Wallet analysis

2026-06-17T14:21:37+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

0.0
score
E9 0xe9fa…f4c6 crypto 933 markets active 5d ago coverage 10d ⚠
BOTnot copyable crypto specialistFresh edge⚠ High turnover⚠ Covers last 9d only
✗ bot/MM pace (328 trades/day) — uncopyable✗ profits on perfect fills only — loses on real✗ 90-day edge negative — edge has died
Total PnL +$247 (+4%) realized +$247 · open +$0
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Gross ROI / mkt +15% what the leader earns
→−copy tax
Net edge / mkt -12% what you keep after slip
Net edge-12%after slip
Net WR31%break-even
Win rate59%671W / 468L
Drawdown100%max
Avg bet$6per market
Trades / day327.5pace
Kalshi-fit100%portable
Net worth$0now

Equity curve

realized PnL
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days−$609
7 days−$613
14 days−$677
30 days−$676
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.

Categories

share · PnL
crypto 100% −$67
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.

The copy-tax — evidence

gross is the leader · net is you

Net edge · by timeframe

gross → net
uncopyable — bot pace (328 trades/day)
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +31%
net ROI/market (all)+3.8%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 273 +74.0% +57.4% 34% 27% -45.0%
≤30d 1139 +14.7% +3.8% 59% 31% -16.5%
≤90d 1139 +14.7% +3.8% 59% 31% -16.5%
all 1139 +14.7% +3.8% 59% 31% -16.5%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.

Slippage survival

net ROI/WR at slip
turnover327.5 tr/day
realistic slip~13%
edge survives to5%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal +3.8% 31% -16.5%
10% ← realistic here -6.1% 16% -24.5%
15% -15.2% 11% -31.8%
20% -23.5% 7% -38.5%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.

Edge quality

honest signals — luck vs skill
Profit concentration
top 2% · top 2 3% broad-based profit
Edge freshness (90d)
90d ROI -12% edge died — 90d negative
Fragile wins
45% wins margin < slip thin win margins
Flat-copyable
equal-wt +15% · $-wt -12% works when copied flat
Big bets
big-bet WR —% no data
Persistence
early -3% → late +32% mixed
Add-ons / DCA
1.2 add-ons/market flat bettor — clean entries
Win / loss size
+$1 vs −$3 · ×0.34 wins small, loses big
Profit factor
×0.48 loses more than it wins
Copy size
≥ $50 mirror leader trades ≥ this size to copy only main ideas

Supporting detail

10d coverage
Net worth$0
Realized+$247
Unrealized+$0
Win rate (resolved)59%
Wins / losses671 / 468
Open positions0
Markets (closed)1139 / 933
History coverage10d ⚠
Avg bet$6
Trades / day327.5
Drawdown100%
Kalshi-fit100%

