Wallet analysis

2026-06-14T06:08:12+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

E9
0xe9f9…ef7d
crypto · 53 markets active 0h ago
0.0score
−$44 -11%
TOTAL PnL · realized −$71 · open −$5
avoidriskycopy
✗ TRAP crypto specialist⚠ High turnover
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Net worth$15
Realized−$71
Unrealized−$5
Win rate (resolved)62%
Wins / losses31 / 19
Est. fees paid−$0
Open positions3
Markets (closed)50 / 53
History coverage2d
Avg bet$8
Trades / day36.8
Drawdown100%
Kalshi-fit77%
Chart Positions 3 History 50 Categories Trades Net edge Slippage
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days−$50
7 days−$71
14 days−$71
30 days−$71
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.
Open positions — marked to current price, like Polymarket
Marketoutcome entrynow investedvalue unrealized PnL
Will France win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? Yes 16¢ 16¢ $10 $10 −$0 (-0%)
Will Germany win on 2026-06-14? Yes 94¢ 94¢ $5 $5 +$0 (+0%)
Will Türkiye win on 2026-06-14? Yes 58¢ 0¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
Top-25 open positions by current value. Prices in cents = market-implied probability (50¢ = 50%).
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 2:05AM-2:10AM ET Jun 14 $5 $0 -1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 2:00AM-2:05AM ET Jun 14 $5 +$1 +27%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 1:55AM-2:00AM ET Jun 14 $5 +$1 +19%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 1:30AM-1:35AM ET Jun 14 $27 −$26 -98%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 1:35AM-1:40AM ET Jun 14 $1 $0 -16%
Will Scotland win on 2026-06-13? Jun 14 $5 +$3 +55%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 1:25AM-1:30AM ET Jun 14 $1 $0 +2%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 1:20AM-1:25AM ET Jun 14 $1 $0 +4%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 1:15AM-1:20AM ET Jun 14 $1 $0 -16%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 1:10AM-1:15AM ET Jun 14 $1 $0 -18%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 1:05AM-1:10AM ET Jun 14 $1 $0 +13%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 1:00AM-1:05AM ET Jun 14 $1 $0 +28%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 12:55AM-1:00AM ET Jun 14 $1 $0 -18%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 12:40AM-12:45AM ET Jun 14 $1 +$1 +50%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 12:35AM-12:40AM ET Jun 14 $1 $0 +14%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 12:05AM-12:10AM ET Jun 14 $1 $0 -3%
Will Switzerland win on 2026-06-13? Jun 13 $5 −$5 -95%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 12:05PM-12:10PM ET Jun 13 $1 $0 +4%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 11:55AM-12:00PM ET Jun 13 $1 $0 -14%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 11:45AM-11:50AM ET Jun 13 $1 $0 +7%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 11:40AM-11:45AM ET Jun 13 $2 $0 +12%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 11:30AM-11:35AM ET Jun 13 $1 $0 +38%
Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 28°C on June 13? Jun 13 $5 −$5 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 11:25AM-11:30AM ET Jun 13 $2 −$1 -44%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 11:20AM-11:25AM ET Jun 13 $1 $0 +3%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 11:15AM-11:20AM ET Jun 13 $1 +$1 +83%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 11:05AM-11:10AM ET Jun 13 $26 −$26 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 11:10AM-11:15AM ET Jun 13 $3 $0 +2%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 11:00AM-11:05AM ET Jun 13 $25 −$25 -100%
Will United States win on 2026-06-12? Jun 13 $20 +$15 +72%
Exact Score: Any Other Score? Jun 13 $15 $0 +1%
Will Canada vs. Bosnia and Herzegovina end in a draw? Jun 12 $10 +$3 +27%
Will Bosnia and Herzegovina win on 2026-06-12? Jun 12 $5 −$5 -92%
Will Canada win on 2026-06-12? Jun 12 $5 −$4 -71%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 11:45AM-11:50AM ET Jun 12 $25 $0 +2%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 11:30AM-11:35AM ET Jun 12 $26 +$1 +2%
Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 26°C on June 12? Jun 12 $5 +$7 +143%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 11:15AM-11:20AM ET Jun 12 $5 +$2 +32%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 11:05AM-11:10AM ET Jun 12 $27 +$1 +5%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:55AM-11:00AM ET Jun 12 $25 +$1 +3%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:30AM-10:35AM ET Jun 12 $5 +$1 +20%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:25AM-10:30AM ET Jun 12 $5 $0 +3%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 7:20AM-7:25AM ET Jun 12 $25 $0 +2%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 7:10AM-7:15AM ET Jun 12 $5 +$2 +34%
Will Korea Republic win on 2026-06-11? Jun 12 $15 +$7 +44%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 11:25PM-11:30PM ET Jun 12 $5 −$5 -100%
Will Czechia win on 2026-06-11? Jun 12 $10 −$8 -77%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 11:15PM-11:20PM ET Jun 12 $5 −$5 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 11:10PM-11:15PM ET Jun 12 $5 −$5 -100%
Will Mexico win on 2026-06-11? Jun 11 $5 +$2 +44%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
crypto 69% −$82
other 26% +$1
weather 3% +$2
sports 2% +$3
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 2:05AM-2:10AM ET SELL Down 40¢ $5 2m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 2:05AM-2:10AM ET BUY Down 37¢ $5 3m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 2:00AM-2:05AM ET SELL Up 43¢ $7 8m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 2:00AM-2:05AM ET BUY Up 31¢ $5 8m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 1:55AM-2:00AM ET SELL Down 63¢ $6 12m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 1:55AM-2:00AM ET BUY Down 50¢ $5 13m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 1:35AM-1:40AM ET SELL Down 46¢ $1 32m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 1:35AM-1:40AM ET BUY Down 51¢ $1 33m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 1:30AM-1:35AM ET BUY Down 53¢ $26 33m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 1:30AM-1:35AM ET SELL Down 31¢ $1 38m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 1:30AM-1:35AM ET BUY Down 49¢ $1 38m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 1:25AM-1:30AM ET SELL Up 40¢ $1 42m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 1:25AM-1:30AM ET BUY Up 36¢ $1 43m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 1:20AM-1:25AM ET SELL Up 43¢ $1 47m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 1:20AM-1:25AM ET BUY Up 38¢ $1 48m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 1:15AM-1:20AM ET SELL Down 53¢ $1 53m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 1:15AM-1:20AM ET BUY Down 59¢ $1 53m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 1:10AM-1:15AM ET SELL Down 45¢ $1 57m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 1:10AM-1:15AM ET BUY Down 51¢ $1 58m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 1:05AM-1:10AM ET SELL Up 59¢ $1 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 1:05AM-1:10AM ET BUY Up 49¢ $1 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 1:00AM-1:05AM ET SELL Up 74¢ $1 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 1:00AM-1:05AM ET BUY Up 55¢ $1 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 12:55AM-1:00AM ET SELL Down 47¢ $1 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 12:55AM-1:00AM ET BUY Down 53¢ $1 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 12:40AM-12:45AM ET BUY Down 65¢ $1 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 12:35AM-12:40AM ET SELL Down 62¢ $1 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 12:35AM-12:40AM ET BUY Down 51¢ $1 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 12:05AM-12:10AM ET SELL Down 53¢ $1 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 12:05AM-12:10AM ET BUY Down 51¢ $1 2h
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
negative after costs — do not copy
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +36%
net ROI/market (all)-16.2%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 50 -7.4% -16.2% 62% 36% -26.1%
≤30d 50 -7.4% -16.2% 62% 36% -26.1%
≤90d 50 -7.4% -16.2% 62% 36% -26.1%
all 50 -7.4% -16.2% 62% 36% -26.1%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.
turnover36.8 tr/day
realistic slip~13%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal -16.2% 36% -26.1%
10% ← realistic here -24.2% 26% -33.2%
15% -31.5% 16% -39.7%
20% -38.2% 10% -45.6%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.
✓ Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $15.00 · official $15.00 (match) · 120 history records