Jun 15 $2 −$1 -56%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 1:20PM-1:25PM ET Jun 15 $1 $0 +10%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 1:15PM-1:20PM ET Jun 15 $1 $0 +12%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 1:10PM-1:15PM ET Jun 15 $2 $0 +9%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 1:05PM-1:10PM ET Jun 15 $2 −$1 -71%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 7:55AM-8:00AM ET BUY Up 96¢ $1 44m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 7:30AM-7:35AM ET BUY Down 91¢ $1 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 7:25AM-7:30AM ET SELL Down 45¢ $1 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 7:25AM-7:30AM ET BUY Down 78¢ $2 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 7:05AM-7:10AM ET BUY Down 93¢ $1 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 7:00AM-7:05AM ET BUY Up 94¢ $2 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 6:25AM-6:30AM ET BUY Down 95¢ $1 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 6:20AM-6:25AM ET BUY Up 97¢ $1 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 6:15AM-6:20AM ET BUY Up 92¢ $2 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 6:05AM-6:10AM ET BUY Up 90¢ $2 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 5:55AM-6:00AM ET BUY Down 99¢ $1 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 5:50AM-5:55AM ET BUY Up 93¢ $1 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 5:45AM-5:50AM ET BUY Down 95¢ $1 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 5:40AM-5:45AM ET BUY Up 91¢ $1 3h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 5:35AM-5:40AM ET BUY Down 91¢ $1 3h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 5:30AM-5:35AM ET BUY Up 92¢ $1 3h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 3:40AM-3:45AM ET BUY Down 99¢ $1 4h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 3:30AM-3:35AM ET BUY Up 96¢ $1 5h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 3:20AM-3:25AM ET BUY Down 87¢ $1 5h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 3:15AM-3:20AM ET BUY Up 91¢ $1 5h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 3:10AM-3:15AM ET BUY Down 95¢ $1 5h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 3:05AM-3:10AM ET BUY Up 98¢ $1 5h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 3:00AM-3:05AM ET BUY Down 94¢ $1 5h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 1:50AM-1:55AM ET SELL Up 37¢ $0 6h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 1:50AM-1:55AM ET BUY Up 90¢ $2 6h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 1:35AM-1:40AM ET BUY Up 88¢ $1 7h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 1:30AM-1:35AM ET SELL Down 42¢ $0 7h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 1:30AM-1:35AM ET BUY Down 97¢ $2 7h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 1:10AM-1:15AM ET BUY Up 99¢ $1 7h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 1:05AM-1:10AM ET BUY Down 87¢ $1 7h
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
✓ Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $0.00 · official $0.00 (match) · 2616 history records