Wallet analysis

2026-06-12T10:27:42+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

EA
0xea2b…1fc6
sports · 23 markets active 2d ago
0.0score
−$2,676,285 -459%
TOTAL PnL · realized −$2,682,243 · open +$5,958
avoidriskycopy
✗ TRAP sports specialist⚠ High turnover
Copy trade Watchlist
Net worth$10,356
Realized−$2,682,243
Unrealized+$5,958
Win rate (resolved)3%
Wins / losses9 / 295
Whale WR (big bets)3%
Est. fees paid−$7,494
Open positions3
Markets (closed)304 / 23
Avg bet$25,351
Trades / day280.7
Drawdown100%
Kalshi-fit83%
Chart Positions 3 History 304 Categories Trades Net edge Slippage
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days−$2,392,217
7 days−$2,400,003
14 days−$2,682,243
30 days−$2,682,243
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.
Open positions — marked to current price, like Polymarket
Marketoutcome entrynow investedvalue unrealized PnL
Will the New York Knicks win the 2026 NBA Finals? Yes 17¢ 81¢ $1,593 $7,490 +$5,898 (+370%)
Will Portugal win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? No 88¢ 89¢ $2,368 $2,393 +$26 (+1%)
Will the San Antonio Spurs win the 2026 NBA Finals? No 75¢ 81¢ $438 $473 +$35 (+8%)
LoL: Ninjas in Pyjamas vs Invictus Gaming (BO3) - LPL Group Ascend Ninjas in Pyjamas 63¢ 0¢ $1,219 $0 −$1,219 (-100%)
Game Handicap: AL (-1.5) vs Invictus Gaming (+1.5) Invictus Gaming 56¢ 0¢ $11,200 $0 −$11,200 (-100%)
Map Handicap: G2 (-1.5) vs Cloud9 (+1.5) Cloud9 46¢ 0¢ $1,105 $0 −$1,105 (-100%)
Will Arsenal FC win on 2026-05-05? No 39¢ 0¢ $7,800 $0 −$7,800 (-100%)
Internazionali BNL d'Italia: Ugo Humbert vs Dino Prizmic Ugo Humbert 28¢ 0¢ $8,680 $0 −$8,680 (-100%)
LoL: Team Vitality vs Solary - Game 1 Winner Solary 25¢ 0¢ $1,817 $0 −$1,817 (-100%)
LoL: GIANTX vs Solary (BO3) - Esports World Cup EMEA Qualifier Playoffs Solary 50¢ 0¢ $20,719 $0 −$20,719 (-100%)
LoL: Gen.G vs HANJIN BRION - Game 1 Winner HANJIN BRION 18¢ 0¢ $551 $0 −$551 (-100%)
Will Crystal Palace FC win on 2026-05-27? No 52¢ 0¢ $1,961 $0 −$1,961 (-100%)
Tampa Bay Rays vs. Baltimore Orioles Tampa Bay Rays 52¢ 0¢ $31,840 $0 −$31,840 (-100%)
Will RC Strasbourg Alsace win on 2026-05-13? No 55¢ 0¢ $5,160 $0 −$5,160 (-100%)
Will Nottingham Forest FC win on 2026-05-10? Yes 27¢ 0¢ $9,720 $0 −$9,720 (-100%)
Will Club Atlético de Madrid win on 2026-05-02? No 80¢ 0¢ $2,732 $0 −$2,732 (-100%)
LoL: Team Vitality vs Movistar KOI (BO5) - LEC Playoffs Team Vitality 43¢ 0¢ $7,008 $0 −$7,008 (-100%)
Club Bolívar vs. Fluminense FC: O/U 2.5 Over 44¢ 0¢ $714 $0 −$714 (-100%)
Will VfL Wolfsburg win on 2026-05-16? No 63¢ 0¢ $677 $0 −$677 (-100%)
LoL: Fnatic vs Natus Vincere (BO3) - LEC Regular Season Fnatic 32¢ 0¢ $16,000 $0 −$16,000 (-100%)
LoL: Weibo Gaming vs Invictus Gaming - Game 1 Winner Invictus Gaming 40¢ 0¢ $19,200 $0 −$19,200 (-100%)
Will Villarreal CF win on 2026-05-13? Yes 47¢ 0¢ $21,237 $0 −$21,237 (-100%)
Internazionali BNL d'Italia: Liudmila Samsonova vs Anastasia Potapova Liudmila Samsonova 36¢ 0¢ $28,384 $0 −$28,384 (-100%)
Game Handicap: FXW7 (-1.5) vs paiN Gaming (+1.5) paiN Gaming 71¢ 0¢ $2,536 $0 −$2,536 (-100%)
LoL: GAM Esports vs Ground Zero Gaming (BO3) - LCP Regular Season Ground Zero Gaming 49¢ 0¢ $566 $0 −$566 (-100%)
Top-25 open positions by current value. Prices in cents = market-implied probability (50¢ = 50%).
