Wallet analysis

2026-06-14T18:53:38+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

EA
0xea3e…8237
sports · 5 markets active 0h ago
0.0score
+$597 +10%
TOTAL PnL · realized +$119 · open −$155
avoidriskycopy
~ RISKY sports specialist⚠ High turnover⚠ Small sample
Net worth$175
Realized+$119
Unrealized−$155
Win rate (resolved)67%
Wins / losses2 / 1
Est. fees paid−$45
Open positions2
Markets (closed)3 / 5
History coverage1d
Avg bet$1,144
Trades / day141.0
Drawdown8%
Kalshi-fit80%
Chart Positions 2 History 3 Categories Trades Net edge Slippage
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days+$119
7 days+$119
14 days+$119
30 days+$119
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.
Open positions — marked to current price, like Polymarket
Marketoutcome entrynow investedvalue unrealized PnL
Counter-Strike: BetBoom Team vs Vitality (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3 BetBoom Team $304 $152 −$152 (-50%)
Will Turkiye win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? Yes $26 $23 −$3 (-10%)
Counter-Strike: BetBoom Team vs Vitality - Map 1 Winner BetBoom Team $10 $0 −$10 (-100%)
Top-25 open positions by current value. Prices in cents = market-implied probability (50¢ = 50%).
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Counter-Strike: BetBoom Team vs Vitality - Map 2 Winner Jun 14 $20 +$30 +148%
Counter-Strike: BetBoom Team vs Vitality - Map 1 Winner Jun 14 $10 −$10 -97%
Counter-Strike: MOUZ vs FUT Esports (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3 Jun 14 $813 +$99 +12%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
other 78% −$3
sports 22% −$34
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Will Turkiye win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? SELL Yes $108 5m
Will Turkiye win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? SELL Yes $22 18m
Will Turkiye win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? SELL Yes $10 22m
Will Turkiye win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? SELL Yes $5 23m
Will Turkiye win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? SELL Yes $55 28m
Will Turkiye win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? SELL Yes $100 29m
Will Turkiye win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? SELL Yes $100 29m
Will Turkiye win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? SELL Yes $1 30m
Will Turkiye win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? SELL Yes $1 46m
Will Turkiye win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? SELL Yes $75 46m
Will Turkiye win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? SELL Yes $9 52m
Will Turkiye win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? SELL Yes $22 56m
Will Turkiye win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? SELL Yes $241 1h
Will Turkiye win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? SELL Yes $0 1h
Will Turkiye win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? SELL Yes $4 1h
Will Turkiye win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? SELL Yes $2,786 1h
Will Turkiye win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? SELL Yes $51 1h
Will Turkiye win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? SELL Yes $0 1h
Will Turkiye win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? SELL Yes $2 1h
Will Turkiye win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? SELL Yes $0 1h
Will Turkiye win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? SELL Yes $0 1h
Will Turkiye win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? SELL Yes $0 1h
Will Turkiye win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? SELL Yes $0 1h
Will Turkiye win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? SELL Yes $10 1h
Will Turkiye win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? SELL Yes $5 1h
Counter-Strike: BetBoom Team vs Vitality (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Sta BUY BetBoom Team $313 1h
Counter-Strike: BetBoom Team vs Vitality (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Sta SELL BetBoom Team $26 1h
Will Turkiye win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? BUY Yes $60 1h
Counter-Strike: BetBoom Team vs Vitality (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Sta BUY BetBoom Team $47 1h
Counter-Strike: BetBoom Team vs Vitality (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Sta BUY BetBoom Team $9 1h
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
insufficient sample — too few resolved markets to judge
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +67%
net ROI/market (all)+8.6%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 3 +20.0% +8.6% 67% 67% +3.2%
≤30d 3 +20.0% +8.6% 67% 67% +3.2%
≤90d 3 +20.0% +8.6% 67% 67% +3.2%
all 3 +20.0% +8.6% 67% 67% +3.2%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.
turnover141.0 tr/day
realistic slip~13%
edge survives to5%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal +8.6% 67% +3.2%
10% ← realistic here -1.8% 33% -6.7%
15% -11.3% 33% -15.7%
20% -20.0% 33% -24.0%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.
Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $175.39 · official $175.39 (match) · 141 history records