trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?
| timeframe | markets | gross ROI | NET ROI | gross WR | NET WR | net PnL (wtd) |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| ≤7d | 4 | +46.3% | +32.4% | 75% | 75% | +15.3% |
| ≤30d | 9 | +55.8% | +41.0% | 89% | 89% | +20.5% |
| ≤90d | 24 | +0.8% | -8.8% | 67% | 54% | -16.4% |
| all | 28 | +1.7% | -8.0% | 64% | 54% | -25.4% |
| copier slippage | NET ROI | NET WR | net PnL (wtd) |
|---|---|---|---|
| 5% ideal ← realistic here | -8.0% | 54% | -25.4% |
| 10% | -16.8% | 43% | -32.5% |
| 15% | -24.8% | 32% | -39.1% |
| 20% | -32.2% | 21% | -45.0% |
| Market | outcome | entry | now | invested | value | unrealized PnL |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Israel closes its airspace by June 30? | No | 95¢ | 95¢ | $29 | $29 | −$0 (-0%) |
| Will England vs. Croatia end in a draw? | No | 75¢ | 74¢ | $20 | $20 | −$0 (-1%) |
| Market | when | invested | PnL | ROI |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Israel closes its airspace by June 15? | Jun 17 | $33 | +$6 | +19% |
| Knicks vs. Spurs | Jun 11 | $25 | −$25 | -99% |
| Knicks vs. Spurs | Jun 11 | $14 | +$24 | +165% |
| LoL: ThunderTalk Gaming vs LGD Gaming (BO5) - LPL Playoffs | Jun 11 | $20 | +$21 | +101% |
| Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $120 in May? | Jun 02 | $14 | +$5 | +32% |
| LoL: KT Rolster vs T1 (BO3) - LCK Rounds 1-2 | Jun 02 | $20 | +$6 | +27% |
| Iran closes its airspace by May 21? | May 28 | $14 | +$2 | +14% |
| LoL: Nongshim Red Force vs KT Rolster (BO3) - LCK Rounds 1-2 | May 28 | $13 | +$5 | +38% |
| LoL: ThunderTalk Gaming vs EDward Gaming (BO3) - LPL Group Nirvana | May 20 | $5 | +$11 | +206% |
| Will "Iceman" - Drake debut week album sales be between 400k and 450k? | May 16 | $6 | −$6 | -96% |
| New York Mets vs. Colorado Rockies | May 13 | $7 | −$7 | -100% |
| Will the next Prime Minister of Hungary be Péter Magyar? | May 13 | $10 | +$4 | +39% |
| Will Aston Villa FC vs. Nottingham Forest FC end in a draw? | May 13 | $11 | +$3 | +31% |
| Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $120 in April? | May 07 | $9 | +$1 | +10% |
| Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by April 30? | May 07 | $10 | +$1 | +9% |
| Rockets vs. Lakers | Apr 21 | $11 | −$11 | -100% |
| LoL: DN SOOPers vs KT Rolster (BO3) - LCK Rounds 1-2 | Apr 21 | $11 | +$2 | +20% |
| Pistons vs. Hornets | Apr 18 | $10 | −$10 | -100% |
| LoL: Anyone's Legend vs Top Esports (BO3) - Esports World Cup China Qu | Apr 10 | $30 | −$30 | -100% |
| Will Bahrain strike Iran by March 31? | Apr 10 | $6 | $0 | +4% |
| Counter-Strike: Natus Vincere vs Aurora Gaming (BO3) - BLAST Open Rott | Mar 30 | $14 | +$8 | +59% |
| Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of February 2026? | Mar 23 | $33 | −$33 | -100% |
| Nuggets vs. Thunder | Mar 23 | $13 | −$13 | -100% |
| Will Liverpool FC win on 2026-02-28? | Mar 23 | $23 | +$10 | +45% |
| Will Andrew Tate post 0-99 posts from February 13 to February 20, 2026 | Feb 27 | $13 | −$13 | -100% |
| Rockets vs. Hornets | Feb 20 | $27 | +$20 | +72% |
| Bulls vs. Nets | Feb 16 | $17 | +$26 | +156% |
| Hawks vs. Pacers | Feb 09 | $96 | −$96 | -100% |