Ledger

positions · history · trades
Positions 0 History 1139 Trades
no open positions (350 resolved losses — in realized PnL)
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Ethereum Up or Down - May 1, 9:15AM-9:30AM ET Jun 17 $0 −$2 -2494%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 29, 5:30PM-5:45PM ET Jun 17 $5 −$5 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 11:15AM-11:30AM ET Jun 17 $4 −$5 -144%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 2, 5:00AM-5:15AM ET Jun 17 $1 −$1 -184%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 5:25AM-5:30AM ET Jun 17 $0 +$1 +702%
Ethereum Up or Down - May 2, 6:00PM-6:15PM ET Jun 17 $0 −$1 -359%
Ethereum Up or Down - May 26, 9:00PM-9:05PM ET Jun 17 $0 −$2 -530%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 1, 2:45AM-3:00AM ET Jun 17 $1 $0 +22%
Ethereum Up or Down - May 12, 10:50AM-10:55AM ET Jun 17 $0 +$2 +5080%
Ethereum Up or Down - May 3, 10:45PM-11:00PM ET Jun 17 $1 −$1 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 10:25AM-10:30AM ET Jun 17 $0 +$6 +13395%
Ethereum Up or Down - May 12, 10:00AM-10:05AM ET Jun 17 $8 −$8 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - May 10, 12:00PM-12:15PM ET Jun 17 $1 −$3 -221%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 2, 4:25PM-4:30PM ET Jun 17 $0 −$1 -886%
Ethereum Up or Down - May 4, 4:15AM-4:30AM ET Jun 17 $0 −$1 -255%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 9:15PM-9:30PM ET Jun 17 $3 −$3 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 10:30PM-10:45PM ET Jun 17 $0 $0 +437%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 24, 2:35AM-2:40AM ET Jun 17 $5 −$5 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - May 19, 8:15PM-8:30PM ET Jun 17 $0 +$3 +1708%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 27, 8:30AM-8:35AM ET Jun 17 $0 $0 -126%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 27, 9:30AM-9:35AM ET Jun 17 $1 +$1 +180%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 6:15PM-6:30PM ET Jun 17 $0 −$1 -624%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 10:30AM-10:45AM ET Jun 17 $0 $0 +403%
Ethereum Up or Down - May 14, 12:15AM-12:30AM ET Jun 17 $4 −$4 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - May 6, 5:00AM-5:05AM ET Jun 17 $1 −$2 -279%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 2, 7:30AM-7:45AM ET Jun 17 $0 +$1 +956%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 20, 9:20PM-9:25PM ET Jun 17 $10 −$10 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - May 1, 9:00PM-9:15PM ET Jun 17 $0 $0 -69%
Ethereum Up or Down - May 21, 2:15AM-2:30AM ET Jun 17 $0 −$1 -1279%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 1, 8:45AM-9:00AM ET Jun 17 $1 −$1 -215%
Ethereum Up or Down - May 9, 1:10PM-1:15PM ET Jun 17 $1 −$2 -232%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 1, 9:00PM-9:15PM ET Jun 17 $1 −$3 -296%
Ethereum Up or Down - May 30, 11:45AM-12:00PM ET Jun 17 $4 −$4 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 19, 9:30AM-9:35AM ET Jun 17 $0 $0 +190%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 7:45PM-8:00PM ET Jun 17 $3 −$3 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - May 9, 1:30PM-1:35PM ET Jun 17 $0 −$1 -1375%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 20, 2:30PM-2:35PM ET Jun 17 $19 −$24 -125%
Ethereum Up or Down - May 4, 1:25PM-1:30PM ET Jun 17 $1 −$2 -258%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 1, 1:00AM-1:15AM ET Jun 17 $0 −$1 -1337%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 1, 1:00AM-1:15AM ET Jun 17 $0 −$1 -1683%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 1, 9:50AM-9:55AM ET Jun 17 $5 −$5 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - May 7, 5:45PM-6:00PM ET Jun 17 $8 −$8 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - May 3, 7:00PM-7:15PM ET Jun 17 $0 −$1 -281%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 24, 9:40PM-9:45PM ET Jun 17 $5 −$5 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 1, 9:00PM-9:15PM ET Jun 17 $0 −$2 -630%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 10:20AM-10:25AM ET Jun 17 $0 −$1 -262%
Ethereum Up or Down - May 14, 8:00PM-8:05PM ET Jun 17 $2 −$3 -137%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 2, 1:45PM-2:00PM ET Jun 17 $0 $0 -132%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 1:30AM-1:45AM ET Jun 17 $0 $0 +1%
Ethereum Up or Down - May 4, 5:45AM-6:00AM ET Jun 17 $0 $0 +663%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 3:15PM-3:20PM ET SELL Down 63¢ $0 4d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 3:15PM-3:20PM ET SELL Down 59¢ $0 4d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 3:15PM-3:20PM ET SELL Down 60¢ $1 4d
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 3:15PM-3:20PM ET SELL Down 63¢ $0 4d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 3:15PM-3:20PM ET SELL Down 57¢ $2 4d
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 3:15PM-3:20PM ET SELL Down 61¢ $1 4d
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 3:15PM-3:20PM ET SELL Down 63¢ $2 4d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 3:15PM-3:20PM ET BUY Down 78¢ $5 4d
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 3:15PM-3:20PM ET BUY Down 76¢ $5 4d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 2:45PM-2:50PM ET SELL Up 66¢ $0 4d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 2:45PM-2:50PM ET SELL Up 69¢ $1 4d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 2:45PM-2:50PM ET SELL Up 69¢ $3 4d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 2:45PM-2:50PM ET BUY Up 73¢ $5 4d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 12:20PM-12:25PM ET SELL Down 62¢ $0 4d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 12:20PM-12:25PM ET SELL Down 63¢ $0 4d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 12:20PM-12:25PM ET SELL Down 64¢ $0 4d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 12:20PM-12:25PM ET SELL Down 65¢ $1 4d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 12:20PM-12:25PM ET SELL Down 65¢ $3 4d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 12:20PM-12:25PM ET BUY Down 58¢ $5 4d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 11:25AM-11:30AM ET SELL Down 86¢ $1 4d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 11:25AM-11:30AM ET SELL Down 83¢ $5 4d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 11:25AM-11:30AM ET BUY Down 74¢ $5 4d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 11:00AM-11:05AM ET SELL Up 71¢ $5 4d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 11:00AM-11:05AM ET BUY Up 66¢ $5 4d
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 8:50AM-8:55AM ET SELL Up 62¢ $4 5d
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 8:50AM-8:55AM ET SELL Up 62¢ $1 5d
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 8:50AM-8:55AM ET BUY Up 58¢ $5 5d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 8:00PM-8:05PM ET SELL Down 83¢ $0 5d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 8:00PM-8:05PM ET SELL Down 78¢ $1 5d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 8:00PM-8:05PM ET SELL Down 78¢ $4 5d
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
✓ Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $0.00 · official $0.00 (match) · 3500 history records