Wallet analysis

2026-06-17T15:27:46+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

0.0
score
EA 0xea04…228e crypto 403 markets active 5d ago coverage 38d
TRAPdo not copy crypto specialist⚠ High turnover
✗ negative after realistic slippage✗ 90-day edge negative — edge has died! high turnover
Total PnL −$100 (-14%) realized −$100 · open +$0
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Gross ROI / mkt -10% what the leader earns
→−copy tax
Net edge / mkt -30% what you keep after slip
Net edge-30%after slip
Net WR22%break-even
Win rate24%96W / 307L
Drawdown100%max
Avg bet$2per market
Trades / day25.4pace
Fees−$0est.
Kalshi-fit87%portable
Net worth$2now

Equity curve

realized PnL
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days$0
7 days−$97
14 days−$95
30 days−$95
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.

Categories

share · PnL
crypto 89% −$96
other 11% −$27
sports 0% $0
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.

The copy-tax — evidence

gross is the leader · net is you

Net edge · by timeframe

gross → net
negative after costs — do not copy
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +22%
net ROI/market (all)-18.1%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 340 -12.6% -21.0% 24% 22% -25.3%
≤30d 384 -6.4% -15.4% 24% 22% -22.5%
≤90d 403 -9.5% -18.1% 24% 22% -25.5%
all 403 -9.5% -18.1% 24% 22% -25.5%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.

Slippage survival

net ROI/WR at slip
turnover25.4 tr/day
realistic slip~13%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal -18.1% 22% -25.5%
10% ← realistic here -26.0% 20% -32.6%
15% -33.1% 18% -39.1%
20% -39.7% 13% -45.1%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.

Edge quality

honest signals — luck vs skill
Profit concentration
top 5% · top 2 9% broad-based profit
Edge freshness (90d)
90d ROI -18% edge died — 90d negative
Fragile wins
8% wins margin < slip solid win margins
Flat-copyable
equal-wt -10% · $-wt -18% works when copied flat
Big bets
big-bet WR —% no data
Persistence
early -3% → late -16% mixed
Add-ons / DCA
1.5 add-ons/market flat bettor — clean entries
Win / loss size
+$2 vs −$1 · ×1.82 wins bigger than losses
Profit factor
×0.57 loses more than it wins
Copy size
≥ $50 mirror leader trades ≥ this size to copy only main ideas

Supporting detail

38d coverage
Net worth$2
Realized−$100
Unrealized+$0
Win rate (resolved)24%
Wins / losses96 / 307
Est. fees paid−$0
Open positions0
Markets (closed)403 / 403
History coverage38d
Avg bet$2
Trades / day25.4
Drawdown100%
Kalshi-fit87%

