Wallet analysis

2026-06-12T19:10:29+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

EA
0xea35…e42f
crypto · 747 markets active 2h ago
0.0score
−$222 -4%
TOTAL PnL · realized −$218 · open −$5
avoidriskycopy
✗ TRAP crypto specialist⚠ High turnover
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Net worth$0
Realized−$218
Unrealized−$5
Win rate (resolved)52%
Wins / losses387 / 359
Est. fees paid−$62
Open positions1
Markets (closed)746 / 747
History coverage82d
Avg bet$8
Trades / day33.5
Drawdown100%
Kalshi-fit95%
Chart Positions 1 History 746 Categories Trades Net edge Slippage
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days+$31
7 days−$7
14 days−$7
30 days−$78
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.
Open positions — marked to current price, like Polymarket
Marketoutcome entrynow investedvalue unrealized PnL
Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the June 2026 meeting? Yes 4¢ 0¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-94%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 8:10AM-8:15AM ET Down 37¢ 0¢ $6 $0 −$6 (-100%)
Magic vs. Pistons Magic 19¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 21, 10:15AM-10:20AM ET Up 6¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 2:55PM-3:00PM ET Down 23¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 8:15PM-8:20PM ET Up 58¢ 0¢ $3 $0 −$3 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 7:05PM-7:10PM ET Up 52¢ 0¢ $3 $0 −$3 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 19, 6:55AM-7:00AM ET Down 14¢ 0¢ $4 $0 −$4 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 12:25PM-12:30PM ET Up 13¢ 0¢ $4 $0 −$4 (-100%)
Knicks vs. 76ers 76ers 29¢ 0¢ $10 $0 −$10 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 21, 6:35AM-6:40AM ET Up 7¢ 0¢ $4 $0 −$4 (-100%)
Lakers vs. Thunder Lakers 5¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 6:30AM-6:35AM ET Down 24¢ 0¢ $4 $0 −$4 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 21, 10:35PM-10:40PM ET Down 16¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 11:40AM-11:45AM ET Down 23¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 8:00PM-8:05PM ET Down 30¢ 0¢ $4 $0 −$4 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 22, 2:50AM-2:55AM ET Up 12¢ 0¢ $3 $0 −$3 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 30, 2:05AM-2:10AM ET Down 42¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 12:00PM-12:05PM ET Up 35¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 3:05PM-3:10PM ET Down 39¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 2:10AM-2:15AM ET Down 18¢ 0¢ $3 $0 −$3 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 2:15AM-2:20AM ET Down 45¢ 0¢ $7 $0 −$7 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 10:15PM-10:20PM ET Down 19¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 11:35AM-11:40AM ET Up 44¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 5:50AM-5:55AM ET Down 47¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Top-25 open positions by current value. Prices in cents = market-implied probability (50¢ = 50%).
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 1:30PM-1:35PM ET Jun 12 $3 +$1 +47%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 12:40PM-12:45PM ET Jun 12 $3 +$3 +93%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 12:35PM-12:40PM ET Jun 12 $3 +$1 +37%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 12:30PM-12:35PM ET Jun 12 $5 $0 +9%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 12:20PM-12:25PM ET Jun 12 $3 $0 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 12:15PM-12:20PM ET Jun 12 $3 +$1 +32%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 12:10PM-12:15PM ET Jun 12 $6 +$1 +16%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 12:05PM-12:10PM ET Jun 12 $4 +$2 +52%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 11:55AM-12:00PM ET Jun 12 $3 +$3 +84%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 11:50AM-11:55AM ET Jun 12 $3 +$2 +73%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 11:45AM-11:50AM ET Jun 12 $3 −$3 -97%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 11:25AM-11:30AM ET Jun 12 $3 −$3 -97%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 11:15AM-11:20AM ET Jun 12 $3 $0 -11%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 11:10AM-11:15AM ET Jun 12 $3 −$3 -92%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 11:00AM-11:05AM ET Jun 12 $17 +$31 +186%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:50AM-10:55AM ET Jun 12 $3 +$2 +69%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:45AM-10:50AM ET Jun 12 $3 $0 -9%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:40AM-10:45AM ET Jun 12 $3 +$1 +17%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:30AM-10:35AM ET Jun 12 $8 +$2 +20%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:25AM-10:30AM ET Jun 12 $5 +$1 +18%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:20AM-10:25AM ET Jun 12 $5 +$1 +13%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:05AM-10:10AM ET Jun 12 $3 −$3 -97%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:00AM-10:05AM ET Jun 12 $3 +$2 +62%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:50AM-9:55AM ET Jun 12 $3 $0 +12%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:45AM-9:50AM ET Jun 12 $13 +$3 +26%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:40AM-9:45AM ET Jun 12 $10 +$6 +59%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:20AM-9:25AM ET Jun 12 $3 $0 +14%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:35AM-9:40AM ET