trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?
| timeframe | markets | gross ROI | NET ROI | gross WR | NET WR | net PnL (wtd) |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| ≤7d | 5 | -83.5% | -85.1% | 0% | 0% | -87.5% |
| ≤30d | 5 | -83.5% | -85.1% | 0% | 0% | -87.5% |
| ≤90d | 5 | -83.5% | -85.1% | 0% | 0% | -87.5% |
| all | 16 | -34.0% | -40.3% | 31% | 31% | +33.0% |
| copier slippage | NET ROI | NET WR | net PnL (wtd) |
|---|---|---|---|
| 5% ideal ← realistic here | -40.3% | 31% | +33.0% |
| 10% | -46.0% | 19% | +20.3% |
| 15% | -51.2% | 19% | +8.6% |
| 20% | -56.0% | 19% | -2.0% |
| Market | when | invested | PnL | ROI |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Brazil vs. Morocco end in a draw? | Jun 13 | $106 | −$105 | -99% |
| Will Brazil win on 2026-06-13? | Jun 13 | $12 | −$12 | -98% |
| Will Morocco win on 2026-06-13? | Jun 13 | $10 | −$10 | -98% |
| Will Qatar win on 2026-06-13? | Jun 13 | $34 | −$15 | -44% |
| Will Switzerland win on 2026-06-13? | Jun 13 | $26 | −$19 | -73% |
| Will the Government shutdown end by December 31? | Oct 26 | $332 | −$332 | -100% |
| Will the Government shutdown end November 16 or later? | Oct 21 | $87 | +$188 | +216% |
| Will the federal government be shut down for 30 or more days in 2025? | Oct 21 | $830 | +$1,364 | +164% |
| MSI Playoffs: T1 vs. Bilibili Gaming | Oct 04 | $18 | +$2 | +12% |
| Will T1 win the 2025 Mid-Season Invitational? | Jul 13 | $29 | −$14 | -48% |
| MSI Playoffs: Gen.G vs. G2 | Jul 02 | $10 | −$10 | -100% |
| MSI Play-in: G2 vs. GAM | Jun 30 | $102 | −$73 | -72% |
| Will the Indiana Pacers win the 2025 NBA Finals? | Jun 01 | $16 | −$16 | -100% |
| Will Donald Trump win the 2024 US Presidential Election? | Nov 04 | $500 | +$65 | +13% |
| Will Kamala Harris win the 2024 US Presidential Election? | Nov 04 | $40 | −$40 | -100% |
| Will T1 win LoL Worlds 2024? | Nov 03 | $100 | +$56 | +56% |