trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?
| timeframe | markets | gross ROI | NET ROI | gross WR | NET WR | net PnL (wtd) |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| ≤7d | 4 | -29.4% | -36.1% | 50% | 50% | -30.8% |
| ≤30d | 12 | -0.8% | -10.3% | 75% | 67% | -6.8% |
| ≤90d | 19 | +18.7% | +7.4% | 68% | 63% | +1.3% |
| all | 19 | +18.7% | +7.4% | 68% | 63% | +1.3% |
| copier slippage | NET ROI | NET WR | net PnL (wtd) |
|---|---|---|---|
| 5% ideal | +7.4% | 63% | +1.3% |
| 10% ← realistic here | -2.9% | 42% | -8.4% |
| 15% | -12.3% | 26% | -17.2% |
| 20% | -20.9% | 11% | -25.3% |
| Market | outcome | entry | now | invested | value | unrealized PnL |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June? | No | 84¢ | 94¢ | $3,500 | $3,925 | +$425 (+12%) |
| US x Cuba economic deal by June 30, 2026? | No | 90¢ | 92¢ | $900 | $915 | +$15 (+2%) |
| Market | when | invested | PnL | ROI |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by June 30? | Jun 19 | $7,200 | +$4,130 | +57% |
| Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by July 31? | Jun 18 | $500 | +$126 | +25% |
| US x Iran diplomatic meeting by June 19, 2026? | Jun 18 | $150 | −$150 | -100% |
| US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026? | Jun 16 | $7,780 | −$7,780 | -100% |
| Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by June 15? | Jun 13 | $4,000 | +$330 | +8% |
| Cuban regime falls in 2026? | Jun 12 | $1,000 | +$134 | +13% |
| US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 7, 2026? | Jun 11 | $4,000 | +$1,063 | +27% |
| US-Iran nuclear deal by June 30? | Jun 07 | $750 | +$114 | +15% |
| Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of May? | Jun 02 | $5,500 | +$2,434 | +44% |
| Will the Iranian regime fall by June 30? | May 28 | $6,975 | +$2,451 | +35% |
| Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by May 15? | May 25 | $3,500 | +$670 | +19% |
| Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31? | May 25 | $4,000 | −$2,171 | -54% |
| Will Trump agree to Iranian enrichment of uranium in April? | May 01 | $2,177 | +$889 | +41% |
| US-Iran nuclear deal by April 30? | Apr 26 | $3,100 | +$401 | +13% |
| Israel x Hezbollah Ceasefire extended by April 26, 2026? | Apr 23 | $250 | −$44 | -18% |
| US x Iran diplomatic meeting by April 22, 2026? | Apr 21 | $500 | +$2,030 | +406% |
| Israel x Hamas ceasefire by October 17? | Apr 21 | $291 | −$291 | -100% |
| US x Iran permanent peace deal by April 22, 2026? | Apr 21 | $5,993 | +$2,619 | +44% |
| Will J.D. Vance have a diplomatic meeting with Iran by April 30? | Apr 20 | $100 | −$22 | -22% |