Ledger

positions · history · trades
Positions 0 History 403 Trades
no open positions (64 resolved losses — in realized PnL)
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 1:35AM-1:40AM ET Jun 12 $2 −$1 -91%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 1:30AM-1:35AM ET Jun 12 $2 −$1 -85%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 1:15AM-1:20AM ET Jun 12 $1 −$1 -57%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 1:10AM-1:15AM ET Jun 12 $1 −$1 -53%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 1:05AM-1:10AM ET Jun 12 $1 −$1 -64%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 1:00AM-1:05AM ET Jun 12 $1 $0 -50%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 12:50AM-12:55AM ET Jun 12 $1 −$1 -45%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 12:45AM-12:50AM ET Jun 12 $1 +$1 +40%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 12:25AM-12:30AM ET Jun 12 $1 $0 -31%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 12:20AM-12:25AM ET Jun 12 $1 −$1 -69%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 12:15AM-12:20AM ET Jun 12 $1 −$1 -82%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 12:00AM-12:05AM ET Jun 12 $2 $0 -5%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 11:50PM-11:55PM ET Jun 12 $2 $0 -29%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 11:45PM-11:50PM ET Jun 12 $1 $0 -1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 11:40PM-11:45PM ET Jun 12 $1 +$2 +109%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 11:35PM-11:40PM ET Jun 12 $1 −$1 -95%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 11:20PM-11:25PM ET Jun 12 $1 −$1 -58%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 11:10PM-11:15PM ET Jun 12 $1 −$1 -53%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 11:05PM-11:10PM ET Jun 12 $1 −$1 -67%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 11:00PM-11:05PM ET Jun 12 $1 −$1 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 10:40PM-10:45PM ET Jun 12 $2 $0 +5%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 10:30PM-10:35PM ET Jun 12 $1 $0 -20%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 10:15PM-10:20PM ET Jun 12 $2 −$1 -71%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 10:05PM-10:10PM ET Jun 12 $2 −$1 -56%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 10:00PM-10:05PM ET Jun 12 $1 −$1 -41%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 9:50PM-9:55PM ET Jun 12 $2 $0 -6%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 9:45PM-9:50PM ET Jun 12 $2 −$1 -47%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 9:40PM-9:45PM ET Jun 12 $1 +$1 +102%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 9:35PM-9:40PM ET Jun 12 $1 $0 -26%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 9:20PM-9:25PM ET Jun 12 $1 −$1 -55%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 9:10PM-9:15PM ET Jun 12 $1 −$1 -65%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 8:55PM-9:00PM ET Jun 12 $1 −$1 -68%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 8:50PM-8:55PM ET Jun 12 $1 $0 +7%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 8:35PM-8:40PM ET Jun 12 $1 −$1 -51%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 8:20PM-8:25PM ET Jun 12 $1 −$1 -65%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 8:15PM-8:20PM ET Jun 12 $1 $0 -19%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 8:10PM-8:15PM ET Jun 12 $1 +$3 +241%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 8:00PM-8:05PM ET Jun 12 $1 $0 -16%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 7:45PM-7:50PM ET Jun 11 $1 −$1 -62%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 7:25PM-7:30PM ET Jun 11 $1 −$1 -42%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 7:15PM-7:20PM ET Jun 11 $2 +$1 +94%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 7:10PM-7:15PM ET Jun 11 $1 $0 -15%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 7:00PM-7:05PM ET Jun 11 $1 −$1 -48%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 6:55PM-7:00PM ET Jun 11 $1 +$1 +78%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 6:40PM-6:45PM ET Jun 11 $1 −$1 -37%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 6:35PM-6:40PM ET Jun 11 $1 $0 +8%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 6:30PM-6:35PM ET Jun 11 $1 +$2 +187%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 6:10PM-6:15PM ET Jun 11 $1 −$1 -71%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 6:05PM-6:10PM ET Jun 11 $1 $0 -31%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 5:35PM-5:40PM ET Jun 11 $2 $0 +17%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 1:35AM-1:40AM ET SELL Up 3¢ $0 5d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 1:35AM-1:40AM ET BUY Up 29¢ $2 5d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 1:30AM-1:35AM ET SELL Up 5¢ $0 5d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 1:30AM-1:35AM ET BUY Up 32¢ $1 5d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 1:30AM-1:35AM ET BUY Up 32¢ $1 5d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 1:15AM-1:20AM ET SELL Down 12¢ $1 5d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 1:15AM-1:20AM ET BUY Down 26¢ $1 5d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 1:10AM-1:15AM ET SELL Up 12¢ $1 5d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 1:10AM-1:15AM ET BUY Up 24¢ $1 5d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 1:05AM-1:10AM ET SELL Up 8¢ $0 5d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 1:05AM-1:10AM ET BUY Up 21¢ $0 5d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 1:05AM-1:10AM ET BUY Up 21¢ $0 5d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 1:05AM-1:10AM ET BUY Up 21¢ $1 5d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 1:00AM-1:05AM ET SELL Up 10¢ $0 5d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 1:00AM-1:05AM ET BUY Up 20¢ $1 5d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 12:50AM-12:55AM ET SELL Up 14¢ $1 5d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 12:50AM-12:55AM ET BUY Up 24¢ $1 5d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 12:45AM-12:50AM ET SELL Up 41¢ $2 5d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 12:45AM-12:50AM ET BUY Up 28¢ $1 5d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 12:25AM-12:30AM ET SELL Down 17¢ $1 5d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 12:25AM-12:30AM ET BUY Down 22¢ $1 5d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 12:20AM-12:25AM ET SELL Down 8¢ $0 5d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 12:20AM-12:25AM ET BUY Down 26¢ $1 5d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 12:15AM-12:20AM ET SELL Down 4¢ $0 5d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 12:15AM-12:20AM ET BUY Down 21¢ $1 5d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 12:00AM-12:05AM ET SELL Up 32¢ $2 5d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 12:00AM-12:05AM ET BUY Up 32¢ $2 5d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 11:50PM-11:55PM ET SELL Down 24¢ $1 5d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 11:50PM-11:55PM ET BUY Down 32¢ $1 5d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 11:50PM-11:55PM ET BUY Down 32¢ $0 5d
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
≈ Vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $2.34 · official $0.00 · 969 history records