Wallet analysis

2026-06-13T04:44:05+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

EA
0xea43…96ad
other · 5 markets active 1h ago
1.0score
−$2 -13%
TOTAL PnL · realized −$2 · open +$0
avoidriskycopy
✗ TRAP ⚠ Small sample
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Net worth$0
Realized−$2
Unrealized+$0
Win rate (resolved)60%
Wins / losses3 / 2
Open positions0
Markets (closed)5 / 5
History coverage2d
Avg bet$3
Trades / day5.7
Drawdown100%
Kalshi-fit20%
Chart Positions 0 History 5 Categories Trades Net edge Slippage
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days−$2
7 days−$2
14 days−$2
30 days−$2
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.
Open positions — marked to current price, like Polymarket
Marketoutcome entrynow investedvalue unrealized PnL
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 11:35PM-11:40PM ET Down 34¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Will Canada win on 2026-06-12? Yes 53¢ 0¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
Top-25 open positions by current value. Prices in cents = market-implied probability (50¢ = 50%).
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 11:35PM-11:40PM ET Jun 13 $1 −$1 -95%
Will United States win on 2026-06-12? Jun 13 $5 +$1 +22%
Will Canada win on 2026-06-12? Jun 12 $5 −$5 -98%
Will Korea Republic win on 2026-06-11? Jun 12 $1 +$2 +166%
Will Mexico win on 2026-06-11? Jun 11 $3 +$1 +40%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
other 93% −$1
crypto 7% −$1
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 11:35PM-11:40PM ET BUY Down 34¢ $1 1h
Will United States win on 2026-06-12? SELL Yes 100¢ $3 1h
Will United States win on 2026-06-12? BUY Yes 93¢ $3 3h
Will United States win on 2026-06-12? SELL Yes 74¢ $3 3h
Will United States win on 2026-06-12? BUY Yes 48¢ $2 24h
Will Canada win on 2026-06-12? BUY Yes 53¢ $5 24h
Will Korea Republic win on 2026-06-11? SELL Yes 100¢ $3 24h
Will Mexico win on 2026-06-11? SELL Yes 100¢ $4 29h
Will Korea Republic win on 2026-06-11? BUY Yes 36¢ $1 43h
Will Mexico win on 2026-06-11? BUY Yes 69¢ $3 43h
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
negative after costs — do not copy
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +60%
net ROI/market (all)-4.3%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 5 +5.8% -4.3% 60% 60% -21.0%
≤30d 5 +5.8% -4.3% 60% 60% -21.0%
≤90d 5 +5.8% -4.3% 60% 60% -21.0%
all 5 +5.8% -4.3% 60% 60% -21.0%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.
turnover5.7 tr/day
realistic slip~7%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal ← realistic here -4.3% 60% -21.0%
10% -13.5% 60% -28.6%
15% -21.8% 40% -35.5%
20% -29.5% 20% -41.8%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.
✓ Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $0.00 · official $0.00 (match) · 10 history records