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
LoL: Ninjas in Pyjamas vs Invictus Gaming (BO3) - LPL Group Ascend Jun 12 $1,219 −$1,219 -100%
Game Handicap: AL (-1.5) vs Invictus Gaming (+1.5) Jun 12 $11,200 −$11,200 -100%
Map Handicap: G2 (-1.5) vs Cloud9 (+1.5) Jun 12 $1,105 −$1,105 -100%
Will Arsenal FC win on 2026-05-05? Jun 12 $7,800 −$7,500 -96%
Internazionali BNL d'Italia: Ugo Humbert vs Dino Prizmic Jun 12 $8,680 −$8,680 -100%
LoL: Team Vitality vs Solary - Game 1 Winner Jun 12 $1,817 −$1,817 -100%
LoL: GIANTX vs Solary (BO3) - Esports World Cup EMEA Qualifier Playoff Jun 12 $20,719 −$20,719 -100%
LoL: Gen.G vs HANJIN BRION - Game 1 Winner Jun 12 $551 −$551 -100%
Will Crystal Palace FC win on 2026-05-27? Jun 12 $1,961 −$1,961 -100%
Tampa Bay Rays vs. Baltimore Orioles Jun 12 $31,840 −$31,840 -100%
Will RC Strasbourg Alsace win on 2026-05-13? Jun 12 $5,160 −$5,160 -100%
Will Nottingham Forest FC win on 2026-05-10? Jun 12 $9,720 −$9,720 -100%
Will Club Atlético de Madrid win on 2026-05-02? Jun 12 $2,732 −$2,732 -100%
LoL: Team Vitality vs Movistar KOI (BO5) - LEC Playoffs Jun 12 $7,008 −$7,008 -100%
Club Bolívar vs. Fluminense FC: O/U 2.5 Jun 12 $714 −$714 -100%
Will VfL Wolfsburg win on 2026-05-16? Jun 12 $677 −$677 -100%
LoL: Fnatic vs Natus Vincere (BO3) - LEC Regular Season Jun 12 $16,000 −$16,000 -100%
LoL: Weibo Gaming vs Invictus Gaming - Game 1 Winner Jun 12 $19,200 −$19,200 -100%
Will Villarreal CF win on 2026-05-13? Jun 12 $21,237 −$21,237 -100%
Internazionali BNL d'Italia: Liudmila Samsonova vs Anastasia Potapova Jun 12 $28,384 −$28,384 -100%
Game Handicap: FXW7 (-1.5) vs paiN Gaming (+1.5) Jun 12 $2,536 −$2,536 -100%
LoL: GAM Esports vs Ground Zero Gaming (BO3) - LCP Regular Season Jun 12 $566 −$566 -100%
LoL: Movistar KOI vs G2 Esports (BO3) - LEC Regular Season Jun 12 $10,291 −$10,291 -100%
Counter-Strike: Monte vs magic (BO3) - PGL Astana Group Stage Jun 12 $21,500 −$21,500 -100%
Will Manchester City FC win on 2026-04-19? Jun 12 $2,750 −$2,588 -94%
Will Club Atlético de Madrid win on 2026-05-24? Jun 12 $19,000 −$19,000 -100%
LoL: DN SOOPers vs Nongshim Red Force (BO3) - Esports World Cup Korea Jun 12 $7,310 −$7,310 -100%
Map Handicap: TL (-1.5) vs Gentle Mates (+1.5) Jun 12 $573 −$573 -100%
Will Club Atlético de Madrid win on 2026-04-18? Jun 12 $3,393 −$3,393 -100%
Will 1. FSV Mainz 05 win on 2026-05-16? Jun 12 $12,780 −$12,780 -100%
LoL: Weibo Gaming vs Bilibili Gaming (BO3) - LPL Group Ascend Jun 12 $5,097 −$5,097 -100%
Will PSG win the 2025–26 Champions League? Jun 12 $5,859 −$5,859 -100%
LoL: Weibo Gaming vs Top Esports (BO3) - LPL Group Ascend Jun 12 $1,861 −$1,861 -100%
Manchester City FC vs. Arsenal FC: O/U 2.5 Jun 12 $24,914 −$24,914 -100%
Counter-Strike: Isurus vs Fake do Biru (BO3) - CCT South America Serie Jun 12 $1,136 −$1,136 -100%
Counter-Strike: TheMongolz vs Liquid (BO3) - CS Asia Championships Gro Jun 12 $25,630 −$25,630 -100%
Chicago Cubs vs. Texas Rangers Jun 12 $2,895 −$2,895 -100%
LoL: T1 vs DN SOOPers - Game 1 Winner Jun 12 $244 −$244 -100%
Will Tottenham Hotspur FC win on 2026-04-25? Jun 12 $4,314 −$4,314 -100%
Will Liverpool FC win on 2026-05-17? Jun 12 $5,752 −$4,190 -73%
LoL: Bilibili Gaming vs Invictus Gaming - Game 1 Winner Jun 12 $2,347 −$2,347 -100%
