Wallet analysis

2026-06-18T19:55:16+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

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score
EA 0xea68…b0a8 crypto 258 markets active 7h ago coverage 83d ⚠
TRAPdo not copy crypto specialistFresh edge⚠ High turnover⚠ Covers last 82d only
✗ negative after realistic slippage✗ wins on margins thinner than slippage! high turnover! concentrated profit (few bets)
Total PnL +$46,156 (+2%) realized +$46,156 · open +$0
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Gross ROI / mkt +6% what the leader earns
→−copy tax
Net edge / mkt -26% what you keep after slip
Net edge-26%after slip
Net WR3%break-even
Win rate99%256W / 2L
Whale WR100%big bets
Drawdown2%max
Avg bet$8,059per market
Trades / day38.8pace
Kalshi-fit100%portable
Net worth$0now

Equity curve

realized PnL
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days+$1,589
7 days+$3,050
14 days+$5,117
30 days+$10,341
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.

Categories

share · PnL
crypto 100% +$55,882
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.

The copy-tax — evidence

gross is the leader · net is you

Net edge · by timeframe

gross → net
negative after costs — do not copy
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +3%
net ROI/market (all)-3.6%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 11 +1.1% -8.5% 100% 0% -8.6%
≤30d 61 +1.7% -8.0% 100% 2% -8.4%
≤90d 258 +6.5% -3.6% 99% 3% -7.1%
all 258 +6.5% -3.6% 99% 3% -7.1%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.

Slippage survival

net ROI/WR at slip
turnover38.8 tr/day
realistic slip~18%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal -3.6% 3% -7.1%
10% -12.8% 2% -16.0%
15% ← realistic here -21.3% 2% -24.1%
20% -29.0% 2% -31.5%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.

Edge quality

honest signals — luck vs skill
Profit concentration
top 34% · top 2 53% concentrated in a few bets
Edge freshness (90d)
90d ROI +3% 90d near zero / fading
Fragile wins
97% wins margin < slip most wins thinner than slippage → losses for you
Flat-copyable
equal-wt +7% · $-wt +3% works when copied flat
Big bets
big-bet WR 100% (≥$6,732) strong on big bets
Persistence
early +5% → late +8% edge persists early→late
Add-ons / DCA
12.4 add-ons/market averages down — deposit killer
Win / loss size
+$224 vs −$684 · ×0.33 wins small, loses big
Profit factor
×41.87 per $1 lost it wins $41.87
Copy size
≥ $700 mirror leader trades ≥ this size to copy only main ideas

Supporting detail

83d coverage
Net worth$0
Realized+$46,156
Unrealized+$0
Win rate (resolved)99%
Wins / losses256 / 2
Whale WR (big bets)100%
Open positions0
Markets (closed)258 / 258
History coverage83d ⚠
Avg bet$8,059
Trades / day38.8
Drawdown2%
Kalshi-fit100%