Jun 12 $3 +$2 +51%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:30AM-9:35AM ET Jun 12 $5 +$1 +17%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:25AM-9:30AM ET Jun 12 $3 −$3 -97%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:15AM-9:20AM ET Jun 12 $3 −$1 -29%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:10AM-9:15AM ET Jun 12 $8 +$2 +30%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:05AM-9:10AM ET Jun 12 $5 $0 +8%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:00AM-9:05AM ET Jun 12 $6 −$2 -40%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:55AM-9:00AM ET Jun 12 $5 +$1 +12%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:45AM-8:50AM ET Jun 12 $3 −$3 -97%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:35AM-8:40AM ET Jun 12 $3 +$1 +24%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:30AM-8:35AM ET Jun 12 $3 +$1 +19%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:20AM-8:25AM ET Jun 12 $3 $0 +15%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:15AM-8:20AM ET Jun 12 $3 $0 +6%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 7:45AM-7:50AM ET Jun 12 $3 −$3 -97%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 7:35AM-7:40AM ET Jun 12 $3 −$3 -97%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 7:30AM-7:35AM ET Jun 12 $3 −$3 -97%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 7:25AM-7:30AM ET Jun 12 $6 $0 -0%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 7:20AM-7:25AM ET Jun 12 $5 +$1 +21%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 7:15AM-7:20AM ET Jun 12 $8 +$1 +16%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 7:05AM-7:10AM ET Jun 12 $8 $0 +5%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 7:00AM-7:05AM ET Jun 12 $5 +$1 +11%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:50AM-6:55AM ET Jun 12 $8 +$1 +8%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:45AM-6:50AM ET Jun 12 $3 $0 +12%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
sports 51% −$98
crypto 41% −$130
other 3% +$7
finance 3% −$7
world 1% +$4
politics 1% +$10
economics 0% −$9
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 1:30PM-1:35PM ET SELL Down 73¢ $5 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 1:30PM-1:35PM ET BUY Down 47¢ $3 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 12:40PM-12:45PM ET BUY Down 50¢ $3 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 12:35PM-12:40PM ET SELL Down 71¢ $4 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 12:35PM-12:40PM ET BUY Down 49¢ $3 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 12:30PM-12:35PM ET SELL Down 58¢ $6 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 12:30PM-12:35PM ET BUY Down 50¢ $5 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 12:20PM-12:25PM ET SELL Up 55¢ $3 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 12:20PM-12:25PM ET BUY Up 51¢ $3 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 12:15PM-12:20PM ET SELL Down 71¢ $4 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 12:15PM-12:20PM ET BUY Down 51¢ $3 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 12:10PM-12:15PM ET SELL Down 63¢ $7 3h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 12:10PM-12:15PM ET BUY Down 51¢ $3 3h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 12:10PM-12:15PM ET BUY Down 51¢ $3 3h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 12:05PM-12:10PM ET SELL Up 81¢ $6 3h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 12:05PM-12:10PM ET BUY Up 51¢ $3 3h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 12:05PM-12:10PM ET BUY Up 51¢ $1 3h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 11:55AM-12:00PM ET SELL Down 99¢ $6 3h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 11:55AM-12:00PM ET BUY Down 52¢ $3 3h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 11:50AM-11:55AM ET BUY Up 56¢ $3 3h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 11:45AM-11:50AM ET BUY Up 51¢ $3 3h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 11:25AM-11:30AM ET BUY Up 50¢ $3 3h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 11:15AM-11:20AM ET SELL Down 53¢ $3 3h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 11:15AM-11:20AM ET BUY Down 56¢ $3 3h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 11:10AM-11:15AM ET SELL Down 5¢ $0 3h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 11:10AM-11:15AM ET BUY Down 55¢ $3 4h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 11:00AM-11:05AM ET SELL Down 78¢ $48 4h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 11:00AM-11:05AM ET BUY Down 15¢ $3 4h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 11:00AM-11:05AM ET BUY Down 13¢ $3 4h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 11:00AM-11:05AM ET BUY Down 52¢ $5 4h
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
negative after costs — do not copy
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +39%
net ROI/market (all)-21.3%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 237 -4.0% -13.1% 68% 56% -10.2%
≤30d 380 -8.0% -16.7% 62% 50% -13.2%
≤90d 746 -13.1% -21.3% 52% 39% -13.0%
all 746 -13.1% -21.3% 52% 39% -13.0%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.
turnover33.5 tr/day
realistic slip~13%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal -21.3% 39% -13.0%
10% ← realistic here -28.9% 24% -21.3%
15% -35.7% 14% -28.9%
20% -42.0% 8% -35.9%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.
✓ Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $0.32 · official $0.32 (match) · 2979 history records