Game Handicap: IG (-1.5) vs ThunderTalk Gaming (+1.5) Jun 12 $3,469 −$3,469 -100%
Will Millwall FC win on 2026-05-11? Jun 12 $12,880 −$12,880 -100%
Game Handicap: T1 (-1.5) vs DN SOOPers (+1.5) Jun 12 $2,613 −$2,613 -100%
Will Club Atlético de Madrid win on 2026-05-09? Jun 12 $22,279 −$22,279 -100%
Game Handicap: NS (-1.5) vs DN SOOPers (+1.5) Jun 12 $32,762 −$32,762 -100%
Will the San Antonio Spurs win the NBA Western Conference Finals? Jun 12 $15 −$15 -100%
Will Getafe CF win on 2026-05-03? Jun 12 $18,000 −$18,000 -100%
Will Chelsea FC win on 2026-04-25? Jun 12 $1,638 −$1,638 -100%
Will Chelsea FC win on 2026-04-18? Jun 12 $5,206 −$5,206 -100%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
sports 66% −$93,839
other 34% −$184,096
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Will Portugal win on 2026-06-10? BUY Yes 59¢ $580 37h
Will Portugal win on 2026-06-10? BUY Yes 59¢ $2 37h
Will Portugal win on 2026-06-10? BUY Yes 59¢ $3 37h
Will Portugal win on 2026-06-10? BUY Yes 59¢ $1 37h
Will Portugal win on 2026-06-10? BUY Yes 59¢ $775 37h
Will Portugal win on 2026-06-10? BUY Yes 59¢ $30 37h
Will Portugal win on 2026-06-10? BUY Yes 59¢ $1 37h
Will Portugal win on 2026-06-10? BUY Yes 59¢ $8 37h
Will Portugal win on 2026-06-10? BUY Yes 59¢ $53 37h
Will Portugal win on 2026-06-10? BUY Yes 59¢ $26 37h
Will Portugal win on 2026-06-10? BUY Yes 59¢ $49 37h
Will Portugal win on 2026-06-10? BUY Yes 59¢ $12 37h
Will Portugal win on 2026-06-10? BUY Yes 59¢ $7 37h
Will Portugal win on 2026-06-10? BUY Yes 59¢ $1,381 37h
Will Portugal win on 2026-06-10? BUY Yes 76¢ $3 43h
Will Portugal win on 2026-06-10? BUY Yes 76¢ $3 43h
Will Portugal win on 2026-06-10? BUY Yes 76¢ $3 43h
Will Portugal win on 2026-06-10? BUY Yes 76¢ $5 43h
Will Portugal win on 2026-06-10? BUY Yes 76¢ $7 43h
Will Portugal win on 2026-06-10? BUY Yes 76¢ $4 43h
Will Portugal win on 2026-06-10? BUY Yes 76¢ $3 43h
Will Portugal win on 2026-06-10? BUY Yes 76¢ $16 43h
Will Portugal win on 2026-06-10? BUY Yes 76¢ $2 43h
Will Portugal win on 2026-06-10? BUY Yes 76¢ $3 44h
Will Portugal win on 2026-06-10? BUY Yes 76¢ $3 44h
Will Portugal win on 2026-06-10? BUY Yes 76¢ $8 44h
Will Portugal win on 2026-06-10? BUY Yes 76¢ $6 44h
Will Portugal win on 2026-06-10? BUY Yes 76¢ $6 44h
Will Portugal win on 2026-06-10? BUY Yes 76¢ $618 44h
Will Portugal win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? BUY No 88¢ $12 2d
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
negative after costs — do not copy
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +3%
net ROI/market (all)-89.3%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 286 -94.3% -94.8% 1% 1% -99.3%
≤30d 304 -88.2% -89.3% 3% 3% -90.8%
≤90d 304 -88.2% -89.3% 3% 3% -90.8%
all 304 -88.2% -89.3% 3% 3% -90.8%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.
turnover280.7 tr/day
realistic slip~18%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal -89.3% 3% -90.8%
10% -90.3% 3% -91.6%
15% ← realistic here -91.3% 2% -92.4%
20% -92.1% 2% -93.2%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.
✓ Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $10,356.20 · official $10,356.20 (match) · 3500 history records