Wallet analysis

2026-06-13T02:26:03+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

EA
0xea61…5d9f
crypto · 153 markets active 1h ago
0.0score
+$539 +5%
TOTAL PnL · realized +$843 · open −$304
avoidriskycopy
✗ TRAP crypto specialist⚠ High turnover
Net worth$1,142
Realized+$843
Unrealized−$304
Win rate (resolved)66%
Wins / losses99 / 50
Open positions4
Markets (closed)149 / 153
History coverage24d
Avg bet$67
Trades / day57.4
Drawdown26%
Kalshi-fit100%
Chart Positions 4 History 149 Categories Trades Net edge Slippage
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days−$8
7 days+$59
14 days+$849
30 days+$843
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.
Open positions — marked to current price, like Polymarket
Marketoutcome entrynow investedvalue unrealized PnL
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $64,000 on June 13? No 44¢ 68¢ $348 $547 +$198 (+57%)
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $62,000 on June 14? No $444 $252 −$192 (-43%)
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $64,000 on June 14? Yes 32¢ 42¢ $176 $228 +$52 (+30%)
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $64,000 on June 13? Yes 32¢ 32¢ $101 $101 −$0 (-0%)
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $62,000 on June 13? No 16¢ $177 $14 −$163 (-92%)
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $66,000 on June 10? Yes $14 $0 −$14 (-100%)
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $60,000 on June 7? No 16¢ $14 $0 −$14 (-100%)
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $62,000 on June 7? No 40¢ $16 $0 −$16 (-100%)
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $62,000 on June 10? No 31¢ $81 $0 −$81 (-100%)
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $62,000 on June 11? No 53¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Top-25 open positions by current value. Prices in cents = market-implied probability (50¢ = 50%).
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $58,000 on June 12? Jun 12 $64 +$5 +7%
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $56,000 on June 12? Jun 12 $98 +$2 +2%
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $52,000 on June 12? Jun 12 $92 +$3 +3%
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $66,000 on June 12? Jun 12 $115 +$3 +3%
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $64,000 on June 12? Jun 12 $127 +$18 +14%
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $62,000 on June 12? Jun 12 $95 −$90 -95%
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $60,000 on June 12? Jun 12 $116 +$14 +12%
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $70,000 on June 11? Jun 11 $10 $0 +2%
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $60,000 on June 11? Jun 11 $214 −$7 -3%
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $68,000 on June 11? Jun 11 $10 $0 -2%
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $54,000 on June 11? Jun 11 $9 +$1 +6%
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $64,000 on June 11? Jun 11 $381 +$34 +9%
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $66,000 on June 11? Jun 11 $144 +$1 +1%
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $58,000 on June 11? Jun 11 $318 +$6 +2%
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $56,000 on June 11? Jun 11 $13 +$2 +13%
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $64,000 on June 10? Jun 10 $274 −$51 -19%
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $60,000 on June 10? Jun 10 $371 −$27 -7%
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $58,000 on June 10? Jun 10 $67 +$2 +3%
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $68,000 on June 10? Jun 10 $6 $0 +2%
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $70,000 on June 10? Jun 10 $20 $0 +2%
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $56,000 on June 10? Jun 10 $391 +$8 +2%
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $62,000 on June 11? Jun 10 $99 −$21 -21%
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $64,000 on June 9? Jun 09 $214 +$96 +45%
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $62,000 on June 9? Jun 09 $133 +$216 +163%
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $66,000 on June 9? Jun 09 $60 +$14 +22%
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $68,000 on June 9? Jun 09 $49 +$2 +4%
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $60,000 on June 9? Jun 09 $61 −$24 -39%
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $56,000 on June 9? Jun 09 $167 +$15 +9%
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $58,000 on June 9? Jun 09 $178 −$29 -16%
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $70,000 on June 9? Jun 09 $24 +$1 +4%
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $72,000 on June 9? Jun 09 $1 $0 +2%
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $66,000 on June 10? Jun 09 $92 −$14 -15%
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $74,000 on June 8? Jun 08 $10 $0 +3%
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $64,000 on June 8? Jun 08 $150 −$10 -7%
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $56,000 on June 8? Jun 08 $73 +$4 +5%
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $60,000 on June 8? Jun 08 $56 −$31 -56%
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $68,000 on June 8? Jun 08 $112 +$12 +10%
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $70,000 on June 8? Jun 08 $28 +$1 +4%
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $72,000 on June 8? Jun 08 $7 $0 +4%
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $58,000 on June 8? Jun 08 $38 +$7 +18%
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $62,000 on June 8? Jun 08 $134 +$3 +2%
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $66,000 on June 8? Jun 08 $102 +$24 +24%
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $76,000 on June 8? Jun 08 $5 $0 +2%
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $62,000 on June 10? Jun 08 $258 −$118 -46%
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $74,000 on June 7? Jun 07 $20 +$2 +9%
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $76,000 on June 7? Jun 07 $14 +$1 +7%
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $64,000 on June 7? Jun 07 $62 −$13 -21%
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $56,000 on June 7? Jun 07 $62 +$2 +4%
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $66,000 on June 7? Jun 07 $76 +$12 +16%
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $68,000 on June 7? Jun 07 $110 +$38 +34%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
crypto 100% +$539
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $62,000 on June 14? BUY No $28 1h
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $62,000 on June 14? BUY No $8 1h
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $62,000 on June 14? BUY No $31 1h
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $62,000 on June 14? BUY No $4 1h
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $62,000 on June 14? BUY No $4 1h
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $62,000 on June 14? BUY No $4 1h
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $62,000 on June 14? BUY No $4 1h
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $62,000 on June 14? BUY No $4 1h
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $62,000 on June 14? BUY No $31 1h
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $62,000 on June 14? BUY No $5 1h
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $62,000 on June 14? BUY No $1 1h
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $62,000 on June 14? BUY No $1 1h
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $62,000 on June 14? BUY No $1 1h
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $62,000 on June 14? BUY No $27 1h
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $62,000 on June 14? BUY No $4 1h
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $64,000 on June 14? BUY Yes 32¢ $5 1h
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $62,000 on June 14? BUY No $7 1h
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $62,000 on June 14? BUY No $7 2h
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $62,000 on June 14? BUY No $7 2h
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $62,000 on June 14? BUY No $7 2h
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $62,000 on June 14? BUY No $7 2h
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $62,000 on June 14? BUY No $7 2h
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $62,000 on June 14? BUY No $7 2h
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $62,000 on June 14? BUY No $7 2h
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $62,000 on June 14? BUY No $7 2h
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $62,000 on June 14? BUY No $7 2h
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $62,000 on June 14? BUY No $7 2h
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $62,000 on June 14? BUY No $7 2h
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $62,000 on June 14? BUY No $7 2h
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $62,000 on June 14? BUY No $7 2h
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
negative after costs — do not copy
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +30%
net ROI/market (all)-1.6%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 62 -2.0% -11.4% 74% 26% -6.5%
≤30d 149 +8.7% -1.6% 66% 30% +0.9%
≤90d 149 +8.7% -1.6% 66% 30% +0.9%
all 149 +8.7% -1.6% 66% 30% +0.9%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.
turnover57.4 tr/day
realistic slip~13%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal -1.6% 30% +0.9%
10% ← realistic here -11.0% 20% -8.7%
15% -19.6% 13% -17.5%
20% -27.5% 11% -25.6%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.
Vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $1,141.81 · official $1,153.81 · 1483 history records