Ledger

positions · history · trades
Positions 0 History 258 Trades
no open positions
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 18, 8:30AM-8:35AM ET Jun 18 $61,423 +$620 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 18, 2:55AM-3:00AM ET Jun 18 $61,423 +$620 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 8:55PM-9:00PM ET Jun 17 $37,001 +$348 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 11:30AM-11:35AM ET Jun 15 $4,230 +$49 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 6:35AM-6:40AM ET Jun 15 $758 +$7 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 4:50PM-4:55PM ET Jun 14 $61,423 +$620 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 7:10PM-7:15PM ET Jun 13 $4,873 +$57 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 5:00AM-5:05AM ET Jun 13 $4,274 +$40 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:55PM-7:00PM ET Jun 12 $20,889 +$354 +2%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:45PM-6:50PM ET Jun 12 $3,437 +$50 +2%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:55AM-7:00AM ET Jun 12 $28,137 +$284 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 2:50PM-2:55PM ET Jun 11 $61,423 +$620 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 5:45AM-5:50AM ET Jun 11 $1,657 +$17 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 11:10AM-11:15AM ET Jun 10 $3,289 +$97 +3%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 9:45AM-9:50AM ET Jun 10 $61,423 +$620 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 2:40AM-2:45AM ET Jun 10 $976 +$9 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 8, 6:55AM-7:00AM ET Jun 08 $18,738 +$189 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 7, 2:00PM-2:05PM ET Jun 07 $23,580 +$238 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 7, 4:05AM-4:10AM ET Jun 07 $1,818 +$18 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 7, 1:05AM-1:10AM ET Jun 07 $17,848 +$180 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 5, 3:50PM-3:55PM ET Jun 05 $6 $0 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 5, 3:05PM-3:10PM ET Jun 05 $351 +$4 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 5, 7:10AM-7:15AM ET Jun 05 $503 +$5 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 5, 4:15AM-4:30AM ET Jun 05 $1,871 +$46 +2%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 5, 3:45AM-3:50AM ET Jun 05 $10 $0 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 4, 6:10PM-6:15PM ET Jun 04 $2,342 +$22 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 4, 3:40AM-3:45AM ET Jun 04 $3,783 +$70 +2%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 4, 1:20AM-1:25AM ET Jun 04 $985 +$10 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 3, 3:45PM-3:50PM ET Jun 03 $27,042 +$273 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 2, 9:55AM-10:00AM ET Jun 02 $3,971 +$79 +2%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 2, 9:40AM-9:45AM ET Jun 02 $573 +$5 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 1, 4:45PM-4:50PM ET Jun 01 $45,400 +$459 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 1, 12:10PM-12:15PM ET Jun 01 $370 $0 +0%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 1, 1:45AM-1:50AM ET Jun 01 $45,097 +$456 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 31, 10:55PM-11:00PM ET Jun 01 $2,758 +$26 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 31, 6:40PM-6:45PM ET May 31 $3,955 +$148 +4%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 31, 1:55PM-2:00PM ET May 31 $3 $0 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 31, 11:25AM-11:30AM ET May 31 $136 +$1 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 31, 9:20AM-9:25AM ET May 31 $3,252 +$33 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 31, 6:40AM-6:45AM ET May 31 $5,100 +$116 +2%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 30, 7:40PM-7:45PM ET May 30 $37,377 +$378 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 30, 6:10AM-6:15AM ET May 30 $495 +$5 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 30, 2:10AM-2:15AM ET May 30 $2,833 +$35 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 25, 4:10PM-4:15PM ET May 25 $3,927 +$1,071 +27%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 25, 2:10PM-2:15PM ET May 25 $4,822 +$156 +3%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 25, 6:40AM-6:45AM ET May 25 $308 +$3 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 23, 2:20PM-2:25PM ET May 23 $198 +$2 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 23, 12:10AM-12:15AM ET May 23 $5,020 +$77 +2%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 22, 11:55AM-12:00PM ET May 22 $5,142 +$180 +4%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 22, 5:45AM-5:50AM ET May 22 $126 +$1 +1%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 18, 8:30AM-8:35AM ET BUY Up 99¢ $20,402 7h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 18, 8:30AM-8:35AM ET BUY Up 99¢ $41,021 7h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 18, 2:55AM-3:00AM ET BUY Up 99¢ $49,252 12h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 18, 2:55AM-3:00AM ET BUY Up 99¢ $3 12h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 18, 2:55AM-3:00AM ET BUY Up 99¢ $12,153 12h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 18, 2:55AM-3:00AM ET BUY Up 99¢ $14 12h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 8:55PM-9:00PM ET BUY Up 99¢ $33,851 42h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 8:55PM-9:00PM ET BUY Up 99¢ $3,150 42h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 11:30AM-11:35AM ET BUY Down 99¢ $2,092 3d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 11:30AM-11:35AM ET BUY Down 99¢ $2,138 3d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 6:35AM-6:40AM ET BUY Up 99¢ $758 3d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 4:50PM-4:55PM ET BUY Up 99¢ $36,592 3d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 4:50PM-4:55PM ET BUY Up 99¢ $23,938 3d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 4:50PM-4:55PM ET BUY Up 99¢ $283 3d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 4:50PM-4:55PM ET BUY Up 99¢ $104 3d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 4:50PM-4:55PM ET BUY Up 99¢ $99 3d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 4:50PM-4:55PM ET BUY Up 99¢ $11 3d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 4:50PM-4:55PM ET BUY Up 99¢ $396 3d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 7:10PM-7:15PM ET BUY Up 99¢ $1,549 4d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 7:10PM-7:15PM ET BUY Up 99¢ $3,325 4d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 5:00AM-5:05AM ET BUY Up 99¢ $254 5d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 5:00AM-5:05AM ET BUY Up 99¢ $4,020 5d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:55PM-7:00PM ET BUY Up 99¢ $646 5d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:55PM-7:00PM ET BUY Up 98¢ $20,243 5d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:45PM-6:50PM ET BUY Down 99¢ $15 5d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:45PM-6:50PM ET BUY Down 98¢ $3,422 5d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:55AM-7:00AM ET BUY Down 99¢ $9 6d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:55AM-7:00AM ET BUY Down 99¢ $4 6d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:55AM-7:00AM ET BUY Down 99¢ $12 6d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:55AM-7:00AM ET BUY Down 99¢ $5 6d
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
✓ Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $0.00 · official $0.00 (match) · 3500 history records