Wallet analysis

2026-06-14T14:12:39+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

EA
0xea6c…bb45
crypto · 15 markets active 0h ago
2.0score
+$17 +14%
TOTAL PnL · realized +$7 · open +$0
avoidriskycopy
✗ TRAP crypto specialistFading edge⚠ High turnover⚠ Small sample
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Net worth$0
Realized+$7
Unrealized+$0
Win rate (resolved)73%
Wins / losses11 / 4
Open positions0
Markets (closed)15 / 15
History coverage1d
Avg bet$8
Trades / day43.0
Drawdown67%
Kalshi-fit100%
Chart Positions 0 History 15 Categories Trades Net edge Slippage
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days+$7
7 days+$7
14 days+$7
30 days+$7
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.
Open positions — marked to current price, like Polymarket
Marketoutcome entrynow investedvalue unrealized PnL
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 9:30AM-9:35AM ET Down 52¢ 0¢ $10 $0 −$10 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 8:20AM-8:25AM ET Down 32¢ 0¢ $10 $0 −$10 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 10:00AM-10:05AM ET Down 76¢ 0¢ $8 $0 −$8 (-100%)
Top-25 open positions by current value. Prices in cents = market-implied probability (50¢ = 50%).
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 10:00AM-10:05AM ET Jun 14 $8 −$8 -99%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 9:55AM-10:00AM ET Jun 14 $3 +$2 +44%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 9:45AM-9:50AM ET Jun 14 $21 +$4 +17%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 9:35AM-9:40AM ET Jun 14 $7 −$2 -26%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 9:30AM-9:35AM ET Jun 14 $11 −$10 -98%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 9:20AM-9:25AM ET Jun 14 $4 +$1 +25%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 9:10AM-9:15AM ET Jun 14 $6 +$4 +63%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 9:00AM-9:05AM ET Jun 14 $4 +$1 +25%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 8:55AM-9:00AM ET Jun 14 $18 +$7 +42%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 8:50AM-8:55AM ET Jun 14 $3 +$2 +50%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 8:45AM-8:50AM ET Jun 14 $2 +$2 +100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 8:35AM-8:40AM ET Jun 14 $13 +$7 +53%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 8:20AM-8:25AM ET Jun 14 $10 −$10 -98%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 8:10AM-8:15AM ET Jun 14 $10 +$5 +52%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 8:00AM-8:05AM ET Jun 14 $3 +$2 +90%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
crypto 100% +$7
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 10:00AM-10:05AM ET BUY Down 75¢ $4 9m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 10:00AM-10:05AM ET BUY Down 77¢ $4 10m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 9:55AM-10:00AM ET BUY Up 68¢ $3 16m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 9:45AM-9:50AM ET BUY Down 75¢ $4 25m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 9:45AM-9:50AM ET BUY Down 77¢ $4 25m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 9:45AM-9:50AM ET BUY Down 78¢ $4 25m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 9:45AM-9:50AM ET BUY Down 74¢ $4 25m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 9:45AM-9:50AM ET BUY Down 75¢ $4 26m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 9:45AM-9:50AM ET BUY Up 45¢ $2 26m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 9:35AM-9:40AM ET BUY Up 73¢ $4 35m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 9:35AM-9:40AM ET BUY Down 61¢ $3 36m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 9:30AM-9:35AM ET BUY Down 59¢ $3 37m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 9:30AM-9:35AM ET BUY Down 56¢ $3 38m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 9:30AM-9:35AM ET BUY Down 45¢ $2 39m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 9:30AM-9:35AM ET BUY Down 50¢ $3 40m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 9:20AM-9:25AM ET BUY Up 80¢ $4 51m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 9:10AM-9:15AM ET BUY Up 55¢ $3 58m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 9:10AM-9:15AM ET BUY Up 66¢ $3 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 9:00AM-9:05AM ET BUY Up 80¢ $4 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 8:55AM-9:00AM ET BUY Up 76¢ $4 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 8:55AM-9:00AM ET BUY Up 67¢ $1 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 8:55AM-9:00AM ET BUY Up 67¢ $2 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 8:55AM-9:00AM ET BUY Up 67¢ $3 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 8:55AM-9:00AM ET BUY Up 67¢ $3 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 8:55AM-9:00AM ET BUY Up 72¢ $1 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 8:55AM-9:00AM ET BUY Up 72¢ $3 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 8:50AM-8:55AM ET BUY Down 65¢ $3 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 8:45AM-8:50AM ET BUY Down 50¢ $2 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 8:35AM-8:40AM ET BUY Down 80¢ $4 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 8:35AM-8:40AM ET BUY Down 54¢ $3 1h
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
trap: profits on perfect fill only, loses on real
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +73%
net ROI/market (all)+4.6%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 15 +15.6% +4.6% 73% 73% -4.0%
≤30d 15 +15.6% +4.6% 73% 73% -4.0%
≤90d 15 +15.6% +4.6% 73% 73% -4.0%
all 15 +15.6% +4.6% 73% 73% -4.0%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.
turnover43.0 tr/day
realistic slip~13%
edge survives to5%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal +4.6% 73% -4.0%
10% ← realistic here -5.4% 67% -13.2%
15% -14.6% 53% -21.6%
20% -23.0% 40% -29.3%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.
✓ Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $0.00 · official $0.00 (match) · 55 history records